cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Adon Shuler /Notre Dame

Adon Shuler

S · Notre Dame · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

52 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Notre Dame

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Notre Dame players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (7 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Notre Dame · Last season: 10-2 (AP #9) · Talent rank #9 · 2026 recruiting class #12

S · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Adon Shuler

  • 2
  • #8
  • 6-0 | 207 lb
  • Irvington, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

71

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4682

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#318 national
CFB
College
Notre Dame
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements6-0 | 207 lb
HometownIrvington, NJ
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 318 recruit
Composite rating 0.9023 HighSchool
Signed with Notre Dame 2023
Origin Irvington Irvington, NJ, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9023 No. 318 recruit | HighSchool | Notre Dame

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4682Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4347Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Notre Dame

Composite

0.9023

#318 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Adon Shuler

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Adon Shuler

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
52Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
56Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 52): needs 28/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 52): needs 48/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Adon Shuler is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Notre Dame's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4682 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 318 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 52 29 solo | #550/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
52 89th
SOLO
29 88th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-27@ Miami210.00.00
Wk 3L 40-41vs Texas A&M730.00.00
Wk 4W 56-30vs Purdue110.00.01
Wk 5W 56-13@ Arkansas950.00.01
Wk 6W 28-7vs Boise State720.00.00
Wk 7W 36-7vs NC State330.00.010
Wk 8W 34-24vs USC1041.00.01Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 10W 25-10@ Boston College430.00.011
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy330.00.00
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh211.01.01
Wk 13W 70-7vs Syracuse110.00.00
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford320.00.00
Total52292.01.025
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Notre Dame10-3HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame52292.01.052--
2023Notre Dame640.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons58332.01.052--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 52 #550/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 46 #124/578 79th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 29 #559/4584 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 23.0 #169/578 71st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g4.60.10.00.3
Road5g4.00.20.20.6

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g4.30.20.10.5
Losses2g4.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.80.00.00.3
Weeks 8+6g3.80.30.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

71Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (90th). Strength: tackles (81st).

Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Tackles#550 / 2975 · 81st pct
52defe
Solo tackles#559 / 2975 · 80th pct
29defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Adon ShulerNotre DameEli BlakeyMiami (OH)· 84% simAndon ThomasArmy· 84% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 82% sim
Passes defended
91
Shuler
98
Blakey
91
Thomas
78
McDuffie
Tackles
81
Shuler
99
Blakey
99
Thomas
99
McDuffie
Solo tackles
80
Shuler
99
Blakey
100
Thomas
99
McDuffie
Interceptions
75
Shuler
75
Blakey
75
McDuffie
QB hurries
72
Shuler
82
Blakey
82
Thomas
72
McDuffie
Sacks
63
Shuler
63
Blakey
51
Thomas
80
McDuffie
Tackles for loss
47
Shuler
77
Blakey
73
Thomas
83
McDuffie

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kamren Kinchens’s 2021 season.

Kamren Kinchens

78%match

Miami · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 36
#2

Leon O'Neal Jr.

Texas A&M · 2021

79%
#3

Collin Duncan

Mississippi State · 2021

76%
#4

Jaylen McClain

Ohio State · 2025

All-Big Ten
76%
#5

Jordan Howden

Minnesota · 2022

NFL Rd 5
78%

Matches Kamren on

Height
PD rate
Tackle volume

Differs from Kamren on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Wesley Fair's junior season at Kansas State (2025).

Wesley Fair

69%match

Kansas State · 2025

#2

Adrian Wilson

Arizona State · 2025

71%
#3

Saveon Brown

Buffalo · 2025

68%
#4

Javon Bullard

Georgia · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 26
71%
#5

Tao Johnson

Utah · 2025

70%

Matches Wesley on

Class year
Weight
PD rate

Differs from Wesley on

Tackle volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Played his entire career under Marcus Freeman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIrvington, NJ
Height6'0"
Weight207 lb
Class2
PositionS
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Notre Dame S2 #4682 #4347 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Notre Dame S2 #7374 #7085 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents S 2 No. 8 | 6-0 | 207 lb | Irvington, NJ
2024 Notre Dame FBS Independents S 2 No. 8 | 6-0 | 207 lb | Irvington, NJ
2023 Notre Dame FBS Independents S 2 No. 8 | 6-0 | 207 lb | Irvington, NJ