cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tracy Hill Jr. /Georgia Southern

Tracy Hill Jr.

DB · Georgia Southern · Jr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

41 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia Southern for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia Southern for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Georgia Southern

Returning around him

  • 92% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (17 in / 18 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia Southern · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #93 · 2026 recruiting class #80

DB · GEORGIA SOUTHERN · SUN BELT

Tracy Hill Jr.

  • 3
  • #12
  • 6-2 | 200 lb
  • Athens, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

59

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14171

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Georgia Southern · DB

2025

Georgia Southern · DB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Georgia Southern
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey12
Measurements6-2 | 200 lb
HometownAthens, GA
Primary teamGeorgia Southern

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14171Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14109Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tracy Hill Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tracy Hill Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
41Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
44Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 41): needs 39/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 41): needs 59/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 5.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 9.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tracy Hill Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Georgia Southern's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14171 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 41 31 solo | #872/4942 (82nd pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
41 82nd
SOLO
31 89th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.5 70th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
7 96th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 14-42@ Fresno State330.00.00
Wk 2L 20-59@ USC210.00.00
Wk 3W 41-34vs Jacksonville State430.00.00
Wk 4W 45-17vs Maine330.00.01
Wk 5L 10-35@ James Madison431.00.00
Wk 7L 35-38vs Southern Miss551.00.01
Wk 8W 41-24vs Georgia State431.00.00
Wk 9L 24-34@ Arkansas State840.50.50Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 12W 45-40vs Coastal Carolina000.00.02
Wk 13L 10-45vs Old Dominion320.00.00
Wk 14W 24-19@ Marshall330.00.02
BowlW 29-10@ App State210.00.011
Total41313.50.517
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia Southern7-6HC: Clay Helton · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia Southern41313.50.571--
2023Georgia Southern850.00.01----
Career2 loaded seasons49363.50.581--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 7 Coverage disruption | #85/2184 (96th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 41 #872/4942 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 7 #85/2184 96th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 31 #483/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.20.30.00.7
Road6g3.70.20.10.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.70.20.01.0
Losses6g4.20.40.10.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.30.30.00.4
Weeks 8+5g3.60.30.10.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

59Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (96th). Strength: solo tackles (83rd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#85 / 2975 · 96th pct
7defe
Solo tackles#483 / 2975 · 83rd pct
31defe
Tackles#872 / 2975 · 70th pct
41defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tracy Hill Jr.Georgia SouthernBrevin HamblinUtah State· 84% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 82% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 82% sim
Passes defended
96
Jr.
98
Hamblin
96
Andersen
91
Ra-El
Solo tackles
83
Jr.
99
Hamblin
96
Andersen
100
Ra-El
Tackles
70
Jr.
99
Hamblin
99
Andersen
99
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
69
Jr.
56
Hamblin
90
Andersen
56
Ra-El
Sacks
51
Jr.
74
Hamblin
74
Andersen
24
Ra-El
Interceptions
31
Jr.
31
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Jr.
22
Hamblin
22
Andersen
22
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josh Proctor’s 2023 season.

Josh Proctor

85%match

Ohio State · 2023

All-Big Ten
#2

Azizi Hearn

UCLA · 2022

82%
#3

Xavier Lucas

Miami · 2025

84%
#4

Tony Grimes

North Carolina · 2022

81%
#5

Ja'Quan Sheppard

Cincinnati · 2022

All-AAC
80%

Matches Josh on

Interceptions
PD rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jyaire Hill's junior season at Michigan (2025).

Jyaire Hill

82%match

Michigan · 2025

#2

Deonte Banks

Maryland · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
80%
#3

Brandon Miyazono

SMU · 2025

78%
#4

Roman Pearson

Ball State · 2025

75%
#5

Carrington Valentine

Kentucky · 2022

NFL Rd 7
74%

Matches Jyaire on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Clay Helton

Pass share

48.9%

429 pass / 448 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

325 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern
2025
Clay Helton
Georgia Southern

Played his entire career under Clay Helton.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAthens, GA
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Georgia Southern | Sun Belt DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia Southern DB3 #14171 #14109 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Georgia Southern DB3 #14270 #14358 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Georgia Southern DB3 #14265 #14288 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 3 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Athens, GA
2024 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 3 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Athens, GA
2023 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 3 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Athens, GA
2022 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 3 No. 12 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Athens, GA