Wake Forest 57-3 Stanford (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Stanford · Wake Forest

Stanford2-33

Wake Forest4-157Final

Sat, Oct 3 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, N.C. · Crowd 29,188

Wake Forest routed Stanford 57-3.

We had Wake Forest favored. It won.

Next: Stanford lost to Notre Dame 58-7, Sat Oct 10

Next: Wake Forest beat NC State 38-14, Sat Oct 10

Top comment in the game thread

Football equivalent of beating up a guy in a wheelchair

Q1 2:28 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Wake Forest a 78% chance, and the closing betting line (Wake Forest was a 14.5-point favorite) put it at 88%.

FinalWake Forest 57-3 StanfordWake Forest wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 2:28Lopez runs for a touchdown, extending Wake Forest's lead to 15-0Quoted at the top of the page.
Q2 11:26Stanford fans react to Kenney's field goal as Wake Forest leads 15-3I know it’s hard to kick a field goal but these days college kickers are blasting 40-50 yarders all the time. That had zero pep on itr/CFB game thread
Q2 2:26Stanford fans lament avoidable sack by Wake Forest defenseI’m pretty sure I’ve shortened my life lol.r/CFB game thread

Wake Forest’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Wake Forest -14.5), at 88% for Wake Forest (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Wake Forest or Stanford flair (52 and 82); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Wake Forest’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Wake Forest scored on 8 of its 11 drives; Stanford on 1 of its 13.

Wake Forest’s drives are teal, Stanford’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Football equivalent of beating up a guy in a wheelchair”

A Stanford fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans were up and loud before the first quarter was out.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

Fans of both teams were loud at once in the bracketed stretch.

Box score

Wake Forest 57, Stanford 3

Wake Forest covered −14.5 by 39.5. The total, 60, went over 54.5.

Team totals	Stanford	Wake Forest
Total yards	197	519
Passing	21 of 33, 148 yds	22 of 30, 322 yds
Rushing	34 for 49 yds	37 for 197 yds
First downs	13	26
Third down	6 of 17	10 of 13
Fourth down	0 of 3	0 of 0
Turnovers	1	1
Penalties	7 for 50 yds	8 for 52 yds
Time of possession	31:14	28:46

Stanford leaders

Passing Davis Warren 19 of 30, 136 yds, 1 INT
Rushing Micah Ford 16 for 45 yds; Caleb Hampton 3 for 12 yds
Receiving Nico Brown 4 for 42 yds; Sedrick Irvin 3 for 21 yds

Wake Forest leaders

Passing Giovanni Lopez 20 of 27, 265 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Giovanni Lopez 12 for 88 yds, 3 TD; Deuce Lawrence 6 for 47 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Carlos Hernandez 7 for 87 yds; Jack Foley 3 for 54 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

68° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 70°, with about 7 in 10 games between 60° and 79°.

October game-day temperatures at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left12:03 p.m.

Stanford 0, Wake Forest 0 · Wake Forest 88% to win

no rain · 68°

Ford 1-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Winston-salem/smith_(asos) airport, 1.8 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Stanford · 2-2

Rated 97th in our preseason ratings, 115th now, down 18 spots.

2-2 in its last 4, capped by a 7-point win over Georgia Tech as a 3-point underdog.

W 34-27 vs Georgia Tech #100 of 668

won by 7 as a 3-point underdog

L 7-35 @ DukeTop 25 #59 of 668

lost by 28 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 6-45 vs MiamiTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 39 as a 24.5-point underdog

W 37-27 vs Hawai'i #62 of 668

won by 10 as a 4.5-point favorite

Last 4 games

Wake Forest · 3-1

Rated 81st in our preseason ratings, 71st now.

3-1 in its last 4, capped by a 3-point win over Louisville as an 11.5-point underdog.

W 30-27 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #47 of 668

won by 3 as an 11.5-point underdog

L 20-33 vs MiamiTop 25 #9 of 668

lost by 13 as a 20.5-point underdog

W 38-36 @ Purdue #118 of 668

won by 2 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 38-16 vs Akron #60 of 668

won by 22 as a 27.5-point favorite

Week by week

Wake Forest

Wk 1Wvs Akron38-16
Wk 2Wat Purdue38-36
Wk 3Lvs Miami20-33
Wk 4Wat Louisville30-27

Stanford

Wk 1Wvs Hawai'i37-27
Wk 1Lvs Miami6-45
Wk 3Lat Duke7-35
Wk 4Wvs Georgia Tech34-27

Power rating by week

Wake Forest is rated 3.5 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Wake Forest’s EPA/play against Stanford, 94 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Wake Forest’s EPA/play against Stanford’s defense
Wake Forest offense, 94th percentile · Stanford defense, 0th
Wake Forest’s passing EPA against Stanford’s defense
Wake Forest offense, 95th percentile · Stanford defense, 9th
Stanford’s explosive plays against Wake Forest’s defense
Stanford offense, 29th percentile · Wake Forest defense, 96th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

StanfordWake Forest

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Wake Forest leads the series 2-1

3 meetings since 2009 · Wake Forest won the last meeting

2024Wake Forest 27-24
2010Stanford 68-24
2009Wake Forest 24-17

Each line is Wake Forest’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Wake Forest fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (70th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Wake Forest favored by 14.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Wake Forest by 14.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Wake Forest.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 69° at kickoff.

Stanford at Wake Forest · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem

69°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
100weather score, Ideal

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 9 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium that day, a 2 pm, 3:30 pm or 4:15 pm kickoff would have scored 98, against 100 at noon.

11 am: 100, Ideal
noon: 100, Ideal (this game)
12:45 pm: 100, Ideal
2 pm: 98, Comfortable
3:30 pm: 98, Comfortable
4:15 pm: 98, Comfortable
6 pm: 99, Comfortable
7:30 pm: 99, Comfortable
8 pm: 99, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Wake Forest is worth +1.1 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 8th percentile.

54% at home, 53% on the road against FBS opponents (25-21 home, 24-21 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.4 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 2,302 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Wake Forest7th1-1
Stanford11th1-2

Full ACC standings

Wake Forest routs Stanford 57-3