Jordan Duncan

WR · California 2019 · #2

Last confirmed: California, 2019. No 2026 box-score games on record.

6′1″ · 205 lb · Hattiesburg, MS · Oak Grove

Jordan Duncan: WR · California · #2.

Players he’s like

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Carson EppsIowa State · 2016 · 89% season match
Brandon AiyukArizona State · 2018 · 88% season match
Mason HaysTexas State · 2016 · 88% season match
Aaron HeppBall State · 2016 · 88% season match
Brad StewartGeorgia Tech · 2018 · 80% season match

Jordan Duncan

WR · California · Sr · #2

Moves the chains on third down. Jordan Duncan has been at California through two head coaches in four seasons. A game that shows it: 63 receiving yards and 5 receptions against Ole Miss — Week 4, 2019.

How he plays

Play style

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

News and fans

No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.

California in the news

Two key Bears players out for SaturdaySports Illustrated Oct 9
Cal made OC switch at halftimeThe Washington Post Oct 7

Where to follow him

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2019	California	25	364	14.6	2
2018	California	20	267	13.3	4
2017	California	10	120	12.0	1
2016	California	7	31	4.4	1
Career		62	782	12.6	8

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2019 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 27-13vs UC Davis	1	11	11.0	0	11
Wk 2	W 20-19@ No. 14 Washington	2	22	11.0	0	19
Wk 3	W 23-17vs North Texas	1	27	27.0	0	27
Wk 4	W 28-20@ Ole Miss	5	63	12.6	1	20	Season-high 63 yds
Wk 6	L 7-17@ No. 13 Oregon	2	47	23.5	0	36
Wk 8	L 17-21vs Oregon State	3	49	16.3	1	33
Wk 9	L 0-35@ No. 12 Utah	2	16	8.0	0	9
Wk 11	W 33-20vs Washington State	2	47	23.5	0	48
Wk 12	L 17-41vs USC	5	53	10.6	0	14
Wk 13	W 24-20@ Stanford	2	29	14.5	0	15
Total		25	364	14.6	2	48

Signature game

Week 4 · 2019

W 28-20

at Ole Miss

5 rec · 63 yds · 1 TD

With C. Garbers — 357 yds · 4 TD · 1 INT · QBR 86.0 · D. Longhetto — 46.3 yards per punt · 3 punts · 51 long

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 6 · Oregon · 3rd and 10 · Q1 · EPA +4.04Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 36 yds to the Oregn 27 for a
Week 11 · Washington State · 2nd and 8 · Q1 · EPA +3.09Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 48 yds to the WshSt 12 for a
Week 3 · North Texas · 3rd and 24 · Q4 · EPA +2.91Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 27 yds to the Cal 43 for a
Week 8 · Oregon State · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA +2.90Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 33 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)
Week 12 · USC · 3rd and 13 · Q2 · EPA +2.82Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 14 yds to the Cal 45 for a
Week 4 · Ole Miss · 2nd and 8 · Q3 · EPA +2.69Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 9 yds for a TD, (Greg Thomas KICK)

4 more plays

Week 4 · Ole Miss · 3rd and 8 · Q4 · EPA +2.55Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 20 yds to the Cal 42 for a
Week 13 · Stanford · 3rd and 10 · Q2 · EPA +2.11Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 14 yds to the Stanf 23 for a
Week 4 · Ole Miss · 2nd and 10 · Q1 · EPA +2.02Chase Garbers pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 15 yds to the Cal 40 for a
Week 8 · Oregon State · 2nd and 10 · Q1 · EPA +1.98Devon Modster pass complete to Jordan Duncan for 10 yds to the Cal 45 for a

Teams and coaches

2016California5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

2017California5-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced

2018California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning

2019California8-5HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

11 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: catch rate (12th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / catch#186 / 728 · 75th pct

14.6

EPA / target#241 / 728 · 67th pct

0.65

Explosive rate#378 / 728 · 48th pct

11.6%

TD rate#400 / 728 · 45th pct

4.7%

Catch rate#639 / 728 · 12th pct

58.1%

Box-score rates (6)

Yards / catch#183 / 556 · 67th pct

14.6

Long catch#287 / 556 · 47th pct

Rec yards#309 / 556 · 45th pct

364

Fumbles lost#80 / 223 · 40th pct

Rec TDs#293 / 556 · 39th pct

Receptions#339 / 556 · 38th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

96th → 67th percentile

Explosive rate

50th → 48th percentile

Catch rate

79th → 12th percentile

TD rate

98th → 45th percentile

Yards / catch

61st → 75th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2019 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home5g	2.4	37.4	17.7	0.2
Road5g	2.6	35.4	13.9	0.2

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	2.2	34.0	17.0	0.2
Weeks 8+5g	2.8	38.8	14.6	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2019 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

44.2%

365 pass / 461 run

Plays / game

63.5

13 games

Team sack rate

10.2%

430 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Awards

Player standing · 2019

25 catches in 10 games

Fewer catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Jordan Duncan

Players he’s like

How he plays

News and fans

California in the news

Where to follow him

Career stats

Game log

Signature game

Signature plays

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Awards

25 catches in 10 games

Four seasons at California

His moves

2016 5 games