CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 87th percentile.
Trond Grizzell
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
788 REC YDS · 55 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to California for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · California
Returning around him
- 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 1 California player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69
WR · CALIFORNIA · ACC
Trond Grizzell
- 4
- #7
- 6-4 | 205 lb
- Park City, UT
Heisman Heat
#622
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+34%
Up 34% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
California
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Trond Grizzell
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Trond Grizzell
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
14.3
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #136 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 74th
Why it matters
#136 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.3 yards per reception (55 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 14.3 (74th)
HIGH · n=55 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#67 / 531
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 13 at Stanford — 104 ypr
Result L 10-31
The week the volume broke through — put up 104 yds at Stanford.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
788Rec yards
55Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
65.7Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
853.7Rec yards
60Receptions
1Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 788.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 788): needs 212/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 55): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 55): needs 25/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Trond Grizzell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
55 92nd
YDS
788 94th
YPR
14.3 71st
TD
1 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-15@ Oregon State | 5 | 83 | 16.6 | 1 | 35 | |
| Wk 2 | W 35-3vs Texas Southern | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 3 | W 27-14vs Minnesota | 4 | 60 | 15.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 4 | L 0-34@ San Diego State | 4 | 91 | 22.8 | 0 | 33 | |
| Wk 5 | W 28-24@ Boston College | 5 | 78 | 15.6 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-45vs Duke | 4 | 56 | 14.0 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 9 | L 34-42@ Virginia Tech | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | 0 | 34 | |
| Wk 10 | L 21-31vs Virginia | 8 | 80 | 10.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 11 | W 29-26@ Louisville | 2 | 37 | 18.5 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 13 | L 10-31@ Stanford | 9 | 104 | 11.6 | 0 | 23 | Season-high 104 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 38-35vs SMU | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Bowl | L 31-35@ Hawai'i | 8 | 98 | 12.3 | 0 | 22 | |
| Total | 55 | 788 | 15.6 | 1 | 35 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California | 55 | 788 | 14.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | California | 27 | 401 | 14.9 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | California | 39 | 590 | 15.1 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 121 | 1,779 | 14.7 | 7 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 55 | #88/1110 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 788 | #72/1107 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.3 | #318/1106 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 18.0% | #135/1137 | 88th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 35 | #527/1105 | 52nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 18.1% | #19/1137 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.9% | #16/1137 | 99th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.3% | #120/1137 | 90th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 10.6% | #74/1137 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.3% | #197/1137 | 83rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.0% | #239/1137 | 79th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 4.0 | 49.8 | 13.1 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 5.0 | 77.0 | 17.3 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 3.3 | 51.8 | 15.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses6g | 5.8 | 79.5 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.6 | 71.1 | 16.0 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 4.6 | 58.0 | 14.9 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
60Solid starter
Elite: rec yards (87th). Strength: receptions (83rd). Concern: long catch (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Trond GrizzellCaliforniaKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 76% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 74% simHank BeattyIllinois· 72% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Andrew Armstrong’s 2024 season.
Andrew Armstrong
78%match
#2
Dane Key
75%
#3
Chase Roberts
74%
#4
Jaden Bradley
All-Mountain West
73%
#5
Roc Taylor
All-AAC
72%
Matches Andrew on
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Andrew on
Reception volume (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ben Ratzlaff’s path through Houston Christian.
Ben Ratzlaff
99%match
#2
Colton Dowell
NFL Rd 7
98%
#3
Marlon Williams
All-AAC
98%
#4
Blayne Taylor
98%
#5
Josh Palmer
98%
Matches Ben on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Malik Knowles's junior season at Kansas State (2022).
Malik Knowles
79%match
All-Big 12
#2
Malachi Fields
All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
76%
#3
Sam Pinckney
All-Sun Belt
76%
#4
Christian Moss
76%
#5
Sean Brown
71%
Matches Malik on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Height
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Justin Wilcox
Pass share
57.0%
502 pass / 379 run
Plays / game
67.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.2%
353 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California
Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPark City, UT
Height6'4"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCalifornia
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | WR4 | #622 | #699 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | California | WR4 | #565 | #740 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | California | WR4 | #4063 | #4319 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | California | WR4 | #4106 | #4218 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Park City, UT |
| 2024 | California | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Park City, UT |
| 2023 | California | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Park City, UT |
| 2022 | California | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Park City, UT |
| 2021 | California | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-4 | 205 lb | Park City, UT |