cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Parker Jenkins /East Carolina

Parker Jenkins

RB · East Carolina · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

256 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 75 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · East Carolina

Returning around him

  • 51% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 East Carolina player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (23 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

East Carolina · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #78 · 2026 recruiting class #77

RB · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Parker Jenkins

  • 3
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 209 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 26th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1934

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
4642023
34.02024
2562025

-45%

Sharp dropoff (-45%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 209 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamEast Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1934Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2498Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Parker Jenkins

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Parker Jenkins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
256Rush yards
75Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
23.3Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
302.5Rush yards
89Carries
2Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 256): needs 247/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 256): needs 372/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 256): needs 622/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 9/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Parker Jenkins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1934 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 325 256 rush | 69 rec | #297/735 (60th pct)
Rush TD 2 75 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 3.4 Per-rush efficiency | #591/735 (20th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
75 70th
YDS
256 60th
YPC
3.4 20th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
9 57th
YDS
69 58th
YPR
7.7 59th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-24@ NC State571.403
Wk 2W 56-3vs Campbell4297.3117
Wk 3W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina14423.0114Season-high 42 yds
Wk 4L 13-34vs BYU9242.7013
Wk 5W 28-6vs Army13362.806
Wk 7L 19-26@ Tulane6254.208
Wk 10W 45-14@ Temple8344.309
Wk 11W 48-22vs Charlotte5163.208
Wk 13L 24-58@ UTSA188.008
Wk 14W 42-3@ Florida Atlantic5173.407
BowlW 23-17vs Pittsburgh5183.607
Total752564.0217
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Balanced
2024Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina752563.42--
2024Houston17342.00--
2023Houston994644.73--
Career3 loaded seasons1917543.95--
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina9697.70--
2024Houston372.30--
2023Houston15815.40--
Career3 loaded seasons271575.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 9 69 rec yds | #236/552 (57th pct)
Usage 10.3% 16.4% rush share | #309/738 (58th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.01 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #344/362 (5th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 256 #297/735 60th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.4 #591/735 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 9 #236/552 57th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 69 #231/548 58th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.01 #344/362 5th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 72 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 10.3% #309/738 58th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 75 #223/739 70th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 17 #434/733 41st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #198/540 64th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.7 #224/548 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 96 #57/200 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 19.2 #92/199 54th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 5 #59/206 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 16.4% #320/738 57th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 13.1% #267/738 64th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.5% #337/738 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.9% #346/738 53rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.8% #213/738 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.2% #432/738 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.2% #287/738 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g24.63.90.2
Road6g22.24.00.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g27.43.90.3
Losses4g16.04.10.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g25.93.60.3
Weeks 8+4g18.84.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

20Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / carry (3rd).

Rec yards#204 / 338 · 40th pct
69rece
Carries#223 / 349 · 35th pct
75rush
Receptions#214 / 338 · 35th pct
9rece
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rush yards#296 / 349 · 15th pct
256rush
Long run#319 / 349 · 8th pct
17rush
Yards / carry#335 / 349 · 4th pct
3.4rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.01Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Parker JenkinsEast CarolinaTae MeadowsTroy· 61% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 58% simKamari MoultonIowa· 56% sim
Rec yards
40
Jenkins
38
Meadows
10
Wright
53
Moulton
Carries
35
Jenkins
84
Meadows
92
Wright
86
Moulton
Receptions
35
Jenkins
45
Meadows
32
Wright
63
Moulton
Rush TDs
26
Jenkins
72
Meadows
62
Wright
62
Moulton
Rush yards
15
Jenkins
74
Meadows
84
Wright
84
Moulton
Long run
8
Jenkins
53
Meadows
49
Wright
33
Moulton
Yards / carry
4
Jenkins
29
Meadows
33
Wright
62
Moulton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Rahjai Harris’s 2021 season.

Rahjai Harris

84%match

East Carolina · 2021

#2

Cam Porter

Northwestern · 2022

80%
#3

Leshon Williams

Iowa · 2022

79%
#4

Jalen Holston

Virginia Tech · 2021

77%
#5

Trey Sanders

Alabama · 2021

77%

Matches Rahjai on

Weight
Rush TD rate
Yards / reception

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Star Thomas's junior season at Duke (2024).

Star Thomas

76%match

Duke · 2024

All-Conference USA
#2

Sedrick Irvin

Stanford · 2025

72%
#3

Jaylen Coleman

Duke · 2023

70%
#4

Kalib Hicks

Oklahoma State · 2025

67%
#5

Branson Robinson

Georgia State · 2025

70%

Matches Star on

Receiving share
Yards / carry
Height

Differs from Star on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Pass share

44.5%

440 pass / 548 run

Plays / game

76.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

343 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2024
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2025
Blake Harrell
East Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Houston → Blake Harrell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height5'11"
Weight209 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Houston RB3 #1934 #2498 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Houston RB3 #835 #1127 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 East Carolina American Athletic RB 3 No. 5 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Houston, TX
2024 Houston Big 12 RB 3 No. 5 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Houston, TX
2023 Houston Big 12 RB 3 No. 5 | 5-11 | 209 lb | Houston, TX