cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nikhai Hill-Green /Alabama

Nikhai Hill-Green

LB · Alabama · Sr · #41

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

54 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Alabama for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Alabama for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Alabama

Returning around him

  • 43% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 10 Alabama players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (17 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Alabama · Last season: 11-4 (AP #11) · Talent rank #2 · 2026 recruiting class #3

LB · ALABAMA · SEC

Nikhai Hill-Green

  • 4
  • #41
  • 6-2 | 235 lb
  • Pittsburgh, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4509

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

Michigan · LB

2023

Charlotte · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Colorado · LB

2025

Alabama · LB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#384 national
CFB
College
4 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey41
Measurements6-2 | 235 lb
HometownPittsburgh, PA
Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 384 recruit
Composite rating 0.8926 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin St. Frances Academy Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.8926 No. 384 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Alabama 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 22, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Colorado -> Alabama 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate
2024 Charlotte -> Colorado 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2023 Michigan -> Charlotte 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4509Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5354Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to —

Composite

0.8926

#384 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nikhai Hill-Green

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nikhai Hill-Green

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
54Tackles
5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
54Tackles
5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Nikhai Hill-Green is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Alabama's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4509 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 384 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 54 33 solo | #500/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
54 90th
SOLO
33 91st
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-31@ Florida State300.00.00
Wk 2W 73-0vs UL Monroe210.00.00
Wk 5W 24-21@ Georgia110.00.00
Wk 6W 30-14vs Vanderbilt220.00.00
Wk 7W 27-24@ Missouri730.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 8W 37-20vs Tennessee642.00.00
Wk 9W 29-22@ South Carolina770.00.00
Wk 11W 20-9vs LSU531.00.00
Wk 12L 21-23vs Oklahoma210.00.01
Wk 14W 27-20@ Auburn330.00.00
Wk 15L 7-28vs Georgia740.50.02
BowlW 34-24@ Oklahoma320.00.00
BowlL 3-38@ Indiana621.50.00
Total54335.00.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Michigan12-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-leaning
2023Charlotte3-9HC: Biff Poggi · Run-leaning
2024Colorado9-4HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Alabama54335.00.03----
2024Colorado795411.52.042--
2023Charlotte71479.02.03----
2021Michigan50352.00.01----
Career4 loaded seasons25416927.54.0112--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 54 #500/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 33 #417/4584 91st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.00.60.00.5
Road7g4.30.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g4.00.30.00.0
Losses4g4.50.50.00.8

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.40.20.00.0
Weeks 8+6g5.00.60.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

64Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (85th). Strength: tackles (82nd). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Solo tackles#417 / 2975 · 85th pct
33defe
Tackles#500 / 2975 · 83rd pct
54defe
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Nikhai Hill-GreenAlabamaBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 92% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 89% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 88% sim
Solo tackles
85
Hill-Green
95
Llewellyn
100
Fitzgerald
100
Benefield
Tackles
83
Hill-Green
99
Llewellyn
99
Fitzgerald
99
Benefield
Tackles for loss
80
Hill-Green
80
Llewellyn
85
Fitzgerald
94
Benefield
Passes defended
78
Hill-Green
86
Llewellyn
86
Fitzgerald
78
Benefield
QB hurries
72
Hill-Green
72
Llewellyn
55
Fitzgerald
55
Benefield
Forced fumbles
47
Hill-Green
47
Llewellyn
47
Fitzgerald
47
Benefield
Sacks
24
Hill-Green
24
Llewellyn
24
Fitzgerald
24
Benefield

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Abraham Beauplan’s 2022 season.

Abraham Beauplan

83%match

Marshall · 2022

All-Sun Belt
#2

Taniela Latu

San José State · 2025

81%
#3

Dylan Rosiek

Illinois · 2025

81%
#4

Ralen Goforth

Washington · 2023

79%
#5

Nate Landman

Colorado · 2021

79%

Matches Abraham on

Weight
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Differs from Abraham on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Alfred Chea's graduate season at Ball State (2025).

Alfred Chea

80%match

Ball State · 2025

#2

O.C. Brothers

UAB · 2024

80%
#3

Logan Lutui

BYU · 2025

77%
#4

Tre Freeman

Duke · 2025

77%
#5

Deshawn Pace

UCF · 2024

77%

Matches Alfred on

Class year
Tackle volume
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Nick Saban
Alabama
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
era →
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPittsburgh, PA
Height6'2"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey41

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-AAC all_conference Charlotte | AAC LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado LB4 #4509 #5354 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Charlotte LB4 #11462 #12164 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Michigan LB4 #4230 #3752 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Michigan LB4 #4291 #4107 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Alabama SEC LB 4 No. 41 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2024 Colorado Big 12 LB 4 No. 41 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2023 Charlotte American Athletic LB 4 No. 41 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2022 Michigan Big Ten LB 4 No. 41 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2021 Michigan Big Ten LB 4 No. 41 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pittsburgh, PA