cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ayo Adeyi /James Madison

Ayo Adeyi

RB · James Madison · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

120 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 24 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred James Madison → Oklahoma State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Oklahoma State

2025James Madison
2026Oklahoma State

RB · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT

Ayo Adeyi

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-8 | 200 lb
  • Mansfield, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 53rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1310

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

North Texas · RB

2022

North Texas · RB

2023

North Texas · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

James Madison · RB

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
4962021
7792022
1,0172023
1202025

-76%

Sharp dropoff (-76%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-8 | 200 lb
HometownMansfield, TX
Primary teamJames Madison

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Oklahoma State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 James Madison -> Oklahoma State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 North Texas -> James Madison 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1310Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1121Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ayo Adeyi

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ayo Adeyi

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
120Rush yards
24Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
30Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
390Rush yards
78Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 120): needs 70/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 120): needs 97.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 120): needs 153.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.2/game over remaining 9.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ayo Adeyi already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #1310 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 120 120 rush | -- rec | #411/735 (44th pct)
Rush TD 0 24 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 5.0 Per-rush efficiency | #280/735 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
24 43rd
YDS
120 44th
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
0 40th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Weber State8212.608
Wk 2L 14-28@ Louisville144.004
Wk 4W 31-13@ Liberty13876.7024Season-high 87 yds
Wk 6W 14-7@ Georgia State284.008
Total241204.3024
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Texas6-6HC: Seth Littrell · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2022North Texas7-7HC: Seth Littrell · Run-leaning
2023North Texas5-7HC: Eric Morris · Balanced, fast tempo
2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison241205.00--
2023North Texas1431,0177.16--
2022North Texas1127797.04--
2021North Texas844965.96--
Career4 loaded seasons3632,4126.616--
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison----------
2023North Texas7527.40--
2022North Texas2126.00--
2021North Texas133.00--
Career4 loaded seasons10676.70--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 9.0% 15.0% rush share | #354/738 (52nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.26 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #15/362 (96th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 120 #411/735 44th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.0 #280/735 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.26 #15/362 96th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 77 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.0% #354/738 52nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 24 #420/739 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 24 #347/733 53rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 15.0% #349/738 53rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.0% #303/738 59th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.8% #327/738 56th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 10.4% #340/738 54th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 4.9% #456/738 38th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.8% #507/738 31st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home1g21.02.60.0
Road3g33.04.90.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g38.74.40.0
Losses1g4.04.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g30.04.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

17Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#157 / 349 · 53rd pct
5.0rush
Long run#282 / 349 · 19th pct
24rush
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Rush yards#348 / 349 · 1st pct
120rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
24rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Ayo AdeyiJames MadisonRashod DubinionApp State· 42% simKamari MoultonIowa· 40% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 39% sim
Yards / carry
53
Adeyi
53
Dubinion
62
Moulton
41
Brunson
Long run
19
Adeyi
39
Dubinion
33
Moulton
73
Brunson
Rush TDs
3
Adeyi
50
Dubinion
62
Moulton
50
Brunson
Rush yards
1
Adeyi
84
Dubinion
84
Moulton
80
Brunson
Carries
0
Adeyi
87
Dubinion
86
Moulton
85
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bob Chesney

Pass share

39.7%

385 pass / 584 run

Plays / game

69.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

269 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
James Madison
2022
Curt Cignetti
James Madison
era →
2023
Damian Wroblewski
James Madison
era →
2025
Bob Chesney
James Madison
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Curt Cignetti, Damian Wroblewski, and Bob Chesney. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMansfield, TX
Height5'8"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-AAC all_conference North Texas | AAC RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 James Madison RB4 #1310 #1121 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 North Texas RB4 #609 #827 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 North Texas RB4 #887 #1087 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 North Texas RB4 #831 #1158 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 James Madison Sun Belt RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX
2024 James Madison Sun Belt RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX
2023 North Texas American Athletic RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX
2022 North Texas Conference USA RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX
2021 North Texas Conference USA RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX