cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Miles Davis /Utah State

Miles Davis

RB · Utah State · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

732 RUSH YDS · 8 RUSH TD · 131 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Utah State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Utah State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Utah State

Returning around him

  • 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87

RB · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Miles Davis

  • 4
  • 5-11 | 215 lb
  • Las Vegas, NV

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#469

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 3 · Recognized

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

6 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2020

BYU · RB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

2021

BYU · RB

2022

BYU · RB

2023

BYU · RB

2024

BYU · RB

2025

Utah State · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2020–2025
96.02020
-7.02021
2252022
78.02023
76.02024
7322025

+662%

Up 662% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2503 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2020–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-11 | 215 lb
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Primary teamUtah State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2503 recruit
Composite rating 0.8100 HighSchool
Signed with BYU 2020
Origin Las Vegas Las Vegas, NV, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8100 No. 2503 recruit | HighSchool | BYU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Utah State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 21, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 BYU -> Utah State 3-star | 0.8100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#469Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#378Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (732).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to BYU

Composite

0.8100

#2503 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Miles Davis

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Miles Davis &nbsp;&nbsp; ESPN"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Miles Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
732Rush yards
131Carries
8Rush TDs
Per game
56.3Rush yards
10Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
732Rush yards
131Carries
8Rush TDs

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Miles Davis is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 732 rushing yards, 28 catches, and 68 return yards for Utah State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #469 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 17.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 933 732 rush | 201 rec | #82/735 (89th pct)
Rush TD 8 131 carries | #51/739 (93rd pct)
Yards/carry 5.6 Per-rush efficiency | #172/735 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
131 88th
YDS
732 89th
YPC
5.6 77th
TD
8 93rd

Receiving

REC
28 93rd
YDS
201 90th
YPR
7.2 55th
TD
3 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 28-16vs UTEP12887.3158
Wk 2L 22-44@ Texas A&M10505.0030
Wk 3W 49-30vs Air Force9546.0030
Wk 4W 48-7vs McNeese131189.1130Season-high 118 yds
Wk 5L 35-55@ Vanderbilt640.703
Wk 7L 26-44@ Hawai'i151026.8120
Wk 8W 30-25vs San José State10505.0014
Wk 9L 14-33@ New Mexico1011011.0164
Wk 11W 51-14vs Nevada11333.029
Wk 12L 26-29@ UNLV10424.2111
Wk 13W 28-17@ Fresno State12383.2010
Wk 14L 24-25vs Boise State8364.5119
BowlL 21-34vs Washington State571.405
Total1317325.2864
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2020BYU10-1HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2021BYU10-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
2022BYU8-5HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2023BYU5-7HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2024BYU11-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Utah State1317325.68--
2024BYU18764.20--
2023BYU16784.90--
2022BYU402255.60--
2021BYU1-7-7.00--
2020BYU15966.42--
Career6 loaded seasons2211,2005.410--
SeasonTeam
2025Utah State282017.23--
2024BYU56813.61--
2023BYU1-7-7.00--
2022BYU6274.50--
2021BYU----------
2020BYU44310.80--
Career6 loaded seasons443327.54--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 28 201 rec yds | #39/552 (93rd pct)
Usage 17.4% 29.6% rush share | #122/738 (84th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.13 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #156/362 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 732 #82/735 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 8 #51/739 93rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.6 #172/735 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 28 #39/552 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 201 #57/548 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.13 #156/362 57th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 118 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 17.4% #122/738 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 131 #90/739 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 64 #88/733 88th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 30 #126/540 77th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.2 #250/548 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #5/552 99th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 68 #79/200 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 17.0 #118/199 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 4 #69/206 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 29.6% #126/738 83rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.6% #118/738 84th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 20.2% #91/738 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 19.3% #158/738 79th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.0% #165/738 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.4% #219/738 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 6.4% #103/738 86th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g55.15.20.7
Road6g57.75.10.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g63.55.60.7
Losses7g50.14.80.6

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g60.45.20.4
Weeks 8+6g51.55.10.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

75All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (87th). Strength: rec yards (84th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Receptions#39 / 338 · 88th pct
28rece
Rec yards#54 / 338 · 84th pct
201rece
Rush TDs#51 / 349 · 84th pct
8rush
Rush yards#82 / 349 · 77th pct
732rush
Long run#82 / 349 · 76th pct
64rush
Yards / carry#82 / 349 · 74th pct
5.6rush
Carries#90 / 349 · 74th pct
131rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Miles DavisUtah StateDaylan SmothersNC State· 91% simMichael WashingtonArkansas· 90% simNate SheppardDuke· 88% sim
Receptions
88
Davis
97
Smothers
88
Washington
97
Sheppard
Rec yards
84
Davis
81
Smothers
89
Washington
96
Sheppard
Rush TDs
84
Davis
72
Smothers
84
Washington
92
Sheppard
Rush yards
77
Davis
86
Smothers
92
Washington
94
Sheppard
Long run
76
Davis
78
Smothers
68
Washington
73
Sheppard
Yards / carry
74
Davis
84
Smothers
91
Washington
79
Sheppard
Carries
74
Davis
84
Smothers
86
Washington
93
Sheppard
Fumbles lost
14
Davis
14
Washington

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Satellite Back

Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Montrell Johnson’s 2023 season.

Montrell Johnson

78%match

Florida · 2023

#2

Owen Allen

Air Force · 2025

74%
#3

Tyler Lavine

SMU · 2020

73%
#4

Bhayshul Tuten

Virginia Tech · 2023

NFL Rd 4
75%
#5

Tayon Fleet-Davis

Maryland · 2021

75%

Matches Montrell on

EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / reception
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Montrell on

Rush TD rate (higher)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.

Asim Rose

95%match

Kentucky · 2020

#2

Cooper Wallace

The Citadel · 2024

93%
#3

Calvin Turner

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West
92%
#4

Trey Smith

Wyoming · 2020

91%
#5

Bryson Washington

Baylor · 2025

All-Big 12
91%

Matches Asim on

Yards per carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bronco Mendenhall

Pass share

47.9%

403 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

339 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2020–2025

4 coaches
2020
Frank Maile
Utah State
2021
Blake Anderson
Utah State
era →
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2023
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2024
Nate Dreiling
Utah State
era →
2025
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
era →

Played under 4 different head coaches: Frank Maile, Blake Anderson, Nate Dreiling, and Bronco Mendenhall. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height5'11"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Utah State | Mountain West RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 BYU RB4 #469 #378 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 BYU RB4 #2046 #2348 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 BYU RB4 #1107 #1077 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2021 BYU RB4 #1745 #1318 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2020 BYU RB4 #24 #14 0.3% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah State Mountain West RB 4 5-11 | 215 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2024 BYU Big 12 RB 4 5-11 | 215 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2023 BYU Big 12 RB 4 5-11 | 215 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2022 BYU FBS Independents RB 4 5-11 | 215 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2021 BYU FBS Independents RB 4 5-11 | 215 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2020 BYU FBS Independents RB 4 5-11 | 215 lb | Las Vegas, NV