cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jackson Brousseau /Colorado State

Jackson Brousseau

QB · Colorado State · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,354 PASS YDS · 9 PASS TD · 15 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Colorado State → California for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to California

2025Colorado State
2026California

QB · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jackson Brousseau

  • 2
  • #8
  • 6-4 | 220 lb
  • Lehi, UT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

46

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2035

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
12.02023
1,3542025

+11183%

Up 11183% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1604 national
CFB
College
Colorado State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements6-4 | 220 lb
HometownLehi, UT
Primary teamColorado State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1604 recruit
Composite rating 0.8436 HighSchool
Signed with Colorado State 2023
Origin Lehi Lehi, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8436 No. 1604 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination California 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Colorado State -> California 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2035Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2387Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (1354).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Colorado State

Composite

0.8436

#1604 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jackson Brousseau

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Brousseau Taking the Change in Stride &nbsp;&nbsp; Colorado State Athletics"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jackson Brousseau

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
1,354Pass yards
9Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
150.4Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,956Pass yards
13Pass TDs
4INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,354): needs 411.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,354): needs 661.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 4/game over remaining 4.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 5.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 6.5/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jackson Brousseau's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2035 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 44.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 1,354 9 TD | 3 INT | #122/382 (68th pct)
Completion rate 63.7% 128/201 completions | #150/383 (61st pct)
Yards/attempt 6.7 Explosiveness through the air | #210/382 (45th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumePocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
128 70th
ATT
201 70th
CMP%
63.7% 61st
Y/A
6.7 45th

Passing Production

YDS
1,354 68th
TD
9 71st
INT
3 43rd

Rushing

CAR
54 72nd
YDS
15 36th
YPC
0.3 20th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 4L 16-17vs UTSA10/1278106.590.0
Wk 5L 3-20vs Washington State19/28188006.737.8
Wk 6L 24-45@ San Diego State13/25155106.232.9
Wk 7W 49-21vs Fresno State12/18144308.081.13 TD passes
Wk 8L 19-31vs Hawai'i15/29176106.132.8
Wk 9L 0-28@ Wyoming10/1899035.53.83 INTs — rough day
Wk 11L 10-42vs UNLV13/22153107.049.2
Wk 12L 17-20@ New Mexico8/1238003.222.2
Wk 14L 21-42vs Air Force28/37323208.756.0Season-high 323 yds
Total128/2011354936.445.1
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Colorado State5-7HC: Jay Norvell · Pass-leaning
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado State12820163.7%1,3546.793132.1----
2023Colorado State1250.0%126.000100.4----
Career2 loaded seasons12920363.5%1,3666.793131.7----
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado State54150.31--
2023Colorado State----------
Career2 loaded seasons54150.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 15 1 rush TD | #263/408 (36th pct)
Usage 44.7% 71.6% pass share | 12.2% rush share | #119/428 (72nd pct)
Passing WEPA +0.20 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #146/200 (28th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 1,354 #122/382 68th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 9 #117/407 71st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 128 #117/383 70th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 63.7% #150/383 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.7 #210/382 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 15 #263/408 36th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.20 #146/200 28th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 222 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 44.7% #119/428 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 201 #123/407 70th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 3 #234/407 43rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 54 #114/408 72nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #261/391 34th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 0.3 #326/407 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 71.6% #140/428 68th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 50.3% #147/428 66th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 49.5% #148/428 66th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 43.1% #85/428 80th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 42.7% #128/428 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 41.5% #101/428 77th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 12.2% #133/428 69th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.19 #96/140 32nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 34 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g1771.37.20.0
Road3g97.30.35.01.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g1443.08.00.0
Losses8g1510.86.20.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-74g1411.26.80.0
Weeks 8+5g1580.86.10.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

46Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Strength: interceptions (82nd). Concern: rush yards (24th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Completion %#71 / 183 · 61st pct
63.7%pass
Pass yards#122 / 183 · 34th pct
1354pass
Pass TDs#117 / 183 · 33rd pct
9pass
Yards / att#120 / 183 · 31st pct
6.7pass
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Rush yards#138 / 183 · 25th pct
15rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

65/109 (59.6%) · 6 TD · 0 INT

Short

0–9 yds
54%of completions
35 comp5.5 yds avg3 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
34%of completions
22 comp13.7 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
12%of completions
8 comp34.2 yds avg3 TD

Overall 59.6% completion on 109 attempts · 8 deep completions averaging 34.2 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.200
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.2Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.19Low (p25–p50) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jackson BrousseauColorado StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 76% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 75% simCade KlubnikClemson· 71% sim
Fumbles lost
91
Brousseau
66
Vattiato
91
Lindsey
66
Klubnik
Interceptions
82
Brousseau
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
56
Klubnik
Completion %
61
Brousseau
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
73
Klubnik
Pass yards
34
Brousseau
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
78
Klubnik
Pass TDs
33
Brousseau
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
64
Klubnik
Yards / att
31
Brousseau
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
63
Klubnik
Rush TDs
26
Brousseau
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
59
Klubnik
Rush yards
25
Brousseau
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
42
Klubnik

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ben Bryant’s 2023 season.

Ben Bryant

74%match

Northwestern · 2023

#2

Ben Gulbranson

Oregon State · 2022

70%
#3

Tyler Van Dyke

Miami · 2022

70%
#4

Desmond Trotter

South Alabama · 2020

64%
#5

Brady White

Memphis · 2020

Campbell
64%

Matches Ben on

Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt
INT rate

Differs from Ben on

Class year (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Parker McKinney’s path through Eastern Kentucky.

Parker McKinney

84%match

Eastern Kentucky · 2023

#2

Jalen Kitna

UAB · 2025

80%
#3

Cameran Brown

Georgia State · 2025

80%
#4

Billy Edwards

Wisconsin · 2025

80%
#5

Evan Bullock

Louisiana Tech · 2025

All-Conference USA
79%

Matches Parker on

Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Aidan Chiles's junior season at Michigan State (2025).

Aidan Chiles

58%match

Michigan State · 2025

All-Big Ten
#2

Ken Seals

Vanderbilt · 2023

56%
#3

Tyler Van Dyke

Miami · 2022

56%
#4

Ryan Browne

Purdue · 2025

56%
#5

Bishop Davenport

South Alabama · 2025

55%

Matches Aidan on

Height

Differs from Aidan on

Recruiting rating (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Norvell

Pass share

52.1%

393 pass / 362 run

Plays / game

62.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State

Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLehi, UT
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado State QB2 #2035 #2387 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Colorado State QB2 #2147 #2302 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Colorado State Mountain West QB 2 No. 8 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Lehi, UT
2024 Colorado State Mountain West QB 2 No. 8 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Lehi, UT
2023 Colorado State Mountain West QB 2 No. 8 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Lehi, UT