CFB Zeitgeist Score
85
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.
MJ Stroud
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
33 TACKLES · 6.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Georgia Southern for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive line · Georgia Southern
Returning around him
- 92% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -1 net (17 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Georgia Southern · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #93 · 2026 recruiting class #80
DL · GEORGIA SOUTHERN · SUN BELT
MJ Stroud
- 3
- #18
- 6-2 | 235 lb
- Covington, GA
Heisman Heat
#14288
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Georgia Southern
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8270 | No. 1763 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Southern |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Georgia Southern
Composite
0.8270
#1763 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on MJ Stroud
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about MJ Stroud
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
33Tackles
15.5Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Final
33Tackles
15.5Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.5.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
MJ Stroud is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Georgia Southern's defense, with 6.5 sacks, 15.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
33 76th
SOLO
25 84th
TFL
15.5 100th
SACK
6.5 99th
QBH
6 94th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
2 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-42@ Fresno State | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-59@ USC | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-34vs Jacksonville State | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-17vs Maine | 5 | 3 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | 0 | Season-high 5 tackles |
| Wk 5 | L 10-35@ James Madison | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 35-38vs Southern Miss | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 41-24vs Georgia State | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 24-34@ Arkansas State | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | W 25-23@ App State | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 12 | W 45-40vs Coastal Carolina | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 10-45vs Old Dominion | 5 | 4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | 3.0 TFL |
| Wk 14 | W 24-19@ Marshall | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Bowl | W 29-10@ App State | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 33 | 25 | 15.5 | 6.5 | — | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
2023Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia Southern7-6HC: Clay Helton · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Southern | 33 | 25 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | 15 | 8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 51 | 36 | 16.0 | 6.5 | 2 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 33 | #1194/4942 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 15.5 | #15/4972 | 100th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 6.5 | #55/4972 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 2 | #792/2184 | 64th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 6 | #117/1878 | 94th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 25 | #744/4584 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Losses6g | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort
85All-Conference
Elite: tackles for loss (99th). Strength: sacks (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DL · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
MJ StroudGeorgia SouthernJohn MillerUtah State· 81% simKeyshaun ElliottArizona State· 81% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 81% sim
Tackles for loss
Sacks
QB hurries
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Tackles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The 3-Tech Penetrator
Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Prince Dorbah’s 2025 season.
Prince Dorbah
69%match
All-Big 12
#2
Derek Parish
NFL Rd 7
66%
#3
Gabriel Lopez
66%
#4
Jimmy Scott
61%
#5
Jimmori Robinson
All-AAC
59%
Matches Prince on
Height
Weight
Sack rate
Differs from Prince on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Gabriel Murphy's senior season at UCLA (2023).
Gabriel Murphy
66%match
#2
Joshua Burnham
52%
#3
Gabriel Lopez
50%
#4
Jalil Clemons
45%
#5
Jimmori Robinson
All-AAC
44%
Matches Gabriel on
Class year
TFL rate
Height
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Clay Helton
Pass share
48.9%
429 pass / 448 run
Plays / game
67.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.6%
325 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
2023
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
2025
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
Played his entire career under Clay Helton.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCovington, GA
Height6'2"
Weight235 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey18
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia Southern
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia Southern | DL3 | #14288 | #14218 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | DL3 | #13581 | #13797 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | DL3 | #14543 | #14550 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | DL | 3 | No. 18 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Covington, GA |
| 2024 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | DL | 3 | No. 18 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Covington, GA |
| 2023 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | DL | 3 | No. 18 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Covington, GA |
| 2022 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | DL | 3 | No. 18 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Covington, GA |