CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 68th percentile.
Ta'Quan Roberson
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Ta'Quan Roberson is a cornerstone for Buffalo — measured against the line he joined.
2,520PASS YDS17PASS TD125RUSH YDS
PASSING VALUE · WEPA
+0.22
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 362 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Buffalo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Buffalo
Returning around him
- 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #112 · 2026 recruiting class #92
QB · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN
Ta'Quan Roberson
- 4
- #2
- 6-0 | 200 lb
- Orange, NJ
Heisman Heat
#672
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+2865%
Up 2865% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 4-star | 0.9045 | No. 287 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2520 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2520).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Penn State
Composite
0.9045
#287 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ta'Quan Roberson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ta'Quan Roberson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 11g
2,520Pass yards
17Pass TDs
12INT
Per game
229.1Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,978Pass yards
20Pass TDs
14INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,520): needs 240/game over remaining 2.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,520): needs 740/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 9/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ta'Quan Roberson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Buffalo, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
206 84th
ATT
356 88th
CMP%
57.9% 35th
Y/A
7.1 57th
Passing Production
YDS
2,520 85th
TD
17 86th
INT
12 3rd
Rushing
CAR
83 82nd
YDS
125 71st
YPC
1.5 32nd
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-23@ Minnesota | 12/20 | 107 | 1 | 0 | 5.4 | 37.9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-6vs St. Francis (PA) | 10/20 | 133 | 1 | 1 | 6.7 | 73.0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 31-28@ Kent State | 28/40 | 318 | 3 | 1 | 8.0 | 66.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | L 17-21vs Troy | 9/15 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | 32.7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan | 19/38 | 272 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 | 36.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 28-21@ Massachusetts | 36/55 | 403 | 2 | 1 | 7.3 | 55.7 | Season-high 403 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Akron | 23/36 | 266 | 1 | 4 | 7.4 | 16.5 | 4 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 10 | W 28-3@ Bowling Green | 13/24 | 136 | 1 | 1 | 5.7 | 44.9 | |
| Wk 12 | L 19-38@ Central Michigan | 16/33 | 208 | 1 | 1 | 6.3 | 16.0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 20-37vs Miami (OH) | 24/48 | 303 | 2 | 2 | 6.3 | 34.2 | |
| Wk 14 | L 26-31vs Ohio | 16/27 | 270 | 2 | 1 | 10.0 | 47.1 | |
| Total | 206/356 | 2520 | 17 | 12 | 7.0 | 41.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Penn State1-11HC: Lou Spanos · Balanced
2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023UConn3-9HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,520 | #59/382 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 17 | #57/407 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 206 | #61/383 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 57.9% | #250/383 | 35th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.1 | #165/382 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 125 | #120/408 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.22 | #130/200 | 36th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 362 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 53.1% | #55/428 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 356 | #51/407 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 12 | #395/407 | 3rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 83 | #75/408 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 40 | #69/391 | 83rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 1.5 | #277/407 | 32nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 89.7% | #66/428 | 85th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 64.8% | #80/428 | 82nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 60.6% | #97/428 | 78th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 53.4% | #14/428 | 97th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 48.6% | #92/428 | 79th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 47.3% | #49/428 | 89th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 15.4% | #99/428 | 77th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #136/140 | 4th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 50 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 4 | #237/258 | 9th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 225 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 1.3 |
| Road5g | 234 | 1.6 | 6.5 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 252 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.8 |
| Losses6g | 210 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 1.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 187 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 264 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 1.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
42Mid-pack
Concern: interceptions (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds51%of completions
55 comp5.1 yds avg1 TD
Middle
10–19 yds34%of completions
37 comp14.0 yds avg2 TD
Deep
20+ yds15%of completions
16 comp31.3 yds avg5 TD
Overall 58.1% completion on 186 attempts · 16 deep completions averaging 31.3 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.22Below (<p25) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ta'Quan RobersonBuffaloBen FinleyAkron· 90% simNoah KimEastern Michigan· 87% simRyan BrownePurdue· 82% sim
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Yards / att
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Layne Hatcher’s 2021 season.
Layne Hatcher
73%match
#2
Dylan Morris
71%
#3
Spencer Sanders
All-Big 12
70%
#4
Mitch Griffis
69%
#5
Braedyn Locke
68%
Matches Layne on
Completion %
INT rate
Weight
Differs from Layne on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Zevi Eckhaus's graduate season at Washington State (2025).
Zevi Eckhaus
65%match
#2
Preston Stone
All-Big Ten
63%
#3
Kaidon Salter
All-Conference USA
53%
#4
Parker Navarro
All-MAC
52%
#5
Nick Vattiato
50%
Matches Zevi on
INT rate
Differs from Zevi on
Completion % (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
Weight (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pete Lembo
Pass share
49.8%
409 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
338 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2022
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2023
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025era →
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOrange, NJ
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBuffalo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc6 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas State | QB4 | #672 | #515 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | UConn | QB4 | #373 | #587 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2022 | UConn | QB4 | #1292 | #1334 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2021 | UConn | QB4 | #1854 | #2228 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Buffalo | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Orange, NJ |
| 2024 | Kansas State | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Orange, NJ |
| 2023 | UConn | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Orange, NJ |
| 2022 | UConn | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Orange, NJ |
| 2021 | UConn | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Orange, NJ |
| 2021 | Penn State | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Orange, NJ |