cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Victor Rosa /UConn

Victor Rosa

RB · UConn · Jr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

155 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 30 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UConn → Ohio for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Ohio

2025UConn
2026Ohio

RB · UCONN · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Victor Rosa

  • 3
  • #22
  • 5-11 | 210 lb
  • Bristol, CT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 62nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#784

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
6352022
5502023
72.02024
1552025

-76%

Sharp dropoff (-76%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1636 national
CFB
College
UConn
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey22
Measurements5-11 | 210 lb
HometownBristol, CT
Primary teamUConn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1636 recruit
Composite rating 0.8341 HighSchool
Signed with UConn 2022
Origin Bristol Central Bristol, CT, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8341 No. 1636 recruit | HighSchool | UConn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Ohio 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UConn -> Ohio 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#784Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#793Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UConn

Composite

0.8341

#1636 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Victor Rosa

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Connecticut native Victor Rosa transferring from UConn football program to Ohio "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Victor Rosa

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
155Rush yards
30Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
11.9Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
155Rush yards
30Carries
2Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Victor Rosa's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UConn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #784 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 72 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 302 155 rush | 147 rec | #372/735 (50th pct)
Rush TD 2 30 carries | #247/739 (67th pct)
Yards/carry 5.2 Per-rush efficiency | #240/735 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
30 48th
YDS
155 50th
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
2 67th

Receiving

REC
15 75th
YDS
147 83rd
YPR
9.8 76th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Central Connecticut22713.5120
Wk 2L 20-27@ Syracuse3134.307
Wk 3L 41-44@ Delaware34013.3131Season-high 40 yds
Wk 4W 31-25vs Ball State351.704
Wk 5W 20-17@ Buffalo2105.008
Wk 6W 51-10vs Florida International3-2-0.702
Wk 8W 38-23@ Boston College4174.305
Wk 9L 34-37@ Rice2105.008
Wk 10W 38-19vs UAB294.506
Wk 11W 37-34vs Duke242.003
Wk 12W 26-16vs Air Force199.009
Wk 13W 48-45@ Florida Atlantic155.005
BowlL 16-41@ Army284.006
Total301555.5231
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023UConn3-9HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UConn301555.22--
2024UConn16724.51--
2023UConn1125504.93--
2022UConn1406354.511--
Career4 loaded seasons2981,4124.717--
SeasonTeam
2025UConn151479.81--
2024UConn2168.00--
2023UConn12695.80--
2022UConn5153.00--
Career4 loaded seasons342477.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 15 147 rec yds | #140/552 (75th pct)
Usage 5.1% 7.7% rush share | #532/738 (28th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 155 #372/735 50th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #247/739 67th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #240/735 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 15 #140/552 75th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 147 #94/548 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 5.1% #532/738 28th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 31 #294/733 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 30 #385/739 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 65 #22/540 96th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.8 #132/548 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 72 #76/200 62nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 18.0 #104/199 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 4 #69/206 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 7.7% #552/738 25th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.2% #493/738 33rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.9% #525/738 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 5.9% #518/738 30th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.3% #560/738 24th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.9% #318/738 57th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.9% #603/738 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g8.75.00.2
Road7g14.75.80.1

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g9.34.90.1
Losses4g17.86.70.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g14.45.90.3
Weeks 8+6g9.05.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

34Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#86 / 338 · 75th pct
147rece
Yards / carry#127 / 349 · 62nd pct
5.2rush
Receptions#132 / 338 · 59th pct
15rece
Long run#246 / 349 · 30th pct
31rush
Rush TDs#236 / 349 · 26th pct
2rush
Rush yards#340 / 349 · 3rd pct
155rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
30rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Victor RosaUConnRashod DubinionApp State· 53% simKamari MoultonIowa· 52% simJevon JacksonUAB· 50% sim
Rec yards
75
Rosa
77
Dubinion
53
Moulton
61
Jackson
Yards / carry
62
Rosa
53
Dubinion
62
Moulton
68
Jackson
Receptions
59
Rosa
86
Dubinion
63
Moulton
75
Jackson
Long run
30
Rosa
39
Dubinion
33
Moulton
70
Jackson
Rush TDs
26
Rosa
50
Dubinion
62
Moulton
62
Jackson
Rush yards
3
Rosa
84
Dubinion
84
Moulton
85
Jackson
Carries
0
Rosa
87
Dubinion
86
Moulton
85
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jim Mora

Pass share

53.5%

451 pass / 392 run

Plays / game

64.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Jim Mora
UConn
2023
Jim Mora
UConn
2024
Jim Mora
UConn
2025
Jim Mora
UConn

Played his entire career under Jim Mora.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBristol, CT
Height5'11"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UConn RB3 #784 #793 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 UConn RB3 #1003 #1395 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 UConn RB3 #715 #972 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UConn FBS Independents RB 3 No. 22 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Bristol, CT
2024 UConn FBS Independents RB 3 No. 22 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Bristol, CT
2023 UConn FBS Independents RB 3 No. 22 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Bristol, CT
2022 UConn FBS Independents RB 3 No. 22 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Bristol, CT