No. 3 Notre Dame routs Stanford 58-7

Stanford2-47
No. 3 Notre Dame6-058Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, Ind. · Crowd 77,622NBC

No. 3 Notre Dame routed Stanford 58-7.

We had Notre Dame favored. It won.

Next: Stanford beat Elon 34-7, Sat Oct 17

Next: Notre Dame lost to BYU 28-24, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

Say what you want about Williams as a runner, but he is a good receiver

Q2 3:26 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 10

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Notre Dame better than a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (Notre Dame was a 40.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Notre Dame led by 14 after the first quarter and by 37 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+51+51
97-yard TD runNotre Dame · Q2 14:48
FinalNotre Dame 58-7 StanfordNotre Dame wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameWon58-7ScoresNotre DameStanfordNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 11 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameWon58-7ScoresN. DameStanfordNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 11 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameLowest 0%Lost7-58ScoresStanfordNotre DameStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 11 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Notre DameLowest 0%Lost7-58ScoresStanfordN. DameStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 2 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 1 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteStanford fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 10 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 7 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 11 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 9 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 8 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 0 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 5 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 6 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 3 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 1 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 4 comments a minuteNotre Dame fans: 2 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 14:48Walton runs 97 yards for a touchdown as fans demand he startStanford special teams: "We've pinned them at the 1!" Walton: "Oooh, extra rushing yards!"r/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 3:26Carr throws 70-yard touchdown pass to Williams as Notre Dame fans praise his receivingQuoted at the top of the page.Someone in here just called it lmao. Williams showing off the receiving skillsr/CFB game thread
Notre Dame’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Notre Dame -40.5), at 100% for Notre Dame (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Notre Dame or Stanford flair (721 and 37); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Notre Dame scored on 9 of its 13 drives; Stanford on 1 of its 12.

Notre Dame’s drives are teal, Stanford’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Stanford: Fumble, from 80 yards out to 82FumbleNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 18 yards out to 0TouchdownStanford: Punt, from 81 yards out to 77PuntNotre Dame: Punt, from 58 yards out to 58PuntStanford: Punt, from 86 yards out to 77PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownStanford: Punt, from 73 yards out to 47PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 99 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Stanford: Interception, from 75 yards out to 73InterceptionNotre Dame: Field goal, from 19 yards out to 15Field goalStanford: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 39 yards out to 0TouchdownStanford: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 81 yards out to 0TouchdownStanford: Punt, from 87 yards out to 68PuntNotre Dame: End of half, from 75 yards out to 66End of halfQ3Notre Dame: Punt, from 75 yards out to 42PuntStanford: Punt, from 90 yards out to 82PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownStanford: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Stanford: Punt, from 75 yards out to 57PuntNotre Dame: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownStanford: Interception, from 75 yards out to 62InterceptionNotre Dame: End of game, from 75 yards out to 81End of game
“What more does a man need to do to be made RB1?”
A fan of another team

When fans got loud

Busy

It was the second quarter that had fans talking the most.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthNotre Dame fansStanford fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Stanford fans

losing“Bro Northwestern is out recruiting us and out paying us. “Losing”? It’s likely we can’t accept them academically either.”

Never in doubt.

Box score

Notre Dame 58, Stanford 7

Notre Dame covered −40.5 by 10.5. The total, 65, went over 55.5.

StanfordNotre DameTotal yardsStanford 202Notre Dame 598202598Passing yardsStanford 144Notre Dame 237144237Rushing yardsStanford 58Notre Dame 36158361First downsStanford 9Notre Dame 26926TurnoversStanford 3Notre Dame 030Time of possessionStanford 22:50Notre Dame 37:1022:5037:10
Team totalsStanfordNotre Dame
Total yards202598
Passing12 of 23, 144 yds19 of 27, 237 yds
Rushing21 for 58 yds47 for 361 yds
First downs926
Third down2 of 118 of 13
Fourth down0 of 00 of 0
Turnovers30
Penalties6 for 55 yds4 for 28 yds
Time of possession22:5037:10

Stanford leaders

  • Passing Davis Warren 12 of 22, 144 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Micah Ford 13 for 48 yds; Charlie Mirer 1 for 7 yds
  • Receiving Caden High 3 for 64 yds; Benjamin Blackburn 3 for 27 yds, 1 TD

Notre Dame leaders

  • Passing C.J. Carr 14 of 20, 181 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Jonaz Walton 13 for 181 yds, 2 TD; Nolan James Jr. 10 for 73 yds, 2 TD
  • Receiving Aneyas Williams 1 for 70 yds, 1 TD; Elijah Burress 1 for 30 yds, 1 TD

No rain, gusts to 26 mph

76° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 11 mph from the south-southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 26

A 26 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 87% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 26 mph060 mph
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 26 mph060 mph

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

The usual here around this date is 61°, with about 7 in 10 games between 49° and 72°.

October game-day temperatures at Notre Dame Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Notre Dame favoredStanford favored100%Win chanceNotre DameRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph26 mph gust
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Notre Dame favoredStanford favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour204026 mph gust

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:48 left3:37 p.m.
Stanford 0, Notre Dame 0 · Notre Dame 100% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the south-southeast, mostly along the field · 76°
Warren sacked for a 2-yd loss, fumbles
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at South Bend airport, 4.3 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Stanford · 2-3

Rated 97th in our preseason ratings, 133rd now, down 36 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Georgia Tech as a 3-point underdog.

Last three games

Notre Dame · 5-0

Rated 1st in our preseason ratings, 4th now.

Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Week by week

Notre Dame

Wk 1: W 41-13 vs Wisconsin▲28WisconsinWk 2: W 52-0 vs Rice▲52RiceWk 3: W 27-10 vs Michigan State▲17Michigan…Wk 4: W 49-10 at Purdue▲39PurdueWk 5: W 37-26 at North Carolina▲11N. Carol…
  • Wk 1Wvs Wisconsin41-13
  • Wk 2Wvs Rice52-0
  • Wk 3Wvs Michigan State27-10
  • Wk 4Wat Purdue49-10
  • Wk 5Wat North Carolina37-26

Stanford

Wk 1: W 37-27 vs Hawai'i▲10Hawai'iWk 1: L 6-45 vs Miami▼39MiamiWk 3: L 7-35 at Duke▼28DukeWk 4: W 34-27 vs Georgia Tech▲7G. TechWk 5: L 3-57 at Wake Forest▼54Wake For…
  • Wk 1Wvs Hawai'i37-27
  • Wk 1Lvs Miami6-45
  • Wk 3Lat Duke7-35
  • Wk 4Wvs Georgia Tech34-27
  • Wk 5Lat Wake Forest3-57

Power rating by week

Notre Dame is rated 17.8 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

227-8Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5Notre DameStanford

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Notre Dame’s EPA/play against Stanford, 96 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Notre Dame’s EPA/play against Stanford’s defense

    96 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Notre Dame offense, 96th percentile · Stanford defense, 0th

  2. Notre Dame’s passing EPA against Stanford’s defense

    82 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Notre Dame offense, 91st percentile · Stanford defense, 9th

  3. Stanford’s explosive plays against Notre Dame’s defense

    18 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Stanford offense, 29th percentile · Notre Dame defense, 47th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

StanfordNotre Dame
EPA/play, offense
Stanford · 26Notre Dame · 96
EPA/play, defense
Stanford · 0Notre Dame · 91
Success rate, offense
Stanford · 11Notre Dame · 93
Success rate, defense
Stanford · 5Notre Dame · 84
Explosive-play rate, offense
Stanford · 29Notre Dame · 25
Explosive-play rate, defense
Stanford · 15Notre Dame · 47
Rush EPA, offense
Stanford · 21Notre Dame · 87
Rush EPA, defense
Stanford · 1Notre Dame · 95
Pass EPA, offense
Stanford · 35Notre Dame · 91
Pass EPA, defense
Stanford · 9Notre Dame · 61

The series

Notre Dame leads the series 25-14

39 meetings since 1924 · Notre Dame has won the last 3

Notre Dame wonStanford won1924: Notre Dame by 171942: Notre Dame by 271963: Stanford by 101964: Notre Dame by 221988: Notre Dame by 281989: Notre Dame by 101990: Stanford by 51991: Notre Dame by 161992: Stanford by 171993: Notre Dame by 281994: Notre Dame by 191997: Stanford by 181998: Notre Dame by 181999: Stanford by 32000: Notre Dame by 62001: Stanford by 42002: Notre Dame by 242003: Notre Dame by 502004: Notre Dame by 82005: Notre Dame by 72006: Notre Dame by 212007: Notre Dame by 72008: Notre Dame by 72009: Stanford by 72010: Stanford by 232011: Stanford by 142012: Notre Dame by 72013: Stanford by 72014: Notre Dame by 32015: Stanford by 22016: Stanford by 72017: Stanford by 182018: Notre Dame by 212019: Notre Dame by 212021: Notre Dame by 312022: Stanford by 22023: Notre Dame by 332024: Notre Dame by 422025: Notre Dame by 2919242025
  • 2025Notre Dame 49-20Notre Dame won 49-20 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 97%, low 97%, high better than 99%.
  • 2024Notre Dame 49-7Notre Dame won 49-7 vs Stanford. Chance to win started at 94%, low 54%, high better than 99%.
  • 2023Notre Dame 56-23Notre Dame won 56-23 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 95%, low 88%, high better than 99%.
  • 2022Stanford 16-14Notre Dame lost 14-16 vs Stanford. Chance to win started at 85%, low 9%, high 87%.
  • 2021Notre Dame 45-14Notre Dame won 45-14 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 93%, low 88%, high better than 99%.

Each line is Notre Dame’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Notre Dame fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (57th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

50-50Model 100% · Line 100%Notre Dame fans · 57thStanford fans ·…StanfordNotre Dame

Notre Dame favored by 40.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Notre Dame by 40.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Notre Dame.

opened −38.5now −40.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 53.5now 55.5

Spread: −38.5 → −40.5 · Total: 53.5 → 55.5

Home field

Notre Dame is worth +3.7 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 41st percentile.

89% at home, 78% on the road against FBS opponents (48-6 home, 29-8 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.1 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,922 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Our History pages cover 4 of their meetings since 2015.

Where next