CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 62nd percentile.
Devin Spencer
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
559 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 108 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arkansas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Arkansas State
Returning around him
- 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75
RB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT
Devin Spencer
- 2
- #24
- 5-8 | 185 lb
- Riverview, FL
Heisman Heat
#4092
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Arkansas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8163 | No. 2347 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (559).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Arkansas State
Composite
0.8163
#2347 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Devin Spencer
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Devin Spencer
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
559Rush yards
108Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
43Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
559Rush yards
108Carries
3Rush TDs
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Devin Spencer is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 559 rushing yards, 25 catches, and 0 return yards for Arkansas State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
108 81st
YDS
559 82nd
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
25 91st
YDS
125 78th
YPR
5.0 26th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 1 | 43 | |
| Wk 2 | L 14-56@ Arkansas | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | L 16-24vs Iowa State | 10 | 31 | 3.1 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 4 | L 21-28@ Kennesaw State | 14 | 61 | 4.4 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 5 | L 16-28@ UL Monroe | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Texas State | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | W 15-14@ South Alabama | 8 | 50 | 6.3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-24vs Georgia Southern | 14 | 123 | 8.8 | 0 | 36 | Season-high 123 yds |
| Wk 10 | W 23-10@ Troy | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-27vs Southern Miss | 11 | 47 | 4.3 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 13 | L 30-34vs Louisiana | 16 | 71 | 4.4 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 14 | W 30-29@ App State | 5 | 24 | 4.8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Bowl | W 34-28vs Missouri State | 6 | 36 | 6.0 | 1 | 25 | |
| Total | 108 | 559 | 5.4 | 3 | 43 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 108 | 559 | 5.2 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 108 | 559 | 5.2 | 3 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 25 | 125 | 5.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 25 | 125 | 5.0 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 559 | #135/735 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.2 | #240/735 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 25 | #51/552 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 125 | #123/548 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.04 | #309/362 | 15th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 104 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.2% | #198/738 | 73rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 108 | #141/739 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 43 | #211/733 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 13 | #347/540 | 36th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.0 | #406/548 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.5% | #190/738 | 74th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 17.6% | #181/738 | 76th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 15.7% | #214/738 | 71st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.4% | #194/738 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.7% | #176/738 | 76th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.6% | #309/738 | 58th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.8% | #88/738 | 88th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 51.7 | 6.2 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 32.8 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 42.1 | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 44.0 | 4.3 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 33.7 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 53.8 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: receptions (84th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.04Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Devin SpencerArkansas StateRashod DubinionApp State· 81% simJevon JacksonUAB· 81% simKamari MoultonIowa· 81% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Carries
Fumbles lost
Long run
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Satellite Back
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Patrick Smith’s 2021 season.
Patrick Smith
74%match
#2
Robert Briggs
73%
#3
Re'Shaun Sanford II
72%
#4
Jamal Jones
68%
#5
Jocquez Smith
67%
Matches Patrick on
Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Patrick on
Height (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Samuel’s path through Austin Peay.
Joshua Samuel
98%match
#2
Demetric Felton
NFL Rd 6
96%
#3
Matt LaRoche
91%
#4
Caleb Huntley
All-MAC
90%
#5
Garrett Groshek
90%
Matches Joshua on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Sutton Smith's sophomore season at Memphis (2023).
Sutton Smith
73%match
All-AACNFL Rd 6
#2
Deon Silas
67%
#3
Ron Cook Jr.
65%
#4
Johnnie Lang
64%
#5
Cam Davis
63%
Matches Sutton on
Height
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Differs from Sutton on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Butch Jones
Pass share
53.7%
506 pass / 437 run
Plays / game
72.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
367 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
Played his entire career under Butch Jones.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownRiverview, FL
Height5'8"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey24
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArkansas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arkansas State | RB2 | #4092 | #4316 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 24 | 5-8 | 185 lb | Riverview, FL |
| 2024 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 24 | 5-8 | 185 lb | Riverview, FL |