cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Griffen Willis /Navy

Griffen Willis

DT · Navy · Jr · #95

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

48 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Navy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Navy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Navy

Returning around him

  • 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Navy players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (0 in / 3 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Navy · Last season: 11-2 (AP #22) · 2026 recruiting class #131

DT · NAVY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Griffen Willis

  • 3
  • #95
  • 6-1 | 273 lb
  • Austin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7691

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Navy
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class3
Jersey95
Measurements6-1 | 273 lb
HometownAustin, TX
Primary teamNavy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7691Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7853Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Griffen Willis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Griffen Willis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
48Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
52Tackles
7Tackles for loss
3.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 48): needs 32/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 48): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Griffen Willis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Navy's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7691 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 3.0 sacks | 6.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 48 18 solo | #649/4942 (87th pct)
TFL 6.5 Backfield disruption | #340/4972 (93rd pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
48 87th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
6.5 93rd
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-7vs VMI510.50.00
Wk 2W 38-24vs UAB510.00.00
Wk 3W 42-23@ Tulsa430.50.51
Wk 5W 21-13vs Rice522.01.00
Wk 6W 34-31vs Air Force610.50.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 7W 32-31@ Temple320.00.00
Wk 9W 42-32vs Florida Atlantic200.00.00
Wk 10L 17-31@ North Texas531.51.00
Wk 11L 10-49@ Notre Dame320.00.00
Wk 12W 41-38vs South Florida310.00.00
Wk 14W 28-17@ Memphis200.50.50
Wk 16W 17-16vs Army521.00.00
Total48186.53.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Navy10-3HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
2025Navy11-2HC: Brian Newberry · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Navy48186.53.01----
2024Navy32103.02.01----
Career2 loaded seasons80289.55.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 48 #649/4942 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.5 #340/4972 93rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.40.60.10.0
Road5g3.40.50.40.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g4.00.50.20.1
Losses2g4.00.80.50.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.70.60.20.2
Weeks 8+6g3.30.50.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

75All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (88th). Strength: tackles for loss (87th).

Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#340 / 2975 · 87th pct
6.5defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Tackles#649 / 2975 · 78th pct
48defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Griffen WillisNavyMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 82% simRay ConeyTulsa· 81% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 81% sim
Sacks
89
Willis
89
Baranowski
80
Coney
80
Payne
Tackles for loss
87
Willis
95
Baranowski
90
Coney
87
Payne
QB hurries
82
Willis
82
Baranowski
88
Coney
82
Payne
Tackles
78
Willis
98
Baranowski
100
Coney
98
Payne
Solo tackles
59
Willis
98
Baranowski
93
Coney
95
Payne
Passes defended
48
Willis
48
Baranowski
67
Coney
67
Payne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacob Lacey’s 2023 season.

Jacob Lacey

91%match

Oklahoma · 2023

#2

Atlias Bell

Houston · 2022

91%
#3

Brayden Utley

Baylor · 2022

91%
#4

JB Brown

Massachusetts · 2023

90%
#5

Tevita Tafuna

UTEP · 2024

88%

Matches Jacob on

Sack rate
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Davon Strickland's sophomore season at Florida International (2021).

Davon Strickland

86%match

Florida International · 2021

#2

Bryce Dixon

Liberty · 2023

85%
#3

Thomas Aden

Kent State · 2025

82%
#4

Antonio Showers

Troy · 2021

82%
#5

Tyler Kiehne

New Mexico · 2023

81%

Matches Davon on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Newberry

Pass share

22.5%

182 pass / 626 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

138 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Brian Newberry
Navy
2025
Brian Newberry
Navy

Played his entire career under Brian Newberry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAustin, TX
Height6'1"
Weight273 lb
Class3
PositionDT
Jersey95

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Navy DT3 #7691 #7853 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Navy DT3 #13049 #13048 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Navy American Athletic DT 3 No. 95 | 6-1 | 273 lb | Austin, TX
2024 Navy American Athletic DT 3 No. 95 | 6-1 | 273 lb | Austin, TX
2023 Navy American Athletic DT 3 No. 95 | 6-1 | 273 lb | Austin, TX