CFB Zeitgeist Score
39
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 65th percentile.
Justin Marshall
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
260 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 49 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Liberty
2025Colorado State
2026Liberty
RB · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Justin Marshall
- 2
- #29
- 5-10 | 180 lb
- Merrillville, IN
Heisman Heat
#4015
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-16%
Down 16% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Colorado State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Colorado State -> Liberty | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Justin Marshall
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Justin Marshall
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
260Rush yards
49Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
26Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
338Rush yards
64Carries
1Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 260): needs 163.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 260): needs 246.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 260): needs 413.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 6.3/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Justin Marshall's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
49 58th
YDS
260 61st
YPC
5.3 69th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
8 55th
YDS
74 61st
YPR
9.3 72nd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 21-17vs Northern Colorado | 8 | 37 | 4.6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 4 | L 16-17vs UTSA | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 5 | L 3-20vs Washington State | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 6 | L 24-45@ San Diego State | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 7 | W 49-21vs Fresno State | 7 | 93 | 13.3 | 1 | 73 | Season-high 93 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 19-31vs Hawai'i | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 9 | L 0-28@ Wyoming | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-42vs UNLV | 7 | 27 | 3.9 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-20@ New Mexico | 8 | 5 | 0.6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-49@ Boise State | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Total | 49 | 260 | 5.5 | 1 | 73 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Colorado State5-7HC: Jay Norvell · Pass-leaning
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | 49 | 260 | 5.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado State | 57 | 311 | 5.5 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 106 | 571 | 5.4 | 3 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | 8 | 74 | 9.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado State | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 10 | 97 | 9.7 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 260 | #291/735 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.3 | #228/735 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 8 | #248/552 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 74 | #217/548 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.11 | #192/362 | 47th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 43 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 9.3% | #339/738 | 54th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 73 | #44/733 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 49 | #314/739 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 27 | #142/540 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.3 | #152/548 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 15.6% | #335/738 | 55th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.3% | #310/738 | 58th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.2% | #321/738 | 57th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.3% | #331/738 | 55th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.7% | #414/738 | 44th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.6% | #417/738 | 44th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.9% | #237/738 | 68th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 34.2 | 6.9 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 13.8 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 65.0 | 8.9 | 0.5 |
| Losses8g | 16.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 35.2 | 7.6 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 16.8 | 3.4 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
39Mid-pack
Elite: long run (87th). Concern: carries (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.11Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Justin MarshallColorado StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 58% simTae MeadowsTroy· 57% simBill DavisLouisiana· 56% sim
Long run
Yards / carry
Fumbles lost
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacquez Stuart’s 2021 season.
Jacquez Stuart
74%match
#2
Robert Briggs
74%
#3
Jaylan Knighton
70%
#4
TJ Engleman Jr.
70%
#5
Calvin Camp
70%
Matches Jacquez on
Yards / carry
Weight
Height
Differs from Jacquez on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Body’s path through Alabama State.
Andrew Body
98%match
#2
Cameron Pettaway
All-MAC
97%
#3
Gaej Walker
96%
#4
Narii Gaither
95%
#5
Chuba Hubbard
All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
95%
Matches Andrew on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Qua Ashley's junior season at Ball State (2025).
Qua Ashley
65%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Ja'Vin Simpkins
61%
#3
Tre Wisner
61%
#4
Quincy Craig
61%
#5
Jayden Brown
55%
Matches Qua on
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Differs from Qua on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jay Norvell
Pass share
52.1%
393 pass / 362 run
Plays / game
62.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMerrillville, IN
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey29
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado State | RB2 | #4015 | #4165 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Colorado State | RB2 | #1615 | #2072 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | Mountain West | RB | 2 | No. 29 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Merrillville, IN |
| 2024 | Colorado State | Mountain West | RB | 2 | No. 29 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Merrillville, IN |
| 2023 | Colorado State | Mountain West | RB | 2 | No. 29 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Merrillville, IN |