cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jakobe Thomas /Miami

Jakobe Thomas

DB · Miami · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

75 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Minnesota — Rd 3, Pick 34, #98 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

#98Rd 3 · Pick 34
Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

DB · MIAMI · ACC

Jakobe Thomas

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-2 | 200 lb
  • Tullahoma, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

78

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4182

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Middle Tennessee · DB

2023

Middle Tennessee · DB

2024

Tennessee · DB

2025

Miami · DB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 3, Pick 34 · #98 overall · Minnesota

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2048 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 &middot; #98
Minnesota &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-2 | 200 lb
HometownTullahoma, TN
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2048 recruit
Composite rating 0.8183 HighSchool
Signed with Middle Tennessee 2021
Origin Tullahoma Tullahoma, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8183 No. 2048 recruit | HighSchool | Middle Tennessee

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4182Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3894Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Middle Tennessee

Composite

0.8183

#2048 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 3, Pick 34

#98 overall · Minnesota

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jakobe Thomas

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jakobe Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 15g
75Tackles
4Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Final
75Tackles
4Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jakobe Thomas is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Miami's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and 5 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4182 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 75 45 solo | #207/4942 (96th pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
75 96th
SOLO
45 97th
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
3.5 95th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
6 93rd
INT
5 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 27-24vs Notre Dame420.00.00
Wk 2W 45-3vs Bethune-Cookman210.00.00
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida430.00.00
Wk 4W 26-7vs Florida521.51.00
Wk 6W 28-22@ Florida State551.01.012
Wk 8L 21-24vs Louisville220.00.01
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford440.00.00
Wk 10L 20-26@ SMU930.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 11W 38-10vs Syracuse551.01.010
Wk 12W 41-7vs NC State310.00.021
Wk 14W 38-7@ Pittsburgh520.00.00
BowlW 10-3@ Texas A&M930.50.50
BowlW 24-14@ Ohio State740.00.010
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss550.00.02
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana630.00.00
Total75454.03.556
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Middle Tennessee8-5HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami75454.03.565--
2024Tennessee22143.01.02----
2023Middle Tennessee71523.00.05----
2022Middle Tennessee35261.00.024--
Career4 loaded seasons20313711.04.5159--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 5 1 pick-six TD | #6/869 (99th pct)
Pass breakups 6 Coverage disruption | #144/2184 (93rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 75 #207/4942 96th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 5 #6/869 99th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 6 #144/2184 93rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 73 #49/578 92nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 45 #128/4584 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 14.6 #287/578 51st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 1 #13/119 90th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 15 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g3.60.30.20.2
Road7g6.60.20.20.6

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins12g4.80.30.30.4
Losses3g5.70.00.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-79g5.20.30.30.4
Weeks 8+6g4.70.20.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

78All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (98th). Strength: solo tackles (95th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#6 / 817 · 98th pct
5inte
Solo tackles#128 / 2975 · 96th pct
45defe
Passes defended#144 / 2975 · 94th pct
6defe
Tackles#207 / 2975 · 93rd pct
75defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jakobe ThomasMiamiOwen LongColorado State· 94% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 90% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 88% sim
Interceptions
98
Thomas
98
Moses
Solo tackles
96
Thomas
99
Long
96
Andersen
98
Moses
Passes defended
94
Thomas
91
Long
96
Andersen
78
Moses
Tackles
93
Thomas
100
Long
99
Andersen
99
Moses
Sacks
91
Thomas
80
Long
74
Andersen
63
Moses
Tackles for loss
73
Thomas
80
Long
90
Andersen
83
Moses
Forced fumbles
47
Thomas
47
Long
47
Moses
QB hurries
22
Thomas
22
Long
22
Andersen
22
Moses

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Paul Lewis III’s 2024 season.

Paul Lewis III

88%match

Akron · 2024

All-MAC
#2

Jakobe Thomas

Middle Tennessee · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 34
86%
#3

Dustin Johnson

Ohio · 2024

74%
#4

M.J. Griffin

Temple · 2021

73%
#5

Isaac Gifford

Nebraska · 2022

71%

Matches Paul on

Height
PD rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Hunter Wohler's senior season at Wisconsin (2024).

Hunter Wohler

87%match

Wisconsin · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
#2

Dustin Johnson

Ohio · 2024

80%
#3

Barrett Carter

Clemson · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 4
79%
#4

JD Bertrand

Notre Dame · 2023

NFL Rd 5
78%
#5

Deontae Lawson

Alabama · 2025

All-SEC
75%

Matches Hunter on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2023
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTullahoma, TN
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2025)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-ACC all_conference ACC DB
2025 All-ACC all_conference ACC S

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tennessee DB4 #4182 #3894 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Middle Tennessee DB4 #11797 #11988 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Middle Tennessee DB4 #9784 #10106 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC DB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Tullahoma, TN
2024 Tennessee SEC DB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Tullahoma, TN
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA DB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Tullahoma, TN
2022 Middle Tennessee Conference USA DB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Tullahoma, TN