cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Justin Olson /Charlotte

Justin Olson

WR · Charlotte · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

56 REC YDS · 2 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Charlotte for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Charlotte

Returning around him

  • 24% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #108 · 2026 recruiting class #135

WR · CHARLOTTE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Justin Olson

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-3 | 210 lb
  • Huntersville, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

28

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2815

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
1432021
4.02022
4502023
35.02024
56.02025

-61%

Sharp dropoff (-61%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1486 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-3 | 210 lb
HometownHuntersville, NC
Primary teamCharlotte

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1486 recruit
Composite rating 0.8381 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2019
Origin North Mecklenburg Huntersville, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8381 No. 1486 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Charlotte 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Nov 28, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Middle Tennessee -> Charlotte 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2023 North Carolina -> Middle Tennessee 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2815Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3472Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8381

#1486 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Justin Olson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Justin Olson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Justin Olson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Charlotte, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2815 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 2 0 rec TD | #886/1110 (20th pct)
Receiving yards 56 28.0 per catch | #758/1107 (32nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 56 Total offensive yardage | #758/1107 (32nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
2 20th
YDS
56 32nd
YPR
28.0 99th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 11-34vs App State25628.0047Season-high 56 yds
Total25628.0047
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Carolina6-6HC: Mack Brown · Run-leaning
2022North Carolina9-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Charlotte25628.00--
2024Charlotte23517.50--
2023Middle Tennessee4345010.51--
2022North Carolina144.00--
2021North Carolina914315.91--
Career5 loaded seasons5768812.12--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.1% 11.1% pass-game share | #436/1137 (62nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 2 #886/1110 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 56 #758/1107 32nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 28.0 #17/1106 99th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.1% #436/1137 62nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 47 #316/1105 71st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 16.7% #10/1137 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.3% #368/1137 68th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.1% #471/1137 59th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.9% #696/1137 39th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #1017/1137 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g2.056.028.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses1g2.056.028.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.056.028.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

28Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (100th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#1 / 558 · 100th pct
28.0rece
Long catch#277 / 558 · 50th pct
47rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
56rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Justin OlsonCharlotteNik McMillanBuffalo· 36% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 35% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 35% sim
Yards / catch
100
Olson
84
McMillan
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
Long catch
50
Olson
65
McMillan
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Olson
57
McMillan
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
Rec yards
0
Olson
96
McMillan
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
Receptions
0
Olson
90
McMillan
92
Gibson
94
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Albin

Pass share

51.4%

379 pass / 358 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.9%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

4 coaches
2021
Will Healy
Charlotte
2022
Peter Rossomando
Charlotte
era →
2023
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
era →
2024
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2025
Tim Albin
Charlotte
era →

Played under 4 different head coaches: Will Healy, Peter Rossomando, Biff Poggi, and Tim Albin. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHuntersville, NC
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte WR4 #2815 #3472 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Middle Tennessee WR4 #2130 #2608 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 North Carolina WR4 #3029 #2832 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 North Carolina WR4 #1374 #1396 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Charlotte American Athletic WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Huntersville, NC
2024 Charlotte American Athletic WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Huntersville, NC
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Huntersville, NC
2022 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Huntersville, NC
2021 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Huntersville, NC