cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan Brunson /Miami (OH)

Jordan Brunson

RB · Miami (OH) · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

767 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 164 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Miami (OH)

Returning around him

  • 48% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Miami (OH) player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (16 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami (OH) · Last season: 7-7 · Talent rank #87 · 2026 recruiting class #83

RB · MIAMI (OH) · MID-AMERICAN

Jordan Brunson

  • 4
  • #6
  • 6-0 | 233 lb
  • Alpharetta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3811

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
15.02022
1372023
7672025

+5013%

Up 5013% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1379 national
CFB
College
Miami (OH)
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements6-0 | 233 lb
HometownAlpharetta, GA
Primary teamMiami (OH)

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1379 recruit
Composite rating 0.8444 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Denmark Alpharetta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8444 No. 1379 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Miami (OH) 2022
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 19, 2022
Season Move Context
2022 Virginia Tech -> Miami (OH) 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3811Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4061Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (767).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8444

#1379 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan Brunson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Brunson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
767Rush yards
164Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
59Rush yards
13Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
767Rush yards
164Carries
4Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 767.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordan Brunson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami (OH), the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3811 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 20.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 772 767 rush | 5 rec | #70/735 (91st pct)
Rush TD 4 164 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.7 Per-rush efficiency | #343/735 (53rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse against FBS RB peers.

Workhorse

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
164 93rd
YDS
767 91st
YPC
4.7 53rd
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
1 16th
YDS
5 10th
YPR
5.0 26th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 0-17@ Wisconsin221.001
Wk 4L 38-41vs UNLV
Wk 5W 38-0vs Lindenwood10363.6112
Wk 6W 25-14@ Northern Illinois20733.7010
Wk 7W 20-7@ Akron19723.8011
Wk 8W 44-30vs Eastern Michigan231225.3138
Wk 9W 26-17vs Western Michigan13906.9046
Wk 11L 20-24@ Ohio15493.308
Wk 12L 3-24vs Toledo9444.9016
Wk 13W 37-20@ Buffalo161237.7060Season-high 123 yds
Wk 14W 45-24vs Ball State14543.9112
Wk 15L 13-23@ Western Michigan14594.2113
BowlL 3-18@ Fresno State9434.8012
Total1647674.4460
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Miami (OH)6-7HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Miami (OH)11-3HC: Chuck Martin · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Miami (OH)7-7HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)1647674.74--
2023Miami (OH)1213711.41--
2022Miami (OH)7152.10--
Career3 loaded seasons1839195.05--
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)155.00--
2023Miami (OH)----------
2022Miami (OH)----------
Career3 loaded seasons155.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 1 5 rec yds | #467/552 (16th pct)
Usage 20.4% 36.3% rush share | #87/738 (88th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.04 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #309/362 (15th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 767 #70/735 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.7 #343/735 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 1 #467/552 16th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 5 #495/548 10th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.04 #309/362 15th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 144 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 20.4% #87/738 88th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 164 #54/739 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 60 #105/733 86th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 5 #482/540 11th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.0 #406/548 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 36.3% #81/738 89th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 24.4% #83/738 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 23.1% #100/738 87th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 21.7% #78/738 90th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.5% #127/738 83rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 12.0% #132/738 82nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.0% #506/738 32nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g57.74.90.5
Road7g60.14.10.1

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g81.45.00.4
Losses6g32.83.60.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g37.73.40.2
Weeks 8+7g77.35.20.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

52Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (84th). Strength: rush yards (80th). Concern: receptions (1st).

Carries#54 / 349 · 85th pct
164rush
Rush yards#70 / 349 · 80th pct
767rush
Long run#95 / 349 · 73rd pct
60rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Yards / carry#200 / 349 · 41st pct
4.7rush
Rec yards#329 / 338 · 3rd pct
5rece
Receptions#327 / 338 · 2nd pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.04Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jordan BrunsonMiami (OH)Chavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 85% simQuinton JacksonRice· 81% simLucky SuttonSan Diego State· 80% sim
Carries
85
Brunson
92
Wright
89
Jackson
99
Sutton
Rush yards
80
Brunson
84
Wright
85
Jackson
96
Sutton
Long run
73
Brunson
49
Wright
88
Jackson
58
Sutton
Rush TDs
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Jackson
89
Sutton
Fumbles lost
49
Brunson
49
Wright
Yards / carry
41
Brunson
33
Wright
49
Jackson
58
Sutton
Rec yards
3
Brunson
10
Wright
42
Jackson
1
Sutton
Receptions
2
Brunson
32
Wright
12
Jackson
18
Sutton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marco Lee’s 2023 season.

Marco Lee

74%match

South Alabama · 2023

#2

Deion Hankins

UTEP · 2022

All-Conference USA
73%
#3

Jake Rendina

Army · 2025

70%
#4

Jakobi Buchanan

Army · 2020

64%
#5

Ari Broussard

Rice · 2021

69%

Matches Marco on

Receiving share
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Samuel’s path through Austin Peay.

Joshua Samuel

97%match

Austin Peay · 2022

#2

Demetric Felton

UCLA · 2020

NFL Rd 6
96%
#3

Jordan Fuller

James Madison · 2025

NFL Rd 6
90%
#4

Garrett Groshek

Wisconsin · 2020

89%
#5

Narii Gaither

Gardner-Webb · 2023

87%

Matches Joshua on

Yards per carry

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Marco Lee's senior season at South Alabama (2023).

Marco Lee

84%match

South Alabama · 2023

#2

Hayden Reed

Army · 2025

68%
#3

Dylan Downing

Purdue · 2023

67%
#4

Chip Trayanum

Ohio State · 2023

All-MAC
66%
#5

Markese Stepp

Western Kentucky · 2023

64%

Matches Marco on

EPA / carry (adj)
Weight
Receiving share

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chuck Martin

Pass share

43.4%

367 pass / 478 run

Plays / game

60.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2023
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2025
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)

Played his entire career under Chuck Martin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAlpharetta, GA
Height6'0"
Weight233 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Miami (OH) RB4 #3811 #4061 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Miami (OH) RB4 #893 #762 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Miami (OH) RB4 #3630 #3769 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 Virginia Tech RB4 #2488 #2414 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami (OH) Mid-American RB 4 No. 6 | 6-0 | 233 lb | Alpharetta, GA
2024 Miami (OH) Mid-American RB 4 No. 6 | 6-0 | 233 lb | Alpharetta, GA
2023 Miami (OH) Mid-American RB 4 No. 6 | 6-0 | 233 lb | Alpharetta, GA
2022 Miami (OH) Mid-American RB 4 No. 6 | 6-0 | 233 lb | Alpharetta, GA
2021 Virginia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 6 | 6-0 | 233 lb | Alpharetta, GA