Next game: vs South Alabama
Louisiana’s best edge on South Alabama is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Louisiana offense against South Alabama defense
South Alabama offense against Louisiana defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.15 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 130 / 196 | 66.3 | 1457 | 7.4 | 6 | 5 | 133.8 | 38 | 53.9 | 6.2 | 5.3 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — 196 pass attempts and 109 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Winfield extends plays on the move until something opens up. Armenta is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage35.7% 92th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry4.3 83th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lunch Winfield's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -0.25 EPA/play | 11 | 3 | 7 / 10 | 70 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 125.6 | — | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.08 EPA/play | 20 | 8 | 51 | 304 | 6.0 | 5 | 42 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 51 carries and 7 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Garner does a little of everything without one standout trait. Roland is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry6.1 75th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate9.8% 97th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View JJ Garner's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.11 EPA/play | 24 | 8 | 67 | 243 | 3.6 | 4 | 16 | 15.4 | 10.8 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 67 carries and 5 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Blanco does a little of everything without one standout trait. Roland is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry3.7 bottom 8th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception5.2 bottom 20th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Steven Blanco's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 58 | 240 | 4.1 | 3 | 23 | 17.5 | 12.3 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 58 carries and 7 catches in 8 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Jr. does a little of everything without one standout trait. Roland is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry4.2 bottom 17th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception9.1 70th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Anthony Reagan Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.13 EPA/play | 25 | — | 47 | 218 | 4.6 | 2 | 31 | — | — | |
Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 47 carries and 6 catches in 9 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Swilley does a little of everything without one standout trait. Roland is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry4.0 bottom 13th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception17.0 100th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Hutch Swilley's full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.06 EPA/play | — | 4 | 30 | 156 | 5.2 | 2 | 26 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.49 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 13 | 279 | 21.5 | 2 | 47 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Wade beats you over the top. Jackson is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception21.1 98th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume13 bottom 15th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View KeDarius Wade's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.38 EPA/play | 4 | 6 | 17 | 217 | 12.8 | 1 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Chaney moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception12.2 bottom 36th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume17 bottom 24th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trenton Chaney's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.24 EPA/play | 88 | 6 | 14 | 169 | 12.1 | 0 | 25 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 14 catches in 6 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Jensen shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Anderson is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception13.4 75th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 13th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Caden Jensen's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.35 EPA/play | 83 | 6 | 14 | 153 | 10.9 | 0 | 37 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 14 catches in 6 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Brock Chappell's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.34 EPA/play | 10 | 7 | 17 | 138 | 8.1 | 1 | 27 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Babineaux moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception11.5 bottom 29th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume17 bottom 24th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Russell Babineaux's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.02 EPA/play | 6 | 3 | 8 | 124 | 15.5 | 0 | 41 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.88 EPA/play | 87 | 7 | 11 | 117 | 10.6 | 0 | 14 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.10 EPA/play | 17 | 4 | 12 | 116 | 9.7 | 0 | 29 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Strother moves the chains on third down. Jackson is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception8.0 bottom 6th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate0.0% bottom 10th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Landon Strother's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.16 EPA/play | 44 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 9.8 | 0 | 29 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 68 | 8 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0.5 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 21 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Fitzgerald West Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Pressure Merchant | 9 | 6 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Pressure merchantCollapses the pocket even when the sack doesn't come. 19 tackles in 6 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 22 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Hurry rate0.3 80th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Lance Williams's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 41 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate12.5% bottom 29th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Chase Edwards's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 95 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate9.1% bottom 30th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Maxie Baudoin IV's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | — | 8 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate18.2% 61th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Priest Ashe's full player page | |||||||
| 17 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 8 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 4.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 59 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Jake St. Andre's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 3 | 7 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 41 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Micah Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Conor McPherson's full player page | |||||||||
| Thumper | 2 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
ThumperDownhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge. 62 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 89th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate11.1% 97th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Ashley Williams's full player page | |||||||||
| 37 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 80 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball Hawk | 11 | 8 | 45 | 13 #1 FBS | 2 #51 FBS | 4.5 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. Starter — 45 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate28.9% 92th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Brent Gordon Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 21 | 8 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 44 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume44 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Maurion Eleam's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 10 | 8 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 30 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Avery Demery's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 35 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 29 tackles in 5 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume29 bottom 43th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Collin Jacob's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 24 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 28 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Lake Bates's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 8 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Kody Jackson's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 24 | — | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. 138 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.7% bottom 29th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Lorenzell Dubose's full player page | |||||||
| 26 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 95 | 8 | 11/12 | 91.7 | 28/28 | 61 | 47 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 49 | 8 | 33 | 1308 | 39.6 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.22 EPA/play | 15 | 7 | 10 | 233 | 23.3 | 0 | 46 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball Hawk | 11 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 10.9 | 0 | 36 |
Biggest plays from Louisiana’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Louisiana’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:58 · Southern Miss down 3, takes the leadJamarice Wilder runs 16 yards for a touchdownLouisiana at Southern Miss, week 8Q4, 0:58 · Southern Miss 35, Louisiana 310:58Go-ahead touchdown for Southern Miss with 0:58 left0:58Go-ahead touchdown for Southern Miss with 0:58 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Southern Miss with 0:58 leftJ.Wilder rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference- Q4, 10:05 · Southern Miss down 7, ties itSouthern Miss scores a touchdownLouisiana at Southern Miss, week 8Q4, 10:05 · Southern Miss 28, Louisiana 28Pick-sixPick-sixKolby Peavy 0 yd Interception Return (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
Q4, 11:34 · Louisiana up 5D'Wayne' Winfield finds Kedarius Wade for a 45-yard touchdownLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, week 6Q4, 11:34 · Louisiana 31, Louisiana Tech 19▲23%Louisiana’s chance to win, 67% to 90%▲23%Louisiana’s chance to win, 67% to 90%L.Winfield pass complete deep left to K.Wade caught at TECH10, for 45 yards to the TECH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
Q2, 0:24 · Charlotte down 10Jaylon Johnson returns a fumble 54 yards for a touchdownLouisiana at Charlotte, week 4Q2, 0:24 · Charlotte 7, Louisiana 1054Fumble return touchdown54Fumble return touchdownFumble return touchdownJaylon Johnson 54 yd Fumble Return (Ian Kelly Kick)▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q3, 5:01 · Louisiana Tech down 4S. Snider fumbles and Louisiana recoversLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, week 6Q3, 5:01 · Louisiana Tech 13, Louisiana 177Louisiana Tech’s turnover led to a touchdown7Louisiana Tech’s turnover led to a touchdownLouisiana Tech’s turnover led to a touchdownS.Snider rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ULL21 fumbled by S.Snider at ULL21 forced by F.West Jr. recovered by ULL F.West Jr. at ULL21, End Of Play▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 9:53 · Louisiana down 7, ties itJJ Garner runs 42 yards for a touchdownLouisiana at Southern Miss, week 8Q2, 9:53 · Louisiana 14, Southern Miss 14Louisiana tied the game in the second quarterLouisiana tied the game in the second quarterJ.Garner rush left for 42 yards gain to the USM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
How scary each game got
Louisiana lost at Louisiana Tech after being 97% to win; the closest win was against Arkansas State, down to 25%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Louisiana during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Louisiana
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · LouisianaJake St. Andre leads Louisiana with 59 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+18 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Louisiana fields a capable run-heavy, methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Louisiana reads strongest in explosive plays allowed (top 1%) and rushing EPA allowed (top 2%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Louisiana sits at the 30th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Louisiana is worth +4.3 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 54th percentile of 133 programs
73% at home, 58% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (32-12 home, 31-22 away). Interval ±3.5.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Louisiana has beaten the number by −0.2 more at home than away over 104 games. That is inside the ±5.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Cajun Field seats 41,426 and has averaged 43% full (17,786, 29 games reported). Visitors cover a median 377 miles to get here since 2018 — 60th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 38% of the 2026 roster (48 of 127 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downShelton Sampson Jr. is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- UnderdogShelton Sampson Jr. produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.
- Deep threatCaden Jensen is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatShelton Sampson Jr. is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Steven Blanco and Anthony Reagan Jr. split the carries (65/122 vs 57/122) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
KeDarius Wade (WR) and Brock Chappell (TE) split the targets (23/44 vs 21/44) -- but the job isn't split the same way. KeDarius Wade produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Louisiana actually scores
27th percentile quality, 69th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Louisiana’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 84th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 49th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Louisiana hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
36th percentile success on standard downs, 66th on passing downs — a 30-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Louisiana by half
1st-half offense ranks 40th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 59th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Louisiana’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.14; 53rd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.31 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Louisiana’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Louisiana’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.5% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 179-play sample) — mid-pack, 109 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Louisiana’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (66.8% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 199-play sample) — mid-pack, 82 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 69% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~48% league rate.
9 of 13 forced fumbles recovered; 4 of 9 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 18% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~18% league rate.
6 interceptions of 33 disrupted passes (27 deflected, 6 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Winning the penalty battle: 42 penalties committed vs. 52 drawn on opponents, a 142-yard edge.
347 penalty yards committed vs. 489 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Louisiana
Most similar programs · LouisianaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 67°, between 58° and 76° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 65°, and 8 in 10 ran between 48° and 82° (56 of 62 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.