CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 96th percentile.
Donte Lee Jr
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Donte Lee Jr is a cornerstone for Liberty — measured against the line he joined.
589REC YDS32REC5REC TD
TEAM RECEIVING YARDS LEADER
589
Team leader in receiving yards (589).
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Liberty for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Liberty
Returning around him
- 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86
WR · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA
Donte Lee Jr
- 3
- #9
- 6-3 | 185 lb
- Baltimore, MD
Heisman Heat
#1168
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2024–2025+298%
Up 298% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Liberty
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (589).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Donte Lee Jr
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
100
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- Rivals · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Donte Lee Jr
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
18.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #17 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 97th
Why it matters
#17 of 531 All FBS WRs at 18.4 yards per reception (32 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 18.4 (97th)
HIGH · n=32 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#152 / 531
- Receiving TDs#98 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 10 vs Delaware — 92 ypr
Result W 59-30
The week the volume broke through — put up 92 yds vs Delaware.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
589Rec yards
32Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
53.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
696.1Rec yards
38Receptions
6Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 589): needs 55.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 589): needs 205.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 32): needs 14/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 32): needs 24/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Donte Lee Jr's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Liberty, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
32 77th
YDS
589 86th
YPR
18.4 91st
TD
5 91st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-7vs Maine | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 2 | L 24-34@ Jacksonville State | 2 | 74 | 37.0 | 1 | 62 | |
| Wk 3 | L 13-23@ Bowling Green | 3 | 77 | 25.7 | 1 | 44 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-31vs James Madison | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 5 | L 7-21@ Old Dominion | 1 | 53 | 53.0 | 0 | 53 | |
| Wk 7 | W 19-8@ UTEP | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 8 | W 30-27vs New Mexico State | 6 | 55 | 9.2 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 10 | W 59-30vs Delaware | 5 | 92 | 18.4 | 1 | 31 | Season-high 92 yds |
| Wk 11 | L 17-21vs Missouri State | 3 | 57 | 19.0 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-34@ Florida International | 5 | 79 | 15.8 | 1 | 29 | |
| Wk 13 | L 28-34@ Louisiana Tech | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Total | 32 | 589 | 22.0 | 5 | 62 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 32 | #255/1110 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 589 | #157/1107 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 5 | #96/1111 | 91st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 18.4 | #102/1106 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 15.1% | #240/1137 | 79th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 62 | #154/1105 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.2% | #225/1137 | 80th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.6% | #497/1137 | 56th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.1% | #586/1137 | 49th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 6.0% | #363/1137 | 68th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.9% | #299/1137 | 74th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.6% | #563/1137 | 51st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 3.6 | 52.2 | 15.9 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 2.3 | 54.7 | 27.1 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 4.0 | 52.8 | 13.4 | 0.5 |
| Losses7g | 2.3 | 54.0 | 26.9 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.0 | 48.2 | 27.1 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 4.0 | 60.0 | 15.9 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
75All-Conference
Elite: yards / catch (95th). Strength: fumbles lost (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Donte Lee JrLibertyKevin ConcepcionTexas A&M· 78% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 77% simChris Brazzell IITennessee· 77% sim
Yards / catch
Fumbles lost
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Jump-Ball Target
Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ramel Keyton’s 2022 season.
Ramel Keyton
86%match
#2
AJ Wilson
82%
#3
Malik Knowles
80%
#4
Ramel Keyton
80%
#5
Umari Hatcher
78%
Matches Ramel on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ben Ratzlaff’s path through Houston Christian.
Ben Ratzlaff
99%match
#2
Troy Franklin
NFL Rd 4
99%
#3
Colton Dowell
NFL Rd 7
98%
#4
Marlon Williams
All-AAC
98%
#5
Blayne Taylor
98%
Matches Ben on
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to AJ Wilson's sophomore season at UTSA (2025).
AJ Wilson
85%match
#2
Stephon Johnson Jr.
78%
#3
Duece Watts
75%
#4
Malik Knowles
All-Big 12
75%
#5
Cam Vaughn
All-Conference USA
74%
Matches AJ on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jamey Chadwell
Pass share
38.7%
314 pass / 498 run
Plays / game
67.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
249 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
Played his entire career under Jamey Chadwell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBaltimore, MD
Height6'3"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLiberty
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Liberty | WR3 | #1168 | #1246 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.