Jaxson Kincaide: RB · Western Michigan · #7.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Jaxson Kincaide
Does a little of everything without one standout trait. Played for three head coaches at two programs in six seasons: Brian Polian, Jay Norvell and Tim Lester. One game to point at: 70 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD against Akron — Week 11, 2021.
Play style
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
Closer · Q4-with-lead carry share
The closer
15.1% of carries overall (83/550) → 23.2% of Q4-with-lead carries (22/95) — 13.6% of those in competitive (≤16-pt) games.
Counted from the play-by-play, so a carry or two can differ from the box score.
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
2 of the team's 46 inside-the-5 carries (4.3%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Western Michigan | 84 | 480 | 5.7 | 5 | 27 |
| 2020 | Western Michigan | 30 | 197 | 6.6 | 1 | 14 |
| 2019 | Nevada | 32 | 146 | 4.6 | 1 | 33 |
| 2018 | Nevada | 26 | 119 | 4.6 | 2 | 33 |
| 2017 | Nevada | 63 | 295 | 4.7 | 0 | 31 |
| 2016 | Nevada | 78 | 334 | 4.3 | 3 | 48 |
| Career | 313 | 1,571 | 5.0 | 12 | 48 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Western Michigan | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 11 |
| 2020 | Western Michigan | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | 0 | 13 |
| 2019 | Nevada | 8 | 61 | 7.6 | 0 | 35 |
| 2018 | Nevada | 10 | 111 | 11.1 | 2 | 73 |
| 2017 | Nevada | 13 | 56 | 4.3 | 1 | 13 |
| 2016 | Nevada | 7 | 88 | 12.6 | 0 | 43 |
| Career | 46 | 371 | 8.1 | 3 | 73 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2021 season · 12 games
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| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-47@ Michigan | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 2 | W 28-0vs Illinois State | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 44-41@ Pittsburgh | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 23-3vs San José State | 7 | 41 | 5.9 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-17@ Buffalo | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | L 20-45vs Ball State | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 7 | W 64-31vs Kent State | 9 | 61 | 6.8 | 2 | 26 | |
| Wk 8 | L 15-34@ Toledo | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 10 | L 30-42vs Central Michigan | 6 | 36 | 6.0 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 11 | W 45-40vs Akron | 6 | 70 | 11.7 | 1 | 27 | Season-high 70 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 21-22@ Eastern Michigan | 6 | 35 | 5.8 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 13 | W 42-21@ Northern Illinois | 9 | 43 | 4.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Total | 67 | 375 | 5.6 | 3 | 27 |
Week 7 · 2021
W 64-31
vs Kent State
61 rush yds (9 car) · 2 TD
Dominant 33-point win at home against Kent State.
With K. Eleby — 307 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 90.5 · 33 rush yds (3 car) · 1 TD · N. Mihalic — 45.5 yards per punt · 2 punts · 48 long
The plays that mattered most
Rush profile · Shape, efficiency, and ball security
How he gets his yards, and how often it works
Success rate
47%66 carriesStuffed
0 or fewer ydsGrind
1–3 ydsChunk
4–9 ydsExplosive
10+ yds5.7 yds/carry on 84 carries · 18% explosive (10+ yds) · 47% success rate.
Splits · Per-game
2021 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 37.7 | 6.1 | 0.5 |
| Road6g | 24.8 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 21.3 | 4.2 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 45.2 | 6.5 | 0.2 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tim Lester
Pass share
38.7%
368 pass / 583 run
Plays / game
79.2
12 games
Team sack rate
6.8%
395 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2021
Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week.
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Two-star recruit. Now #168 at the position.
How it ended
Six seasons, at Nevada and Western Michigan, 1,571 rushing yards — the college career is complete.
A stat line in 53 games over six seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2016–2021
3 coachesPlayed for 3 head coaches at 2 schools: Brian Polian, Jay Norvell and Tim Lester.
