cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Lamar Radcliffe /San José State

Lamar Radcliffe

RB · San José State · So · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

340 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 66 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to San José State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to San José State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · San José State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (17 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

San José State · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #109 · 2026 recruiting class #117

RB · SAN JOSÉ STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Lamar Radcliffe

  • 2
  • #2
  • 6-1 | 220 lb
  • Sacramento, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

29

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 62nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3112

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#651 national
CFB
College
San José State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey2
Measurements6-1 | 220 lb
HometownSacramento, CA
Primary teamSan José State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 651 recruit
Composite rating 0.8800 HighSchool
Signed with San José State 2024
Origin Sacramento Sacramento, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8800 No. 651 recruit | HighSchool | San José State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3112Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2962Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to San José State

Composite

0.8800

#651 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Lamar Radcliffe

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Lamar Radcliffe

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
340Rush yards
66Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
42.5Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
552.5Rush yards
107Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 340): needs 82/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 340): needs 132/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 340): needs 232/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Lamar Radcliffe's story is about how role and output meet each other. For San José State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3112 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 364 340 rush | 24 rec | #240/735 (67th pct)
Rush TD 1 66 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 5.2 Per-rush efficiency | #240/735 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
66 66th
YDS
340 67th
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
4 38th
YDS
24 33rd
YPR
6.0 38th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-16vs Central Michigan7152.108
Wk 2L 7-38@ Texas5163.208
Wk 6W 35-28vs New Mexico15644.3012
Wk 7L 28-35@ Wyoming7294.1016
Wk 8L 25-30@ Utah State13745.7016
Wk 10W 45-38vs Hawai'i10979.7130Season-high 97 yds
Wk 11L 16-26vs Air Force4246.0012
Wk 12L 10-55@ Nevada5214.2010
Total663404.9130
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025San José State3-9HC: Ken Niumatalolo · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025San José State663405.21--
Career1 loaded season663405.21--
SeasonTeam
2025San José State4246.01--
Career1 loaded season4246.01--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 4 24 rec yds | #343/552 (38th pct)
Usage 12.4% 31.1% rush share | #239/738 (68th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.09 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #226/362 (38th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 340 #240/735 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #240/735 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 4 #343/552 38th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 24 #367/548 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.09 #226/362 38th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 68 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 12.4% #239/738 68th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 66 #255/739 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 30 #297/733 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 15 #296/540 45th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.0 #340/548 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 31.1% #114/738 85th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 17.2% #185/738 75th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 14.8% #223/738 70th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.5% #288/738 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.3% #333/738 55th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.5% #526/738 29th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.9% #518/738 30th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g50.05.50.2
Road4g35.04.30.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g80.57.00.5
Losses6g29.84.20.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g31.03.40.0
Weeks 8+4g54.06.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

29Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (12th).

Yards / carry#127 / 349 · 62nd pct
5.2rush
Rush yards#240 / 349 · 31st pct
340rush
Long run#247 / 349 · 29th pct
30rush
Carries#255 / 349 · 27th pct
66rush
Rec yards#288 / 338 · 15th pct
24rece
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Receptions#289 / 338 · 12th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Lamar RadcliffeSan José StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 63% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 61% simTae MeadowsTroy· 60% sim
Yards / carry
62
Radcliffe
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Rush yards
31
Radcliffe
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Long run
29
Radcliffe
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Carries
27
Radcliffe
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows
Rec yards
15
Radcliffe
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Fumbles lost
14
Radcliffe
49
Brunson
49
Wright
49
Meadows
Rush TDs
13
Radcliffe
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Receptions
12
Radcliffe
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ari Broussard’s 2021 season.

Ari Broussard

80%match

Rice · 2021

#2

Carson Steele

Ball State · 2021

79%
#3

Deion Hankins

UTEP · 2022

All-Conference USA
79%
#4

Michael Turner

Baylor · 2025

78%
#5

Adam Hill

Texas Tech · 2025

74%

Matches Ari on

Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate

Differs from Ari on

Class year (lower)
Height (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Demetric Felton’s path through UCLA.

Demetric Felton

97%match

UCLA · 2020

NFL Rd 6
#2

Kadarius Calloway

New Mexico State · 2025

91%
#3

Joshua Samuel

Austin Peay · 2022

90%
#4

Dedrick Mills

Nebraska · 2020

90%
#5

Anthony Tyus III

Ohio · 2024

All-MAC
88%

Matches Demetric on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Micah Ford's sophomore season at Stanford (2025).

Micah Ford

82%match

Stanford · 2025

#2

Adam Hill

Texas Tech · 2025

75%
#3

Ari Broussard

Rice · 2021

73%
#4

Trey Cornist

Central Michigan · 2025

72%
#5

Chaton Mobley

Middle Tennessee · 2021

72%

Matches Micah on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Yards / carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ken Niumatalolo

Pass share

61.1%

486 pass / 310 run

Plays / game

66.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.1%

420 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ken Niumatalolo
San José State

Played his entire career under Ken Niumatalolo.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSacramento, CA
Height6'1"
Weight220 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San José State RB2 #3112 #2962 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San José State Mountain West RB 2 No. 2 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Sacramento, CA
2024 San José State Mountain West RB 2 No. 2 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Sacramento, CA