cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / James BlackStrain /Missouri State

James BlackStrain

WR · Missouri State · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

224 REC YDS · 22 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Missouri State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Missouri State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Missouri State

Returning around him

  • Transfer portal: +8 net (19 in / 11 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Missouri State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #129 · 2026 recruiting class #133

WR · MISSOURI STATE · CONFERENCE USA

James BlackStrain

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-2 | 180 lb
  • Cocoa, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

22

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 22nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3642

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#305 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-2 | 180 lb
HometownCocoa, FL
Primary teamMissouri State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 305 recruit
Composite rating 0.9013 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia Tech 2021
Origin Holy Trinity Episcopal Academy Cocoa, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9013 No. 305 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Missouri State 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Mar 25, 2024
Season Move Context
2024 Georgia Tech -> Missouri State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#3642Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3550Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Georgia Tech

Composite

0.9013

#305 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on James BlackStrain

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about James BlackStrain

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

10.2

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #411 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 23rd

Why it matters

#411 of 531 All FBS WRs at 10.2 yards per reception (22 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 10.2 (23th)

MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#475 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs UT Martin — 47 ypr

Result W 42-10

The week the volume broke through — put up 47 yds vs UT Martin.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
224Rec yards
22Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
22.4Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
291.2Rec yards
29Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 224): needs 158.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 224): needs 258.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 12.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 19.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

James BlackStrain's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Missouri State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3642 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 305 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 22 1 rec TD | #383/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 224 10.2 per catch | #435/1107 (61st pct)
Scrimmage yards 224 Total offensive yardage | #435/1107 (61st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
22 66th
YDS
224 61st
YPR
10.2 33rd
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3L 10-28vs SMU24020.0021
Wk 4W 42-10vs UT Martin34715.7123Season-high 47 yds
Wk 7W 22-20@ Middle Tennessee2126.0011
Wk 9W 24-17@ New Mexico State3196.3015
Wk 10W 28-21vs Florida International22311.5013
Wk 11W 21-17@ Liberty22311.5018
Wk 12W 38-24vs UTEP3124.0010
Wk 13L 34-41@ Kennesaw State24020.0032
Wk 14L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech155.005
BowlL 28-34@ Arkansas State231.504
Total2222410.2132
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Georgia Tech7-6HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
2025Missouri State7-6HC: Ryan Beard · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri State2222410.21--
2023Georgia Tech----------
Career2 loaded seasons2222410.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.1% 9.1% pass-game share | #524/1137 (54th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 22 #383/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 224 #435/1107 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.2 #737/1106 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.1% #524/1137 54th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #576/1105 48th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.7% #188/1137 84th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.4% #540/1137 53rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.1% #471/1137 59th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.3% #478/1137 58th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.8% #580/1137 49th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.7% #848/1137 26th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.225.411.20.2
Road5g2.219.49.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g2.522.79.20.2
Losses4g1.822.011.60.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.225.510.80.2
Weeks 8+6g2.220.39.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

22Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (16th).

Receptions#383 / 558 · 30th pct
22rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rec yards#434 / 558 · 22nd pct
224rece
Yards / catch#457 / 558 · 18th pct
10.2rece
Long catch#462 / 558 · 17th pct
32rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
James BlackStrainMissouri StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 65% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 59% simAaron TurnerRice· 57% sim
Receptions
30
BlackStrain
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Rec TDs
24
BlackStrain
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Rec yards
22
BlackStrain
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Yards / catch
18
BlackStrain
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Long catch
17
BlackStrain
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Robert Williams’s 2024 season.

Robert Williams

85%match

Louisiana · 2024

#2

Jeremiah Noga

Washington State · 2025

85%
#3

Peter LeBlanc

Louisiana · 2022

83%
#4

Casey Reynolds

Army · 2023

79%
#5

Adam Jones

Arkansas State · 2021

79%

Matches Robert on

Reception volume
TD rate
Yards / reception

Differs from Robert on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Peter LeBlanc's junior season at Louisiana (2022).

Peter LeBlanc

85%match

Louisiana · 2022

#2

Alex Adams

Akron · 2023

All-MAC
78%
#3

Terrell Bynum

USC · 2022

78%
#4

R.J. Sneed

Colorado · 2022

76%
#5

Porter Rooks

NC State · 2022

75%

Matches Peter on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Peter on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Beard

Pass share

51.9%

433 pass / 401 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.0%

307 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Missouri State
2025
Ryan Beard
Missouri State
era →

Played his entire career under Ryan Beard.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCocoa, FL
Height6'2"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Georgia Tech WR4 #3642 #3550 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Georgia Tech WR4 #4031 #4241 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Georgia Tech WR4 #3459 #3379 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri State Conference USA WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Cocoa, FL
2023 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Cocoa, FL
2022 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Cocoa, FL
2021 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 180 lb | Cocoa, FL