cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / JT Daniels /Rice

JT Daniels

QB · Rice · Sr · #18

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSRice 2023 alumnus

QB · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

JT Daniels

  • 4
  • #18
  • 6-2 | 237 lb
  • Irvine, CA

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#339

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2021

2021

Georgia · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2022

West Virginia · QB

2023

Rice · QB

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
7222021
2,0972022
2,4432023

+238%

Up 238% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#16 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey18
Measurements6-2 | 237 lb
HometownIrvine, CA
Primary teamRice

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 5-star No. 16 recruit
Composite rating 0.9919 HighSchool
Signed with USC 2018
Origin Mater Dei Santa Ana, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 5-star | 0.9919 No. 16 recruit | HighSchool | USC

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#339Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#463Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★★

to USC

Composite

0.9919

#16 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on JT Daniels

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about JT Daniels

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. JT Daniels already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #339 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 29.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 16 recruit

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,443 21 TD | 7 INT | #67/382 (83rd pct)
Completion rate 63.1% 181/287 completions | #167/383 (57th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.5 Explosiveness through the air | #67/382 (83rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumePocket-leaning

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
181 77th
ATT
287 78th
CMP%
63.1% 57th
Y/A
8.5 83rd

Passing Production

YDS
2,443 83rd
TD
21 91st
INT
7 23rd

Rushing

CAR
25 53rd
YDS
-65 2nd
YPC
-2.6 5th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Georgia4-8HC: Donte Williams · Balanced, fast tempo
2022West Virginia5-7HC: Neal Brown · Balanced
2023Rice6-7HC: Mike Bloomgren · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2023Rice18128763.1%2,4438.5217153.8----
2022West Virginia20132861.3%2,0976.4139122.6----
2021USC689472.3%7227.773155.1----
Career3 loaded seasons45070963.5%5,2627.44119139.5----
SeasonTeam
2023Rice25-65-2.61--
2022West Virginia30-51-1.71--
2021USC4-18-4.50--
Career3 loaded seasons59-134-2.32--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -65 1 rush TD | #400/408 (2nd pct)
Usage 29.2% 59.0% pass share | 1.7% rush share | #185/428 (57th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.52 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #6/200 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,443 #67/382 83rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 21 #39/407 91st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 181 #89/383 77th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 63.1% #167/383 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.5 #67/382 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -65 #400/408 2nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.52 #6/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 89 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.52 #6/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 89 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 29.2% #185/428 57th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 287 #90/407 78th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 7 #316/407 23rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 25 #192/408 53rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #207/391 47th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -2.6 #387/407 5th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 59.0% #170/428 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 40.0% #180/428 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 38.5% #187/428 57th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 32.7% #171/428 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 25.4% #182/428 58th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 23.0% #190/428 56th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 1.7% #377/428 12th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Pass share

26.0%

224 pass / 636 run

Plays / game

66.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.6%

147 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2022
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2023
Mike Bloomgren
Rice

Played his entire career under Mike Bloomgren.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIrvine, CA
Height6'2"
Weight237 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2021)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2021 All-SEC all_conference Georgia | SEC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Rice QB4 #339 #463 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 West Virginia QB4 #417 #557 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 USC QB4 #294 #328 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Rice American Athletic QB 4 No. 18 | 6-2 | 237 lb | Irvine, CA
2022 West Virginia Big 12 QB 4 No. 18 | 6-2 | 237 lb | Irvine, CA
2021 USC Pac-12 QB 4 No. 18 | 6-2 | 237 lb | Irvine, CA
2021 Georgia SEC QB 4 No. 18 | 6-2 | 237 lb | Irvine, CA