CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 70th percentile.
Giovanni Lopez
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,747 PASS YDS · 10 PASS TD · 133 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to North Carolina for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · North Carolina
Returning around him
- 16% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -11 net (20 in / 31 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
North Carolina · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #31 · 2026 recruiting class #41
QB · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC
Giovanni Lopez
- 2
- #7
- 6-0 | 203 lb
- Madison, AL
Heisman Heat
#1865
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+268%
Up 268% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8525 | No. 1324 recruit | HighSchool | South Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1747).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to South Alabama
Composite
0.8525
#1324 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Giovanni Lopez
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Giovanni Lopez
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.310
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #34 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 42nd
Why it matters
#34 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.310 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.310 (42th)
MODERATE · n=258 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Completion %#27 / 72
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#43 / 57
- TD : INT ratio#43 / 72
Signature Moment
Week 2 at Charlotte — 44 ypc
Result W 20-3
The week the volume broke through — put up 44 yds at Charlotte.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 11g
1,747Pass yards
10Pass TDs
5INT
Per game
158.8Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,065Pass yards
12Pass TDs
6INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,747): needs 626.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,747): needs 1,126/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 10/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 12.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Giovanni Lopez's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
170 75th
ATT
261 75th
CMP%
65.1% 67th
Y/A
6.7 45th
Passing Production
YDS
1,747 73rd
TD
10 74th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
86 83rd
YDS
133 72nd
YPC
1.5 32nd
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-48vs TCU | 4/10 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 6.9 | 1.9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-3@ Charlotte | 17/25 | 155 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | 49.2 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-6vs Richmond | 10/18 | 119 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 | 31.3 | |
| Wk 4 | L 9-34@ UCF | 11/14 | 87 | 0 | 2 | 6.2 | 15.5 | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-21@ California | 19/35 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 4.8 | 65.7 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-17vs Virginia | 23/36 | 208 | 1 | 2 | 5.8 | 43.4 | |
| Wk 10 | W 27-10@ Syracuse | 15/19 | 216 | 2 | 0 | 11.4 | 86.4 | Season-high 216 yds |
| Wk 11 | W 20-15vs Stanford | 18/25 | 203 | 2 | 0 | 8.1 | 53.0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 12-28@ Wake Forest | 21/36 | 201 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 | 66.3 | |
| Wk 13 | L 25-32vs Duke | 21/27 | 204 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 | 65.2 | |
| Wk 14 | L 19-42@ NC State | 11/16 | 118 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 | 67.3 | |
| Total | 170/261 | 1747 | 10 | 5 | 7.0 | 49.6 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023South Alabama7-6HC: Kane Wommack · Balanced
2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina | 170 | 261 | 65.1% | 1,747 | 6.7 | 10 | 5 | 130.2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | South Alabama | 41 | 61 | 67.2% | 475 | 7.8 | 4 | 2 | 147.7 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 211 | 322 | 65.5% | 2,222 | 6.9 | 14 | 7 | 133.5 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina | 86 | 133 | 1.5 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | South Alabama | 18 | 154 | 8.6 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 104 | 287 | 2.8 | 5 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,747 | #103/382 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 170 | #96/383 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 65.1% | #129/383 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.7 | #210/382 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 133 | #114/408 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.31 | #69/200 | 66th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 258 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 50.5% | #78/428 | 82nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 261 | #101/407 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 86 | #70/408 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 17 | #201/391 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.5 | #277/407 | 32nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 81.3% | #111/428 | 74th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 64.9% | #69/428 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 63.4% | #89/428 | 79th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 51.1% | #67/428 | 85th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 44.9% | #74/428 | 83rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 42.2% | #92/428 | 79th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.9% | #63/428 | 86th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #119/140 | 16th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 56 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 161 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 0.6 |
| Road6g | 157 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 173 | 1.8 | 8.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses7g | 151 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 108 | 0.8 | 6.5 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 188 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
49Mid-pack
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.31Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.13Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Giovanni LopezNorth CarolinaCade KlubnikClemson· 78% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 77% simRyan BrownePurdue· 74% sim
Completion %
Interceptions
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brady McBride’s 2020 season.
Brady McBride
80%match
#2
Jack Abraham
All-Conference USA
76%
#3
Jaylen Raynor
78%
#4
JC French
71%
#5
Chandler Rogers
70%
Matches Brady on
Completion %
Yards / attempt
TD rate
Differs from Brady on
Class year (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Frank Harris’s path through UTSA.
Frank Harris
96%match
All-AAC
#2
Zac Thomas
All-Sun Belt
90%
#3
Anthony Colandrea
All-Mountain West
84%
#4
Zevi Eckhaus
82%
#5
Parker Navarro
All-MAC
79%
Matches Frank on
Height
Completion %
Yards per attempt
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaylen Raynor's junior season at Arkansas State (2025).
Jaylen Raynor
76%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
JC French
69%
#3
Keyone Jenkins
63%
#4
Bishop Davenport
62%
#5
Conner Harrell
61%
Matches Jaylen on
Yards / attempt
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Jaylen on
Class year (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bill Belichick
Pass share
51.1%
355 pass / 340 run
Plays / game
57.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
262 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2025era →
Bill Belichick
North Carolina
Coaching transition mid-career: Mack Brown → Bill Belichick. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMadison, AL
Height6'0"
Weight203 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNorth Carolina
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | South Alabama | QB2 | #1865 | #2092 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | South Alabama | QB2 | #547 | #634 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina | ACC | QB | 2 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 203 lb | Madison, AL |
| 2024 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | QB | 2 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 203 lb | Madison, AL |
| 2023 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | QB | 2 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 203 lb | Madison, AL |