cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kobe Paysour /North Carolina

Kobe Paysour

WR · North Carolina · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

438 REC YDS · 35 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to North Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to North Carolina for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · North Carolina

Returning around him

  • 16% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (20 in / 31 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

North Carolina · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #31 · 2026 recruiting class #41

WR · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

Kobe Paysour

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Kings Mountain, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 53rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3035

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
3242022
2822023
4382025

+35%

Up 35% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#441 national
CFB
College
North Carolina
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownKings Mountain, NC
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 441 recruit
Composite rating 0.8859 HighSchool
Signed with North Carolina 2021
Origin Gaffney Gaffney, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8859 No. 441 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Dec 17, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 North Carolina -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3035Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3048Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to North Carolina

Composite

0.8859

#441 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kobe Paysour

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kobe Paysour

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.5

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #258 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 52nd

Why it matters

#258 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.5 yards per reception (35 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.5 (52th)

HIGH · n=35 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#269 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 8 at California — 101 ypr

Result L 18-21

The week the volume broke through — put up 101 yds at California.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
438Rec yards
35Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
48.7Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
632.7Rec yards
51Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 438): needs 65.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 438): needs 140.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 35): needs 6.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 35): needs 11.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kobe Paysour's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3035 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 35 1 rec TD | #230/1110 (79th pct)
Receiving yards 438 12.5 per catch | #264/1107 (76th pct)
Scrimmage yards 438 Total offensive yardage | #264/1107 (76th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
35 79th
YDS
438 76th
YPR
12.5 55th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 4L 9-34@ UCF188.018
Wk 6L 10-38vs Clemson11010.0010
Wk 8L 18-21@ California610116.8037Season-high 101 yds
Wk 9L 16-17vs Virginia35418.0026
Wk 10W 27-10@ Syracuse35919.7044
Wk 11W 20-15vs Stanford6549.0012
Wk 12L 12-28@ Wake Forest5408.0013
Wk 13L 25-32vs Duke56312.6021
Wk 14L 19-42@ NC State5499.8011
Total3543812.4144
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022North Carolina9-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2023North Carolina8-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina3543812.51--
2023North Carolina2228212.83--
2022North Carolina2932411.24--
Career3 loaded seasons861,04412.18--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 10.5% 19.1% pass-game share | #104/1137 (91st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 35 #230/1110 79th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 438 #264/1107 76th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.5 #494/1106 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 19.1% #104/1137 91st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 44 #368/1105 67th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.3% #61/1137 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 12.9% #104/1137 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 10.5% #78/1137 93rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.5% #135/1137 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 9.5% #82/1137 93rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.6% #146/1137 87th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g3.845.212.40.0
Road5g4.051.412.50.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g4.556.514.30.0
Losses7g3.746.411.90.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.09.09.00.5
Weeks 8+7g4.760.013.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

43Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Receptions#230 / 558 · 58th pct
35rece
Rec yards#264 / 558 · 53rd pct
438rece
Yards / catch#305 / 558 · 45th pct
12.5rece
Long catch#317 / 558 · 42nd pct
44rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Kobe PaysourNorth CarolinaKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 76% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 76% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 74% sim
Receptions
58
Paysour
94
Jr.
92
Gibson
95
Walker
Rec yards
53
Paysour
84
Jr.
74
Gibson
89
Walker
Yards / catch
45
Paysour
28
Jr.
15
Gibson
40
Walker
Long catch
42
Paysour
56
Jr.
56
Gibson
39
Walker
Fumbles lost
36
Paysour
6
Walker
Rec TDs
24
Paysour
24
Jr.
7
Gibson
42
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cameron Odom’s 2021 season.

Cameron Odom

90%match

Ohio · 2021

#2

R.J. Sneed

Baylor · 2021

85%
#3

Titus Mokiao-Atimalala

UCLA · 2024

84%
#4

Michael Woods II

Oklahoma · 2021

NFL Rd 6
84%
#5

Jermaine Braddock

San José State · 2021

83%

Matches Cameron on

EPA / play (adj)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Cameron on

Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyndon Fuselier’s path through Lamar.

Kyndon Fuselier

99%match

Lamar · 2025

#2

Senika McKie

Coastal Carolina · 2024

96%
#3

Jacob Harris

UCF · 2020

94%
#4

Artie Henry

Marshall · 2020

94%
#5

Lujuan Winningham

Central Arkansas · 2021

93%

Matches Kyndon on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Vinny Anthony's senior season at Wisconsin (2025).

Vinny Anthony

84%match

Wisconsin · 2025

#2

Octavian Smith Jr.

Maryland · 2025

82%
#3

RJ Garcia II

Bowling Green · 2025

78%
#4

Jimmy Calloway

Louisville · 2023

77%
#5

Boobie Curry

Buffalo · 2023

77%

Matches Vinny on

Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume
Yards / reception

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2023
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2025
Bill Belichick
North Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mack Brown → Bill Belichick. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKings Mountain, NC
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Carolina WR4 #3035 #3048 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 North Carolina WR4 #653 #666 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 North Carolina WR4 #737 #789 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 North Carolina WR4 #3256 #3128 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Kings Mountain, NC
2024 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Kings Mountain, NC
2023 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Kings Mountain, NC
2022 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Kings Mountain, NC
2021 North Carolina ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Kings Mountain, NC