Florida International

1-1

Conference USA · Willie Simmons, year 2 (8-7) · Pitbull Stadium · 20,000 · 18,202 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#103 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #116 (-13.5) · FPI #109
The marketFlorida Atlantic by 7at Florida Atlantic · our model 42% Florida International · a number, not a pick

LastW 33–20 vs Buffalo · Sat Sep 12 · JJ Kohl 367 pass yds, 3 TD, 19 rush yds

Nextat Florida Atlantic · Sat Sep 19 · 6 pm ET · FAU Stadium · Florida Atlantic by 7 · series 6-16 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
21.0
Pts allowed/game
19.5
Total yards/gm#43 / 138 · 69th pct
460.5
Rush yards/gm#114 / 138 · 18th pct
117.0
Pass yards/gm#13 / 138 · 91st pct
343.5
Yards allowed/gmT-#33 / 138 · 76th pct
258.0
Rush yds allowed/gmT-#33 / 138 · 76th pct
83.5
SacksT-#60 / 138 · 50th pct
4
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down conv#85 / 138 · 39th pct
38.2%
All 94 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
921460.5/gm6.10/play#43 / 138 · 69th pct#30 / 70 · 58th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
516258.0/gm4.23/playT-#33 / 138 · 76th pctT-#30 / 70 · 57th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
234117.0/gm1.55/play#114 / 138 · 18th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
16783.5/gm1.37/playT-#33 / 138 · 76th pctT-#27 / 70 · 61st pct#2 / 10 · 85th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
6432.0/gmT-#110 / 138 · 20th pctT-#56 / 70 · 19th pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6331.5/gmT-#39 / 138 · 70th pctT-#30 / 70 · 57th pctT-#1 / 10 · 90th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
00.0/gmT-#134 / 138 · 2nd pctT-#69 / 70 · 1st pctT-#9 / 10 · 10th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 70 · 64th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
687343.5/gm4.55/play#13 / 138 · 91st pct#7 / 70 · 91st pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
349174.5/gm2.86/play#48 / 138 · 66th pct#35 / 70 · 51st pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
8743.5/gm#13 / 138 · 91st pct#4 / 70 · 95th pct#2 / 10 · 85th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5929.5/gmT-#66 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#37 / 70 · 47th pct#7 / 10 · 35th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
5326.5/gmT-#19 / 138 · 86th pctT-#8 / 70 · 89th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3316.5/gmT-#50 / 138 · 60th pctT-#31 / 70 · 51st pctT-#6 / 10 · 40th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
52.5/gmT-#33 / 138 · 71st pctT-#24 / 70 · 60th pctT-#2 / 10 · 75th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 57th pctT-#29 / 70 · 46th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
143.9143.9#59 / 115 · 49th pct#41 / 60 · 32nd pct#3 / 13 · 85th pct
Opp
110.0110.0#29 / 91 · 69th pct#22 / 42 · 49th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
21.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#8 / 70 · 77th pctT-#3 / 10 · 60th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#3 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
42.0/gmT-#60 / 138 · 50th pctT-#36 / 70 · 40th pctT-#5 / 10 · 50th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#9 / 138 · 86th pctT-#6 / 70 · 82nd pctT-#1 / 10 · 90th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
147.0/gmT-#29 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 70 · 68th pctT-#2 / 10 · 70th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
94.5/gmT-#55 / 138 · 57th pctT-#36 / 70 · 45th pct#2 / 10 · 85th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4120.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 41st pctT-#48 / 70 · 30th pctT-#6 / 10 · 40th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2713.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 79th pctT-#23 / 70 · 64th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
136.5/gmT-#37 / 138 · 68th pctT-#19 / 70 · 66th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
94.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 58th pctT-#36 / 70 · 45th pctT-#3 / 10 · 60th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
3417.0/gmT-#14 / 138 · 89th pctT-#3 / 70 · 96th pct#4 / 10 · 65th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3015.0/gmT-#89 / 138 · 31st pctT-#45 / 70 · 29th pct#6 / 10 · 45th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
42.0/gmT-#13 / 138 · 88th pctT-#7 / 70 · 87th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 37th pctT-#40 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#3 / 10 · 60th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
105.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 99th pctT-#1 / 70 · 99th pct#1 / 10 · 95th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#54 / 138 · 52nd pctT-#30 / 70 · 49th pctT-#4 / 10 · 50th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
68:1334:06/gm#30 / 138 · 79th pct#11 / 70 · 85th pct#3 / 10 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
59:3929:50/gm#70 / 138 · 50th pct#39 / 70 · 45th pct#5 / 10 · 55th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
Scrambler · +0.41 EPA/play17252 / 8660.5668
#9 FBS
7.84
#36 FBS
2136.46546.97.61.1
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
-0.01 EPA/play1223803.5015
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
Possession Receiver · +0.98 EPA/play2213186
#34 FBS
14.32
#24 FBS
45
+1.33 EPA/play2914115.7168
+1.11 EPA/play62710414.9035
+0.18 EPA/play7288010018

2026 stat leaders · Florida International

through 2 games

J.J. Kohl leads Florida International with 668 passing yards through 2 games.

1. J.J. Kohl QB 668 passing yards
2. Maguire Anderson WR 186 receiving yards
3. Deandre Boykins DB 12 tackles
4. JoJo Stone WR 141 receiving yards
5. Elisha Baldridge DL 11 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Florida International fields a limited explosive, big-play offense behind a solid defense.

Offense
44th pct EPA/play
Tempo
76th pct explosiveness
Defense
45th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Florida International · 2025

Florida International reads strongest in explosive plays (top 24%) and rushing epa (top 32%); the crux lives in rushing epa allowed, where Florida International sits at the 32nd percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.16
44th
Success Rate +0.41
38th
Explosive Plays +1.33
76th
Rushing EPA +0.15
68th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.16
45th
Success Rate Allowed +0.42
40th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.28
44th
Passing EPA Allowed +0.26
46th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.23
44th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.12
33rd
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Florida International · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Florida International is worth +4.0 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 47th percentile of 133 programs

39% at home, 24% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (14–22 home, 10–32 away). Interval ±4.7.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Florida International has beaten the number by −0.9 more at home than away over 67 games — inside the ±8.6 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Pitbull Stadium seats 20,000 and has averaged 73% full (14,655, 16 games reported). Visitors face the 4th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 854 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 49% of the 2026 roster (52 of 107 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 42 home games since 2018.

Home14–22Away10–32Edge+4.0 ±4.7Visitor trip854 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

Florida International's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 34th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 39th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 34th pctileCompetitive snaps only · 39th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Florida International hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

46th percentile success on standard downs, 43rd on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantFlorida InternationalWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th

Halftime identity

Florida International by half

1st-half offense ranks 29th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 43rd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 29th pctile2nd half · 43rd pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Florida International’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Nick Coleman (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 45% → 2026: 52% · 8-pt range · #113 of 184 · a typical amount
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 38% → 2026: 73% · 35-pt range · #2 of 182 · more than most
Defense: Jovan Dewitt (2022–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2022: 57% → 2026: 52% · 15-pt range · #44 of 203 · more than most
Red-zone pass rate
2022: 52% → 2026: 73% · 36-pt range · #4 of 200 · more than most
4th-down go rate
2022: 60% → 2025: 34% · 26-pt range · #34 of 189 · more than most
Pass defense by zoneThe part of the field opponents keep attacking.

Pass-depth identity

What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.

On short throws (≤19 air yards), Florida International’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.2% vs 68.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 75-play sample) — mid-pack, 13 of 41 qualifying offenses.

We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.

Screened 59 claims, 59 survived · 2025+ only, charted plays (parse_status='complete'); n=75 short-zone plays, raw rate 64.0%
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Florida International

CFB Zeitgeist

#103

-3.7

SP+

#116

-13.5

FPI

#109

-9.3

Elo

#86

1409

The national models put Florida International between 86th and 116th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 103rd.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Florida International

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

81°F average kickoff temp; 17% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.

Based on 63 home games with weather data.

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