cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keona Davis /Nebraska

Keona Davis

DL · Nebraska · So · #97

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

32 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Nebraska → Miami for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Miami

2025Nebraska
2026Miami

DL · NEBRASKA · BIG TEN

Keona Davis

  • 2
  • #97
  • 6-5 | 275 lb
  • Tucson, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9497

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#610 national
CFB
College
Nebraska
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey97
Measurements6-5 | 275 lb
HometownTucson, AZ
Primary teamNebraska

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 610 recruit
Composite rating 0.8825 HighSchool
Signed with Nebraska 2024
Origin Salpointe Catholic Tucson, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8825 No. 610 recruit | HighSchool | Nebraska

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Miami 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility TBD Jan 14, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Nebraska -> Miami 4-star | 0.9300 | TBD
2025 Nebraska -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9497Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9481Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Nebraska

Composite

0.8825

#610 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keona Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keona Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
32Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
35Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
1.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 32): needs 48/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 32): needs 68/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 4.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 8.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keona Davis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Nebraska's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9497 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.5 sacks | 3.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 32 18 solo | #1250/4942 (75th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
32 75th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 20-17@ Cincinnati300.00.00
Wk 2W 68-0vs Akron110.00.00
Wk 4L 27-30vs Michigan111.00.00
Wk 6W 38-27vs Michigan State201.00.00
Wk 7W 34-31@ Maryland430.00.00
Wk 8L 6-24@ Minnesota630.50.50
Wk 9W 28-21vs Northwestern210.00.00
Wk 10L 17-21vs USC210.00.00
Wk 11W 28-21@ UCLA751.01.01Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 13L 10-37@ Penn State110.00.00
Wk 14L 16-40vs Iowa110.00.00
BowlL 22-44@ Utah210.00.00
Total32183.51.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Nebraska7-6HC: Matt Rhule · Balanced
2025Nebraska7-6HC: Matt Rhule · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Nebraska32183.51.51----
2024Nebraska1051.50.0------
Career2 loaded seasons42235.01.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 32 #1250/4942 75th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.50.30.00.0
Road6g3.80.20.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g3.20.30.20.2
Losses6g2.20.20.10.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.20.30.00.0
Weeks 8+6g3.20.20.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

62Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Tackles#1250 / 2975 · 57th pct
32defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Keona DavisNebraskaTJ DotteryOle Miss· 75% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 74% simJohnny Chaney Jr.Florida International· 74% sim
Sacks
74
Davis
74
Dottery
74
Wingate
89
Jr.
Tackles for loss
69
Davis
83
Dottery
87
Wingate
91
Jr.
Solo tackles
59
Davis
97
Dottery
99
Wingate
100
Jr.
Tackles
57
Davis
98
Dottery
98
Wingate
99
Jr.
QB hurries
55
Davis
55
Dottery
72
Wingate
55
Jr.
Passes defended
48
Davis
67
Dottery
48
Wingate
48
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryan Wallace’s 2021 season.

Bryan Wallace

88%match

Charlotte · 2021

#2

Devan Thompkins

USC · 2024

86%
#3

Jonah Lea'Ea

Utah · 2025

83%
#4

Tyree Weathersby

Tennessee · 2025

83%
#5

Deante McCray

Western Kentucky · 2023

82%

Matches Bryan on

Height
TFL rate
Sack rate

Differs from Bryan on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Breeon Ishmail's sophomore season at Purdue (2025).

Breeon Ishmail

89%match

Purdue · 2025

#2

Tyree Weathersby

Tennessee · 2025

87%
#3

Kamarion Franklin

Ole Miss · 2025

86%
#4

Jordan Renaud

Alabama · 2024

85%
#5

Bryan Wallace

Charlotte · 2021

82%

Matches Breeon on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Rhule

Pass share

46.4%

378 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

62.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Matt Rhule
Nebraska
2025
Matt Rhule
Nebraska

Played his entire career under Matt Rhule.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTucson, AZ
Height6'5"
Weight275 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey97

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Nebraska DL2 #9497 #9481 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Nebraska Big Ten DL 2 No. 97 | 6-5 | 275 lb | Tucson, AZ
2024 Nebraska Big Ten DL 2 No. 97 | 6-5 | 275 lb | Tucson, AZ