TTU No. 13 Texas Tech2-0 35 ORST Oregon State 0-2 24 Final No. 13 Texas Tech beat Oregon State 35-24. Share this game
We had Texas Tech favored. It won.
How it swung Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas Tech an 80% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas Tech was a 25.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.
Favored the whole way: Texas Tech never fell below 63%.
Oregon State never had better than a 36% chance.
75-yard TD pass Oregon State · Q2 7:25Final Texas Tech 35-24 Oregon State Texas Tech won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Oregon State 24-35 Texas Tech Oregon State lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 96% at half Texas Tech Won 35-24 1 +14 Scores 75-yard TD pass Texas Tech O. State Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 2 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 17 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 20 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 15 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 19 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 7 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 96% at half Texas Tech Won 35-24 1 Scores 75-yard TD pass T. Tech O. State Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 2 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 17 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 20 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 15 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 19 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 7 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4% at half Texas Tech Lost 24-35 1 −14 Scores 75-yard TD pass O. State Texas Tech Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 7 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 2 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 17 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 20 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 15 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 19 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4% at half Texas Tech Lost 24-35 1 Scores 75-yard TD pass O. State T. Tech Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 7 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 4 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 3 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 8 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 2 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 1 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 0 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 5 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 6 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 9 comments a minute Oregon State fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 3 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 2 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 4 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 7 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 17 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 20 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 15 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 12 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 8 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 10 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 5 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 6 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 11 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 14 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 13 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 9 comments a minute Texas Tech fans: 19 comments a minute
See it from Oregon State’s side The play that swung it
1 Q4 6:31 Hammond 32-yd TD pass to Eakin, Texas Tech goes ahead 28-24 Texas Tech 73% → 87% (+14) The play that swung it
1 Q4 6:31 Hammond 32-yd TD pass to Eakin, Texas Tech goes ahead 28-24 Oregon State 27% → 13% (−14) Texas Tech’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Texas Tech -25.5), at 94% for Texas Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Oregon State or Texas Tech flair (889 and 1,904); both sides share one scale, regulation only.
Every drive Texas Tech scored on 5 of its 14 drives; Oregon State on 4 of its 14.
Texas Tech’s drives are teal, Oregon State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Oregon State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 41 Punt Texas Tech: Punt, from 97 yards out to 55 Punt Oregon State: Missed field goal, from 91 yards out to 36 Missed FG Texas Tech: Punt, from 64 yards out to 49 Punt Q2 Oregon State: Punt, from 90 yards out to 94 Punt Texas Tech: Touchdown, from 49 yards out to 0 Touchdown Oregon State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas Tech: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0 Touchdown Oregon State: Interception, from 85 yards out to 49 Interception Texas Tech: Punt, from 65 yards out to 61 Punt Oregon State: Punt, from 84 yards out to 80 Punt Texas Tech: Missed field goal, from 45 yards out to 45 Missed FG Q3 Texas Tech: Punt, from 80 yards out to 77 Punt Oregon State: Touchdown, from 76 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Oregon State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas Tech: Punt, from 64 yards out to 58 Punt Oregon State: Punt, from 79 yards out to 73 Punt Texas Tech: Fumble, from 67 yards out to 78 Fumble Q4 Oregon State: Field goal, from 18 yards out to 12 Field goal Texas Tech: Punt, from 74 yards out to 72 Punt Oregon State: Punt, from 71 yards out to 67 Punt Texas Tech: Touchdown, from 62 yards out to 0 Touchdown Oregon State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 37 Downs Texas Tech: Punt, from 63 yards out to 62 Punt Oregon State: Turned over on downs, from 86 yards out to 89 Downs Texas Tech: Touchdown, from 11 yards out to 0 Touchdown Oregon State: End of game, from 84 yards out to 34 End of game Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
Texas Tech fans
hammond “Did Hammond just lose his job on live TV to a guy who’s been on the team for 2 weeks”
secondary “Big 12 teams watching our secondary in game film and licking their chops rn”
Oregon State fans
refs “Announcers working hard to act like the refs weren't the real winners tonight.”
atkinson ““What is happening in Corvallis right now” ATKINSON TO LEGREE IS WHATS HAPPENING”
catch “If OSU WRs (Hampton) could only catch this game would be even more incredible.”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: back, now, don, field.
What it cost Texas Tech’s chance to make the playoff fell from 43% to 42%.
Make the playoff
Texas Tech · won 43% → ▼ 42% 43% ▼ 42%
Oregon State · lost 1% → ▼ 0%
Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Texas Tech 35, Oregon State 24
Oregon State covered +25.5 by 14.5. The total, 59, went over 52.5.
Texas Tech Oregon State Total yards Texas Tech 352 Oregon State 472 352 472 Passing yards Texas Tech 197 Oregon State 417 197 417 Rushing yards Texas Tech 155 Oregon State 55 155 55 First downs Texas Tech 22 Oregon State 20 22 20 Turnovers Texas Tech 1 Oregon State 1 1 1 Time of possession Texas Tech 29:35 Oregon State 30:25 29:35 30:25 Team totals Texas Tech Oregon State Total yards 352 472 Passing 21 of 28, 197 yds 32 of 52, 417 yds Rushing 46 for 155 yds 19 for 55 yds First downs 22 20 Third down 8 of 16 4 of 15 Fourth down 1 of 1 1 of 3 Turnovers 1 1 Penalties 7 for 70 yds 7 for 60 yds Time of possession 29:35 30:25
Texas Tech leaders Passing Will Hammond 20 of 27, 189 yds, 1 TDRushing J'Koby Williams 20 for 116 yds, 1 TD; Quinten Joyner 5 for 25 ydsReceiving Coy Eakin 6 for 79 yds, 1 TD; Kenny Johnson 5 for 41 ydsOregon State leaders Passing Braden Atkinson 31 of 51, 413 yds, 2 TD, 1 INTRushing Aaron Butler 1 for 20 yds; Cornell Hatcher Jr. 4 for 17 ydsReceiving Jesse Legree 8 for 240 yds, 2 TD; Aeryn Hampton 4 for 50 ydsRain through most of the game 59° at kickoff · 0.1 in of rain by radar over the stadium; the airport 4.3 miles away recorded 0.02 in
The usual here around this date is 67°, with about 7 in 10 games between 60° and 75°.
September game-day temperatures at Reser Stadium
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oregon State favored Texas Tech favored 0% Win chance Oregon State Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Hourly wind only at this airport Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oregon State favored Texas Tech favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Hourly wind only at this airport Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:44 left4:44 p.m.
Texas Tech 0, Oregon State 0 · Oregon State 6% to win
no rain · 59°
Newberry run for a 7-yd loss
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at Corvallis Muni airport, 4.3 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Oregon State’s explosive plays against Texas Tech, 71 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Oregon State’s explosive plays against Texas Tech’s defense
71 points weaker stronger 50th Oregon State offense, 87th percentile · Texas Tech defense, 16th
Texas Tech’s rushing EPA against Oregon State’s defense
37 points weaker stronger 50th Texas Tech offense, 79th percentile · Oregon State defense, 42nd
Texas Tech’s success rate against Oregon State’s defense
30 points weaker stronger 50th Texas Tech offense, 86th percentile · Oregon State defense, 56th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Texas Tech Oregon State
EPA/play, offense
Texas Tech · 68 Oregon State · 95 EPA/play, defense
Texas Tech · 89 Oregon State · 56 Success rate, offense
Texas Tech · 86 Oregon State · 91 Success rate, defense
Texas Tech · 72 Oregon State · 56 Explosive-play rate, offense
Texas Tech · 18 Oregon State ·… Explosive-play rate, defense
Texas Tech · 16 Oregon State ·… Rush EPA, offense
Texas Tech · 79 Oregon State · 67 Rush EPA, defense
Texas Tech · 86 Oregon State · 42 Pass EPA, offense
Texas Tech · 74 Oregon State · 94 Pass EPA, defense
Texas Tech · 87 Oregon State · 76 The series Texas Tech leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 1959 · Texas Tech has won the last 2
2025 Texas Tech 45-14 Oregon State lost 14-45 at Texas Tech. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 5%. 1959 Texas Tech 15-14 Each line is Oregon State’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Oregon State fans are in a better mood than Texas Tech fans (57th vs 29th among FBS fanbases), even with Texas Tech favored.
50-50 Model · 20% Line · 2% Oregon State fans · 57th Texas Tech fans · 29th Texas Tech Oregon State Model · 20% Line · 2% Oregon State fans · 57th Texas Tech fans · 29th Texas Tech favored by 25.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go Texas Tech by 25.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market The spread moved 2 points toward Oregon State.
opened +27.5 now +25.5 The total rose 3 points.
opened 49.5 now 52.5 Spread: +27.5 → +25.5 · Total: 49.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 3.6%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Cool, with rain. Feels like 56° at kickoff.
Texas Tech at Oregon State · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Reser Stadium, Corvallis
56°feels like at kickoff 0.02 in rain at kickoff 97weather score, Comfortable Tied for the roughest of the day's 4 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday Games in this time zone used 4 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's four kickoff times. At Reser Stadium that day, a 12:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 97 at 4:15 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 100 Ideal 97 Comfortable 99 Comfortable 95 Comfortable
12:30 pm 4:15 pm 6 pm 7:30 pm
12:30 pm: 100, Ideal 4:15 pm: 97, Comfortable (this game) 6 pm: 99, Comfortable 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Oregon State is worth +2.7 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 25th percentile.
50% at home, 32% on the road against FBS opponents (23-23 home, 14-30 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,369 miles to get here.