cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Theran Johnson /Oregon

Theran Johnson

DB · Oregon · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

19 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Oregon

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 7 Oregon players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -17 net (13 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon · Last season: 13-2 (AP #5) · Talent rank #5 · 2026 recruiting class #5

DB · OREGON · BIG TEN

Theran Johnson

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 195 lb
  • Indianapolis, IN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8438

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Northwestern · DB

2023

Northwestern · DB

2024

Northwestern · DB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Oregon · DB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#732 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 195 lb
HometownIndianapolis, IN
Primary teamOregon

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 732 recruit
Composite rating 0.8674 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin North Central Indianapolis, IN, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8674 No. 732 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8438Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9161Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8674

#732 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Theran Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Theran Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
19Tackles
1Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
21Tackles
1.1Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 19): needs 61/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 19): needs 81/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Theran Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oregon's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8438 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 19 15 solo | #2072/4942 (58th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
19 58th
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3W 34-14@ Northwestern220.00.00
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State320.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 7L 20-30vs Indiana000.00.01
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers110.00.02
Wk 9W 21-7vs Wisconsin221.01.00
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa110.00.00
Wk 12W 42-13vs Minnesota110.00.00
Wk 13W 42-27vs USC210.00.00
Wk 14W 26-14@ Washington320.00.00
BowlW 51-34vs James Madison110.00.00
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech100.00.00
BowlL 22-56@ Indiana220.00.00
Total19151.01.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Northwestern1-11HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Balanced
2023Northwestern8-5HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
2024Northwestern4-8HC: David Braun · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Oregon19151.01.03----
2024Northwestern53403.50.0102--
2023Northwestern35212.00.051--
2022Northwestern13110.00.03----
Career4 loaded seasons120876.51.0213--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 19 #2072/4942 58th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.20.20.20.2
Road7g1.90.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g1.70.10.10.2
Losses2g1.00.00.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.50.00.00.2
Weeks 8+6g1.70.20.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

47Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#2072 / 2975 · 29th pct
19defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Theran JohnsonOregonDalton JohnsonArizona· 67% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 65% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 64% sim
Passes defended
78
Johnson
96
Johnson
98
Hamblin
67
Martin
Sacks
63
Johnson
63
Johnson
74
Hamblin
24
Martin
Solo tackles
50
Johnson
97
Johnson
99
Hamblin
87
Martin
Forced fumbles
47
Johnson
47
Johnson
47
Hamblin
47
Martin
Tackles
29
Johnson
98
Johnson
99
Hamblin
98
Martin
Tackles for loss
28
Johnson
47
Johnson
56
Hamblin
63
Martin
QB hurries
22
Johnson
22
Johnson
22
Hamblin
22
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Avarion Cole’s 2025 season.

Avarion Cole

94%match

Western Kentucky · 2025

#2

Jer'Marius Lewis

UTSA · 2025

89%
#3

Jahdae Barron

Texas · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 20
87%
#4

Jacobie Henderson

Marshall · 2023

86%
#5

Juawan Treadwell

Liberty · 2022

86%

Matches Avarion on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to DeVonta Smith's senior season at Notre Dame (2025).

DeVonta Smith

95%match

Notre Dame · 2025

BiletnikoffHeismanMaxwellNFL Rd 1 · Pk 10
#2

Avarion Cole

Western Kentucky · 2025

95%
#3

Jer'Marius Lewis

UTSA · 2025

90%
#4

Toriano Pride

Missouri · 2025

89%
#5

Kamo'i Latu

Wisconsin · 2023

88%

Matches DeVonta on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Lanning

Pass share

44.9%

436 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

64.7

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.8%

250 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIndianapolis, IN
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Northwestern | Big Ten DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Northwestern DB4 #8438 #9161 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Northwestern DB4 #10340 #10385 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Northwestern DB4 #12257 #12478 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Northwestern DB4 #12180 #12130 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oregon Big Ten DB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2024 Northwestern Big Ten DB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2023 Northwestern Big Ten DB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2022 Northwestern Big Ten DB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Indianapolis, IN
2021 Northwestern Big Ten DB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Indianapolis, IN