Oregon

1-1AP #21

Big Ten · Dan Lanning, year 5 (49-9) · Autzen Stadium · 54,000 · 57,652 avg in 2026

The nationAP #21 · Coaches #18down 15 from last week
The model#5 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #7 (+23.9) · FPI #13
The marketno line yetvs Portland State · our model 100% Oregon · a number, not a pick

LastL 31–39 at Oklahoma State · Sat Sep 12 · Dante Moore 191 pass yds, 2 TD

Nextvs Portland State · Fri Sep 18 · 10:30 pm ET · Autzen Stadium · series 6-0, won the last 6 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

No consensus around Oregon right now — the fanbase is genuinely divided.

Dan Lanning's year 5 (2026): 1-1, behind Bryan McClendon's 13-2 in the same spot.

Oregon fans are split.

School hasn’t even started yet and the stadium was packed and hopping today. Made me super proud of our fanbase. I love being a Duck!

▲ 406r/ducks

I’ve seen enough Boise State for one lifetime.

▲ 424r/ducks
✓ verbatim
belief cooled ↓ 3.6vs prior week
Fanbase belief
Mixed
47/100 · 1,747 mentions
~ our read
Grounding
backed by facts
8% cite a stat · 6% typical ✓ counted
~ our read
Volatility
Reactive
σ 16 pts
~ our read
The model
#5
CFB Zeitgeist · +13.2
✓ measured
Explore all 12 corners of the fanbase ↓
6
recruiting class

Oregon's top-3 class signals West Coast shift.

With Immanuel Iheanacho (#16 nationally, IOL) arriving, Oregon's third straight top-5 class faces the challenge of rebuilding nearly everything after seven NFL exits and a rival, Washington, signed a top-13 class.

The Pulse on Oregon

Archive · Wk 2 · 1,747 mentions · medium confidence
47
Δ -3.6 vs last wk
1,747 mentions this week · conversation velocity

What moved it — last 14 days

Awaiting next signal window
"Win the Day. (Chip Kelly's mantra; still in circulation)" — Oregon fanbase · recurring line
The Fever Year

Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling

Inside the fanbase — all 12 corners

Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
LLocked On
AAddicted To Quack
CCampus paper
OOur Beloved Ducks Forum
BBluesky
YYouTube
8 outlets & communities talking

One voice

+0.00whole-room sentiment · warm our read

Every cohort from the die-hards to the analytics crowd lands within 0.03 of each other — a rare consensus. The loudest voice in the room:

Locked On

Reaction: Oregon Disaster at Oklahoma State is the Worst Loss of Dan Lanning's Career With Ducks

How Oregon fans actually talk real · top-upvoted

Rr/CFBthe room

If there was ever a precedent to unironically reverse the outcome of a game retroactively and have it count, it would be this.

3.4k open ↗

The crowd’s loudest take by upvotes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.

The room, end to end

skeptical
buying in
Local+0.04
Casuals+0.02

Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.

What this fanbase keeps coming back to our read · topic model

fan energy
32%
recent results
18%
where the program is headed
16%
the schedule
8%
the rankings
7%

Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.

2687 mentions · 8 sources · week 2026-02. Counts, sources and the divergence rank are measured (fact). Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model read (our read) — never a quote attributed to a person.
Belief checkevidence-driven

~ our readOregon fans are down on the program, and they're pointing to real stats and results to back it up — more than most fanbases right now.

backed by facts
8% cited a stat or resultleague 6%
the mood
18% optimistic42% down

✓ counted We read 1747 posts from Oregon fans this week.

Press Pulse

23 quotes collected this season

What the beat said, in their own words.

We took six times the amount of bets on Michigan moneyline compared with Western Michigan
Horne · FOX Sports2 days after Oregon's 2026 opener
Customers found the most success with LSU-Clemson, Wisconsin-Notre Dame, Texas State-Texas and pretty much every other big favorite easily covering
Horne · FOX Sports2 days after the 34–27 opener
Bettors had the most difficulties with Washington State vs. Washington, Colorado vs. Georgia Tech, Oregon vs. Boise State and Baylor vs. Auburn
Horne · FOX Sports2 days after the 34–27 opener

Fanbase health · Oregon

Oregon's fanbase is surging — 78 of 100.

Loud (137 weighted voices in the latest week) and winning on the field (13-2 last season, 1-1 so far).

On the field — 13-2 last season, 1-1 so far83
How loud — 137 weighted voices in the latest week73

2 of 3 signals · on-field reading uses last season until 4 games are in · 0–100, bands at 26 / 51 / 76

More in this tab

Recurring takesThe takes and theories circulating about this team right now.

Fan reads

What's in the air

The Ducks are adding key pieces to their roster after heavy NFL Draft losses.

Will Oregon secure all of its top recruiting targets before the summer ends?

Jul 4→ 16
~ our read
The Duck uniform goes hard.r/ducks
National Championship 🏆 and Heisman Trophy! Undefeated season! Go Oregon Ducks 🦆YouTube · GoDucks

Oregon adds a key in-state recruit to help offset recent NFL Draft losses.

How will Christensen fit into Oregon's defensive plans?

Jun 19→ 6
~ our read
Oregon is so much more than Dakorian Moore and Evan Stewart. Add in 5 Gatlin Bair, 5 Jalen Lott, the best TE in college football in Jamari Johnson, the best pass catching RB in the country in Dierre Hill, Jeremiah McClellan with the best hands on…YouTube · ESPN College Football
Oregon also is adding freshmen five stars in Jalen Lott and Gatlin Bair at the WR spot and Kendre Harrison at TE. There are some good groups on this list, but Oregon's has the highest upside.YouTube · ESPN College Football
Rivalry moodBoth fanbases' moods, side by side, week by week.

Oregon – Washington

Fan mood across the 2025 season, both sides — our read

12345678911121314161719head-to-headOregonWashington
Hover a week for both sides’ game

Shaded weeks show whose fanbase read warmer, our measure of what fans actually said, not a poll.

ArgumentsRecurring arguments this fanbase keeps returning to.

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

player performanceEarly signal — few voices

fans think he lacks leadership on the field

Dante Moore has never looked like a consensus #1 to me. Dudes got no dog in him. Never once seen him put the team on his back and grit out a tough win.

Based on 3 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Sep 6, 2026–Sep 12, 2026 · via CFB, ducks

fan moraleLimited signal that season

fans believe Oregon has a strong team this season

we fans think there's a very good chance that Oregon could be national champs.

Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Jul 28, 2026 · via The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football Podcast

job securityLimited signal that season

fans believe Dan Lanning has publicly reaffirmed his commitment to Oregon

Dan Lanning Yet Again Shuts Down Rumors About Him Leaving Oregon! Via: cfbalerts On Instagram THE GRASS IS DAMN GREEN!!!

Happy Dan Lanning Day! 12/11 No bullshit personal drama, locked in with Oregon and is one of the Top 5 coaches in America.

Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Oct 30, 2025–Dec 11, 2025 · via ducks

Show all 6
job securityOne fan's take that season

One fan believes Dan Lanning is secure in his position and will remain at Oregon for the foreseeable future

Lanning is not on a hot seat for at-least another five years. And to be honest. As another Oregon fan. The dude is loved by all of us.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jul 28, 2026 · via The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football Podcast

player performanceOne fan's take that season

One fan believes Oregon's success depends on Dante Moore's performance

I knew there was going to be Moore of Dante. Hes going to lead Oregon to Moore victories and a Natty

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jun 25, 2026 · via GoDucks

player performanceOne fan's take that season

One fan argues Dante Moore will improve with experience

Dante Moore looked really comfortable out there, didn't try to force things and made smart throws. Can't wait to see how they open the playbook for him going forward.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 31, 2025 · via CFB

Beat writersThe reporters whose scoops move this fanbase first.
Who covers this teampress coverage
TOThe Oregonian / OregonLive

James Crepea

Oregon Ducks beat reporter

No financial relationship with any outlet listed. If we have a reporter wrong or missing, please let us know.

PodcastsThe shows this fanbase actually listens to.

From the booth

a recent episode about this team
The obsessionThe rival this fanbase can't stop bringing up.
Rent free · r/cfb fan posts, last season
Oregon fans this offseason 56% of posts bring up another team▲2pp saltier#21 of 70 saltiest · mostly about Boise State
Who Oregon fans can’t stop bringing up
  1. Boise State15%
  2. USC12%
  3. Ohio State8%
  4. Michigan5%
  5. Penn State3%
share of Oregon’s football posts that mention each team
Oregon lives rent-free in
  1. Oregon State28%
  2. Oklahoma State15%
  3. Washington15%
  4. Nebraska11%
  5. Ohio State6%
share of each rival fanbase’s football posts that bring up Oregon
Who they talk aboutThe people this fanbase names more than anyone else does.
Who they talk about 1,190 posts and articles vs the field · 2026 season

The names this fanbase says more than anyone else does — players, coaches, the places they keep coming back to. Not slang: these are the people carrying the conversation.

Dante Moore
×65.1 the field
Signature — named ≥10× as often as the rest of college football
Dante Moore×65.1n=128
Dan Lanning×74.8n=127
Jordon Davison×230.1n=27
Autzen×49.8n=19
Evan Stewart×115.0n=18
Drew Mehringer×57.3n=12
Will Stein×10.5n=18

“The X-factor in Oregon quarterback Dante Moore’s development? It’s Marcus Mariota.”

reddit/ducks · fan post, verbatim
Fans on Dante Moore (8 examples)
  1. Dante Moore is vastly overrated. Hats off to Oklahoma State. They were tenacious and gutsy
  2. offense-Dante Moore plays favorites. He is not reading the field. Gaitlin Bair was open on a Mesh Rout
  3. I see alot of comments about how Dante Moore isn't it, and we should have benched him, and while I dont think he had a great
  4. **DANTE MOORE** Dante Moore the “alleged” first round pick of the 2027 draft. I have a lot of
  5. Dante Moore didn’t show up to the podium. And those company lines started to sound stale.
  6. I’ve figured it out. Dante Moore’s comparison is Eli Manning.
  7. Dante Moore has never looked like a consensus #1 to me. Dudes got no dog in him. Never once
  8. Dante Moore and his expansive weaponry on offense. Those fans also watched edge rush duo Matayo
Voice profileHow this fanbase sounds vs. every other fanbase.
Fanbase Voice 6,902 fan mentions
Measured
Optimism
49th
Joy
73rd
Anger
55th
Doom
57th
Sarcasm
38th
vs the 94 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
Vocabulary by eraThe words that defined each chapter of this program.

Season Vocabulary

2026BOISE
boisetoplastwinlineosu
boise State misses the Top 25 by 3 votes
2025TECH
techbowlalabamavirginiabluecfb
As soon as the LA tech QB learns to throw a football, coastal is in trouble
2024OSU
osustarrivalrygabrielavgratings
Oregon with its first big play, a 44-yard completion to the osu 22.
Defining termsThe handful of terms that carried this season.
Words of the season how the conversation changed, year to year
2026
boise×4.9top×2.0last×1.9win×1.8line×2.1
2025
tech×2.3bowl×2.1alabama×2.5virginia×4.8blue×5.9
2024
osu×6.7star×5.6rivalry×4.9gabriel×13.3avg×19.7
Fanbase clusterWhich other fanbases talk the way yours does.
Your Vocabulary Clustercluster 0
with 63 other fanbases
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