cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyson Flowers /Virginia Tech

Tyson Flowers

S · Virginia Tech · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

48 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Virginia Tech

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (27 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia Tech · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #40 · 2026 recruiting class #39

S · VIRGINIA TECH · ACC

Tyson Flowers

  • 3
  • #11
  • 5-11 | 204 lb
  • Fort Worth, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

48

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10417

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1404 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements5-11 | 204 lb
HometownFort Worth, TX
Primary teamVirginia Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1404 recruit
Composite rating 0.8450 HighSchool
Signed with Rice 2022
Origin Southwest Christian Fort Worth, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8450 No. 1404 recruit | HighSchool | Rice

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Virginia Tech 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 22, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Rice -> Virginia Tech 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10417Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11003Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Rice

Composite

0.8450

#1404 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyson Flowers

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyson Flowers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
48Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
52Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 48): needs 32/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 48): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyson Flowers is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Virginia Tech's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10417 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 48 27 solo | #649/4942 (87th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
48 87th
SOLO
27 86th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 11-24@ South Carolina110.00.00
Wk 2L 20-44vs Vanderbilt210.00.00
Wk 3L 26-45vs Old Dominion620.00.00
Wk 4W 38-6vs Wofford310.00.00
Wk 5W 23-21@ NC State420.00.01
Wk 6L 23-30vs Wake Forest440.00.00
Wk 7L 20-35@ Georgia Tech650.00.00
Wk 9W 42-34vs California320.00.00
Wk 10L 16-28vs Louisville110.00.00
Wk 12L 14-34@ Florida State520.00.00
Wk 13L 17-34vs Miami830.00.01Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 14L 7-27@ Virginia530.00.00
Total48270.00.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Rice6-7HC: Mike Bloomgren · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Pass-leaning
2025Virginia Tech3-9HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia Tech48270.00.02----
2024Rice33223.00.022--
2023Rice23152.01.05----
Career3 loaded seasons104645.01.092--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 48 #649/4942 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 27 #649/4584 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.90.00.00.1
Road5g4.20.00.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.30.00.00.3
Losses9g4.20.00.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.70.00.00.1
Weeks 8+5g4.40.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

48Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Tackles#649 / 2975 · 78th pct
48defe
Solo tackles#649 / 2975 · 77th pct
27defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Tyson FlowersVirginia TechBlake FletcherAir Force· 84% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 68% simBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 67% sim
Tackles
78
Flowers
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Llewellyn
Solo tackles
77
Flowers
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
95
Llewellyn
QB hurries
72
Flowers
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
72
Llewellyn
Passes defended
67
Flowers
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
86
Llewellyn
Sacks
24
Flowers
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
24
Llewellyn
Tackles for loss
7
Flowers
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
80
Llewellyn

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen Mergerson’s 2023 season.

Jalen Mergerson

84%match

Air Force · 2023

#2

Nicario Harper

Illinois · 2023

83%
#3

Owen Goss

Arizona · 2024

83%
#4

Jordan Allen

Houston · 2025

82%
#5

Jaylen Mahoney

Vanderbilt · 2021

82%

Matches Jalen on

Height
PD rate
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Braden Turner's junior season at Northwestern (2025).

Braden Turner

91%match

Northwestern · 2025

#2

Peyton Williams

South Carolina · 2025

87%
#3

Evan Jackson

North Texas · 2025

86%
#4

Mercury Swaim

New Mexico · 2025

85%
#5

Sharif Denson

Florida · 2025

85%

Matches Braden on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Pry

Pass share

42.0%

319 pass / 441 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
2024
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech
2025
Brent Pry
Virginia Tech

Played his entire career under Brent Pry.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Worth, TX
Height5'11"
Weight204 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Rice S3 #10417 #11003 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Rice S3 #12090 #12177 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Rice S3 #14851 #14924 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia Tech ACC S 3 No. 11 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2024 Rice American Athletic S 3 No. 11 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2023 Rice American Athletic S 3 No. 11 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2022 Rice Conference USA S 3 No. 11 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Fort Worth, TX