cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Walker Eget /San José State

Walker Eget

QB · San José State · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

3,058 PASS YDS · 17 PASS TD · 96 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred San José State → Duke for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Duke

2025San José State
2026Duke

QB · SAN JOSÉ STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Walker Eget

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-3 | 223 lb
  • Santa Clarita, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

49

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 73rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1179

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
8.02021
0.02022
3,0582025

+38125%

Up 38125% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1426 national
CFB
College
San José State
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-3 | 223 lb
HometownSanta Clarita, CA
Primary teamSan José State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1426 recruit
Composite rating 0.8415 HighSchool
Signed with San José State 2021
Origin West Ranch Stevenson Ranch, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8415 No. 1426 recruit | HighSchool | San José State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Duke 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 26, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 San José State -> Duke 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1179Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1083Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3058 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3058).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to San José State

Composite

0.8415

#1426 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Walker Eget

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "Former San Jose State quarterback Walker Eget reportedly commits to Duke footbal"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Walker Eget

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
3,058Pass yards
17Pass TDs
9INT
Per game
278Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,614Pass yards
20Pass TDs
11INT

✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,058.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,058): needs 471/game over remaining 2.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 9/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Walker Eget's story is about how role and output meet each other. For San José State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1179 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 55.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,058 17 TD | 9 INT | #33/382 (92nd pct)
Completion rate 59.0% 232/393 completions | #230/383 (40th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.8 Explosiveness through the air | #103/382 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passer

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
232 88th
ATT
393 93rd
CMP%
59.0% 40th
Y/A
7.8 73rd

Passing Production

YDS
3,058 92nd
TD
17 86th
INT
9 12th

Rushing

CAR
33 59th
YDS
96 67th
YPC
2.9 53rd
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 14-16vs Central Michigan24/43308227.235.3
Wk 2L 7-38@ Texas21/42188014.535.2
Wk 4W 31-28vs Idaho13/212221010.650.9
Wk 5L 29-30@ Stanford36/58473308.274.5Season-high 473 yds
Wk 6W 35-28vs New Mexico26/303343011.192.73 TD passes
Wk 7L 28-35@ Wyoming23/37295408.083.94 TD passes
Wk 8L 25-30@ Utah State27/49340206.962.1Clean 2-TD game
Wk 10W 45-38vs Hawai'i20/404582011.583.4Clean 2-TD game
Wk 11L 16-26vs Air Force27/42334028.028.0
Wk 12L 10-55@ Nevada11/2374033.25.33 INTs — rough day
Wk 13L 3-25@ San Diego State4/832014.09.2
Total232/39330581797.651.0
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021San José State5-7HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced, slow tempo
2022San José State7-5HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025San José State3-9HC: Ken Niumatalolo · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025San José State23239359.0%3,0587.8179134.1----
2022San José State--10.0%--0.0000.0----
2021San José State1812.5%81.00020.9----
Career3 loaded seasons23340258.0%3,0667.6179131.5----
SeasonTeam
2025San José State33962.90--
2022San José State111.00--
2021San José State1-15-15.00--
Career3 loaded seasons35822.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 96 0 rush TD | #137/408 (67th pct)
Usage 55.2% 85.4% pass share | 9.5% rush share | #39/428 (91st pct)
Passing WEPA +0.39 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #29/200 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,058 #33/382 92nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 17 #57/407 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 232 #46/383 88th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 59.0% #230/383 40th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.8 #103/382 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 96 #137/408 67th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.39 #29/200 86th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 381 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 55.2% #39/428 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 393 #29/407 93rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 9 #359/407 12th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 33 #167/408 59th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 13 #243/391 38th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.9 #193/407 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 85.4% #94/428 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 67.2% #62/428 86th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 64.9% #69/428 84th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 57.5% #29/428 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 49.7% #35/428 92nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 49.4% #37/428 92nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 9.5% #165/428 62nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #237/258 9th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home5g3311.69.70.8
Road6g2341.55.80.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins3g3382.011.10.0
Losses8g2561.46.21.1

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g3032.28.30.5
Weeks 8+5g2480.86.71.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

49Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass yards (82nd). Concern: fumbles lost (8th).

Pass yards#33 / 183 · 82nd pct
3058pass
Yards / att#48 / 183 · 73rd pct
7.8pass
Pass TDs#57 / 183 · 68th pct
17pass
Rush yards#105 / 183 · 43rd pct
96rush
Completion %#129 / 183 · 30th pct
59.0%pass
Interceptions#135 / 183 · 22nd pct
9pass
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 174 · 8th pct
4fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

164/280 (58.6%) · 14 TD · 3 INT

Short

0–9 yds
56%of completions
92 comp6.0 yds avg4 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
28%of completions
46 comp13.4 yds avg5 TD

Deep

20+ yds
16%of completions
26 comp37.8 yds avg5 TD

Overall 58.6% completion on 280 attempts · 26 deep completions averaging 37.8 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Elite: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.390
75th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.39High (p75–p90) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Walker EgetSan José StateTa'Quan RobersonBuffalo· 81% simBen FinleyAkron· 80% simMicah AlejadoHawai'i· 77% sim
Pass yards
82
Eget
68
Roberson
65
Finley
84
Alejado
Yards / att
73
Eget
49
Roberson
38
Finley
52
Alejado
Pass TDs
68
Eget
68
Roberson
75
Finley
85
Alejado
Rush yards
43
Eget
49
Roberson
52
Finley
45
Alejado
Completion %
30
Eget
22
Roberson
6
Finley
80
Alejado
Interceptions
22
Eget
5
Roberson
22
Finley
22
Alejado
Rush TDs
9
Eget
49
Roberson
39
Finley
26
Alejado
Fumbles lost
8
Eget
8
Roberson
8
Finley
38
Alejado

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Seth Henigan’s 2021 season.

Seth Henigan

72%match

Memphis · 2021

#2

Rocky Lombardi

Northern Illinois · 2021

70%
#3

Katin Houser

East Carolina · 2025

67%
#4

Chase Brice

App State · 2021

All-Sun Belt
66%
#5

Tyler Johnston III

UAB · 2020

60%

Matches Seth on

Yards / attempt

Differs from Seth on

Rush usage (lower)
TD rate (lower)
Weight (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Michael Collins’s path through Rice.

Michael Collins

89%match

Rice · 2020

#2

Colton Joseph

Old Dominion · 2025

All-Sun Belt
85%
#3

Michael Pratt

Tulane · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 7
84%
#4

Tim DeMorat

Fordham · 2022

84%
#5

Dequan Finn

Miami (OH) · 2025

All-MAC
82%

Matches Michael on

Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Alan Bowman's senior season at Oklahoma State (2023).

Alan Bowman

68%match

Oklahoma State · 2023

#2

Katin Houser

East Carolina · 2025

62%
#3

Sawyer Robertson

Baylor · 2025

61%
#4

Rocky Lombardi

Northern Illinois · 2023

58%
#5

Hudson Card

Purdue · 2023

57%

Matches Alan on

Completion %
INT rate

Differs from Alan on

Rush yards / carry (higher)
TD rate (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ken Niumatalolo

Pass share

61.1%

486 pass / 310 run

Plays / game

66.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.1%

420 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Brent Brennan
San José State
2022
Brent Brennan
San José State
2025
Ken Niumatalolo
San José State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brent Brennan → Ken Niumatalolo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSanta Clarita, CA
Height6'3"
Weight223 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San José State QB4 #1179 #1083 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 San José State QB4 #1021 #800 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 San José State QB4 #1702 #1567 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 San José State QB4 #2126 #2318 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San José State Mountain West QB 4 No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA
2024 San José State Mountain West QB 4 No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA
2023 San José State Mountain West QB 4 No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA
2022 San José State Mountain West QB 4 No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA
2021 San José State Mountain West QB 4 No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA