Todd Centeio: QB · James Madison · #1.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Todd Centeio
Runs when the pocket breaks down. Played for five head coaches at three programs in six seasons: Geoff Collins, Ed Foley, Rod Carey, Steve Addazio and Curt Cignetti. The first one came in 2022: Sun Belt Newcomer of the Year. One game to point at: 468 passing yards and 44 rushing yards against Georgia Southern — Week 7, 2022.
Play style
Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
25.0% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 18.9% conversion-per-dropback — 12.5% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
2 of the team's 22 inside-the-5 carries (9.1%).
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
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| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | James Madison | 180 | 283 | 63.6% | 2,692 | 9.5 | 25 | 5 | 169.1 | 78 |
| 2021 | Colorado State | 229 | 380 | 60.3% | 2,958 | 7.8 | 15 | 10 | 133.4 | 56 |
| 2020 | Colorado State | 14 | 36 | 38.9% | 207 | 5.8 | 1 | 1 | 90.8 | -- |
| 2019 | Temple | 30 | 45 | 66.7% | 368 | 8.2 | 4 | 1 | 160.2 | -- |
| 2018 | Temple | 11 | 17 | 64.7% | 141 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 173.2 | -- |
| 2017 | Temple | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 184.0 | -- |
| Career | 466 | 763 | 61.1% | 6,386 | 8.4 | 47 | 17 | 147.3 | 65 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | James Madison | 95 | 366 | 3.9 | 7 | 30 |
| 2021 | Colorado State | 131 | 439 | 3.4 | 2 | 32 |
| 2020 | Colorado State | 24 | 101 | 4.2 | 0 | 35 |
| 2019 | Temple | 43 | 142 | 3.3 | 0 | 45 |
| 2018 | Temple | 20 | 82 | 4.1 | 1 | 21 |
| 2017 | Temple | 4 | −2 | −0.5 | 0 | 6 |
| Career | 317 | 1,128 | 3.6 | 10 | 45 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2022 season · 10 games
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| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 44-7vs Middle Tennessee | 21/33 | 287 | 6 | 0 | 8.7 | 84.7 | 6 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 63-7vs Norfolk State | 12/17 | 165 | 3 | 0 | 9.7 | 89.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | W 32-28@ App State | 16/28 | 204 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 | 71.4 | |
| Wk 5 | W 40-13vs Texas State | 15/25 | 257 | 0 | 1 | 10.3 | 85.4 | |
| Wk 6 | W 42-20@ Arkansas State | 28/37 | 394 | 4 | 0 | 10.6 | 82.2 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | L 38-45@ Georgia Southern | 28/48 | 468 | 2 | 3 | 9.8 | 61.5 | Season-high 468 yds · 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 10 | L 10-34@ Louisville | 4/15 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 3.5 | 18.4 | |
| Wk 11 | W 37-3@ Old Dominion | 18/21 | 304 | 0 | 1 | 14.5 | 82.7 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-40vs Georgia State | 21/27 | 274 | 4 | 0 | 10.1 | 81.9 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 47-7vs No. 23 Coastal Carolina | 17/32 | 287 | 4 | 0 | 9.0 | 76.4 | 4 TD passes |
| Total | 180/283 | 2692 | 25 | 5 | 9.5 | — |
Week 1 · 2022
W 44-7
287 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT · QBR 84.7 · 110 rush yds (14 car)
Dominant 37-point win at home against Middle Tennessee.
With S. Clark — 42 yards per punt · 5 punts · 2 inside the 20 · K. Thornton — 12 rec · 155 yds · 3 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 273 passing plays (173 completions) against the box score's 283 attempts (180 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
9.744 of 206 QBsSack rate
4.4%61 of 206 QBsRarely sacked (61 of 206 QBs) and still 4 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 63.6% completion on 283 attempts · 46 deep completions averaging 30.7 yds.
Splits · Per-game
2022 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 254 | 3.4 | 9.6 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 284 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 0.8 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 296 | 2.8 | 9.4 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 229 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 0.2 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Curt Cignetti
Pass share
41.1%
327 pass / 468 run
Plays / game
72.3
11 games
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Player standing · 2022
Picked for an all-conference team by at least one selector.
Recognition
Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score
Three-star recruit. Now #27 at the position.
How it ended
Six seasons, at Temple, Colorado State and James Madison, 6,386 passing yards — the college career is complete.
Four or fewer games in the first season, then ten or more.
The role got bigger.
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-SUN BELT · 2ND TEAM
All-Sun Belt 2nd team (2022)
Weekly recognition
4 weekly honors (2022)
Sun Belt Offensive Player of the Week — a 4+ season has tracked to All-Conference ~83% of the time
Coaching lineage · 2017–2022
4 coachesPlayed for 4 head coaches at 3 schools: Geoff Collins, Rod Carey, Steve Addazio and Curt Cignetti.
