Texas Tech at Oregon State
Fan take
Texas Tech fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Texas Tech · 12-2
Picked #7 in the preseason · now #6 — about right.
2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.
L 0–23 vs OregonTop 25 #1 of 668
lost by 23 as a 1-point favorite
W 34–7 vs BYUTop 25 #20 of 668
won by 27 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 49–0 @ West Virginia #118 of 668
won by 49 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 48–9 vs UCF #92 of 668
won by 39 as a 24-point favorite
W 29–7 vs BYUTop 25 #24 of 668
won by 22 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 43–20 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #30 of 668
won by 23 as a 7-point favorite
W 42–0 vs Oklahoma State #188 of 668
won by 42 as a 38-point favorite
L 22–26 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #32 of 668
lost by 4 as a 8.5-point favorite
W 42–17 vs Kansas #49 of 668
won by 25 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 35–11 @ HoustonTop 25 #55 of 668
won by 24 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 34–10 @ UtahTop 25 #48 of 668
won by 24 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 45–14 vs Oregon State #90 of 668
won by 31 as a 23.5-point favorite
W 62–14 vs Kent State #245 of 668
won by 48 as a 47.5-point favorite
W 67–7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff #181 of 668
won by 60 as a 54.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Oregon State · 2-10
Picked #70 in the preseason · now #49 — better than expected.
Three straight losses.
L 8–32 @ Washington State #63 of 668
lost by 24 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 14–31 @ Tulsa #135 of 668
lost by 17 as a 1-point underdog
L 17–21 vs Sam Houston #204 of 668
lost by 4 as a 21.5-point favorite
W 10–7 vs Washington State #87 of 668
won by 3 as a 3-point underdog
W 45–13 vs Lafayette #185 of 668
won by 32 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 14–39 vs Wake Forest #58 of 668
lost by 25 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 23–27 @ App State #144 of 668
lost by 4 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 24–27 vs HoustonTop 25 #50 of 668
lost by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 7–41 @ OregonTop 25 #2 of 668
lost by 34 as a 34.5-point underdog
L 14–45 @ Texas TechTop 25 #21 of 668
lost by 31 as a 23.5-point underdog
L 27–36 vs Fresno State #79 of 668
lost by 9 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 15–34 vs California #65 of 668
lost by 19 as a 3-point underdog
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Texas Tech projected #11 seed
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 13, 2026
The series
Texas Tech leads the series 3-0
3 meetings since 1959 · Texas Tech has won the last 3
- 2026Texas Tech 35–24
- 2025Texas Tech 45–14
- 1959Texas Tech 15–14
Best players
Texas Tech
- Ben Roberts (LB) · 14 tackles
- J'Koby Williams (RB) · 187 rushing yards — Heisman odds: 77th (+20000)
- Will Hammond (QB) · 487 passing yards — Heisman odds: 24th (+7200)
Oregon State
- Jesse Legree (WR) · 376 receiving yards
- Braden Atkinson (QB) · 775 passing yards
- Aiden Sullivan (LB) · 19 tackles
The line, and the room
Oregon State fans are feeling better about their season (80th percentile) than Texas Tech fans are (34th) — even with Texas Tech favored here.
- Model · 20%
- Market · 2%
- Oregon State fans · 80th
- Texas Tech fans · 34th
Home +25.5 · O/U 52.5
Conditions
63°F · 8 mph wind · Cloudy
Oregon State is worth +2.7 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 25th percentile.
48% at home, 29% on the road against FBS opponents (21–23 home, 12–30 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.9 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±6.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,369 miles to get here.
Texas Tech 35 – Oregon State 24
Called it — picked Texas Tech to win.
The thread's loudest minute was 00:38 — 27 comments, 6.8× its usual pace.
comments / minute
Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 22:30–00:41 UTC (669 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.
- BoxThe line
Jesse Legree (Oregon State): 8 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD
Top 0.1% receiving yards game since 2021.Legree will not be on this team next season :(r/CFB game thread · ▲ 3
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
Oregon State
- Wk 1Lat Houston20-33
Texas Tech
- Wk 1Wvs Abilene Christian33-10
Trajectory
Texas Tech won 35-24, as picked pregame.