cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marcus Bradley /Arkansas State

Marcus Bradley

DE · Arkansas State · Sr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

6 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Arkansas State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75

DE · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Marcus Bradley

  • 4
  • #12
  • 6-3 | 247 lb
  • Gaithersburg, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

32

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14947

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#195 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey12
Measurements6-3 | 247 lb
HometownGaithersburg, MD
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 195 recruit
Composite rating 0.9220 HighSchool
Signed with Vanderbilt 2021
Origin Quince Orchard Gaithersburg, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9220 No. 195 recruit | HighSchool | Vanderbilt

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14947Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15006Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Vanderbilt

Composite

0.9220

#195 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marcus Bradley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marcus Bradley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
6Tackles
1Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
13Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 6): needs 10.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 6): needs 13.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 0.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marcus Bradley is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arkansas State's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14947 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 195 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 6 3 solo | #3348/4942 (32nd pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
6 32nd
SOLO
3 28th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State100.00.00
Wk 2L 14-56@ Arkansas110.00.00
Wk 4L 21-28@ Kennesaw State200.00.00Season-high 2 tackles
Wk 8W 15-14@ South Alabama000.00.00
Wk 9W 34-24vs Georgia Southern110.00.00
Wk 10W 23-10@ Troy111.01.00
Total631.01.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced
2022Massachusetts1-11HC: Don Brown · Run-heavy
2023Massachusetts3-9HC: Don Brown · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State631.01.0------
2023Massachusetts27113.01.0------
2022Massachusetts26103.52.51----
2021Vanderbilt221.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons61268.54.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 6 #3348/4942 32nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 3 #3280/4584 28th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home2g1.00.00.00.0
Road4g1.00.20.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g0.80.20.20.0
Losses2g1.50.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.30.00.00.0
Weeks 8+3g0.70.30.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

32Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (0th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2892 / 2975 · 2nd pct
3defe
Tackles#2976 / 2975 · 0th pct
6defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Marcus BradleyArkansas StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 38% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 38% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 38% sim
Sacks
63
Bradley
24
Martin
24
Fletcher
80
Parker
QB hurries
55
Bradley
22
Martin
92
Fletcher
88
Parker
Tackles for loss
28
Bradley
63
Martin
28
Fletcher
87
Parker
Passes defended
18
Bradley
67
Martin
67
Fletcher
18
Parker
Solo tackles
2
Bradley
87
Martin
91
Fletcher
96
Parker
Tackles
0
Bradley
98
Martin
99
Fletcher
98
Parker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2022
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Played his entire career under Butch Jones.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGaithersburg, MD
Height6'3"
Weight247 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State DE4 #14947 #15006 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Massachusetts DE4 #13097 #13630 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Massachusetts DE4 #10409 #11171 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2021 Vanderbilt DE4 #13698 #13826 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 247 lb | Gaithersburg, MD
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 247 lb | Gaithersburg, MD
2023 Massachusetts FBS Independents DE 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 247 lb | Gaithersburg, MD
2022 Massachusetts FBS Independents DE 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 247 lb | Gaithersburg, MD
2021 Vanderbilt SEC DE 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 247 lb | Gaithersburg, MD