CFB Zeitgeist Score
81
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 91st percentile.
Luke Mergott
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
91 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Duke for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Linebacker · Duke
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Duke players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (19 in / 17 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Duke · Last season: 9-5 · Talent rank #58 · 2026 recruiting class #30
LB · DUKE · ACC
Luke Mergott
- 2
- #34
- 6-3 | 230 lb
- Berlin, MD
Heisman Heat
#8874
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Duke
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8503 | No. 1390 recruit | HighSchool | Duke |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Duke
Composite
0.8503
#1390 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Luke Mergott
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Luke Mergott
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 14g
91Tackles
7.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Final
91Tackles
7.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 91.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Luke Mergott is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Duke's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 7.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
91 98th
SOLO
48 98th
TFL
7.5 95th
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
9 99th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-17vs Elon | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 19-45vs Illinois | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | L 27-34@ Tulane | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-33vs NC State | 6 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 38-3@ Syracuse | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-21@ California | 6 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-27vs Georgia Tech | 11 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 46-45@ Clemson | 12 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 12 tackles |
| Wk 11 | L 34-37@ UConn | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-34vs Virginia | 9 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 32-25@ North Carolina | 7 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-32vs Wake Forest | 8 | 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 15 | W 27-20@ Virginia | 9 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 42-39vs Arizona State | 10 | 7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Total | 91 | 48 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Duke9-4HC: Manny Diaz · Pass-leaning
2025Duke9-5HC: Manny Diaz · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 91 | #81/4942 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 7.5 | #234/4972 | 95th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.5 | #724/4972 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 3 | #521/2184 | 76th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 9 | #27/1878 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 48 | #90/4584 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 2 | #13/736 | 98th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 6.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Road7g | 6.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 7.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Losses5g | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 8.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
81All-Conference
Elite: qb hurries (98th). Strength: tackles (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Luke MergottDukeRay ConeyTulsa· 93% simCaden FordhamNC State· 92% simJaxton EckNew Mexico· 92% sim
QB hurries
Tackles
Solo tackles
Tackles for loss
Passes defended
Interceptions
Sacks
Forced fumbles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Every-Down Linebacker
Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Easton Gibbs’s 2021 season.
Easton Gibbs
80%match
#2
AJ Vongphachanh
80%
#3
Blayne Myrick
All-Sun Belt
79%
#4
Owen Chambliss
All-Mountain West
79%
#5
Charles Correa
78%
Matches Easton on
TFL rate
Tackle volume
PD rate
Differs from Easton on
Height (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Owen Chambliss's junior season at San Diego State (2025).
Owen Chambliss
87%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Taye Brown
All-Big 12
73%
#3
Blayne Myrick
All-Sun Belt
73%
#4
Jordan Hall
71%
#5
Ben Roberts
70%
Matches Owen on
Class year
Tackle volume
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
53.3%
506 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
67.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
2024era →
Manny Diaz
Duke
2025
Manny Diaz
Duke
Coaching transition mid-career: Trooper Taylor → Manny Diaz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBerlin, MD
Height6'3"
Weight230 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey34
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamDuke
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.