cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan Robinson /Virginia

Jordan Robinson

DB · Virginia · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Virginia

Returning around him

  • 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +8 net (30 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia · Last season: 11-3 (AP #20) · Talent rank #62 · 2026 recruiting class #58

DB · VIRGINIA · ACC

Jordan Robinson

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-4 | 210 lb
  • Columbia, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

46

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11019

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
3 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-4 | 210 lb
HometownColumbia, SC
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11019Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11037Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan Robinson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
2.7Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordan Robinson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Virginia's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11019 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 13 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
13 65th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 48-7vs Coastal Carolina110.00.00
Wk 2L 31-35@ NC State200.00.01
Wk 3W 55-16vs William & Mary110.00.00
Wk 4W 48-20vs Stanford511.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 5W 46-38vs Florida State530.00.00
Wk 6W 30-27@ Louisville220.00.00
Wk 9W 17-16@ North Carolina211.00.00
Wk 10W 31-21@ California100.00.01
Wk 11L 9-16vs Wake Forest100.00.02
Wk 12W 34-17@ Duke430.00.00
Wk 14W 27-7vs Virginia Tech200.00.00
Wk 15L 20-27vs Duke210.50.00
Total28132.50.04
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Kentucky7-6HC: Mark Stoops · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia28132.50.04----
2024Cincinnati18112.00.01----
2023Kentucky1380.50.02----
Career3 loaded seasons59325.00.07----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 13 #1622/4584 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.40.20.00.3
Road5g2.20.20.00.4

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.60.20.00.1
Losses3g1.70.20.01.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.70.20.00.2
Weeks 8+6g2.00.20.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

46Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Solo tackles#1622 / 2975 · 44th pct
13defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jordan RobinsonVirginiaTyler MartinMassachusetts· 72% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 69% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 66% sim
Passes defended
86
Robinson
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Tackles for loss
56
Robinson
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles
49
Robinson
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Solo tackles
44
Robinson
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Sacks
24
Robinson
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Robinson
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Talich’s 2025 season.

Luke Talich

80%match

Notre Dame · 2025

#2

Lantz Russell

UTEP · 2025

78%
#3

Allie Green IV

Missouri · 2021

77%
#4

Devin Kirkwood

UCLA · 2022

76%
#5

J'Marick Woods

Duke · 2021

75%

Matches Luke on

Height
Weight
Tackle volume

Differs from Luke on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Miles Battle's junior season at Ole Miss (2022).

Miles Battle

85%match

Ole Miss · 2022

#2

Bryan Addison

Oregon · 2022

85%
#3

Tacario Davis

Arizona · 2024

All-Big 12NFL Rd 3 · Pk 8
79%
#4

Lantz Russell

UTEP · 2025

79%
#5

Tavier Williams

UL Monroe · 2022

78%

Matches Miles on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2024
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Played his entire career under Tony Elliott.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbia, SC
Height6'4"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Cincinnati DB4 #11019 #11037 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kentucky DB4 #11150 #11045 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Kentucky DB4 #10187 #9984 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC DB 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Columbia, SC
2024 Cincinnati Big 12 DB 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Columbia, SC
2023 Kentucky SEC DB 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Columbia, SC
2022 Kentucky SEC DB 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Columbia, SC