New Mexico

Home-field advantage · New Mexico · 2018–present · FBS opponents

New Mexico is worth +2.4 points more at home than on the road.

Bottom third of FBS, 21st percentile of 133 programs

38% at home, 24% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15–25 home, 11–35 away). Interval ±3.8.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, New Mexico has beaten the number by −2.2 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

University Stadium (NM) seats 39,224 and has averaged 47% full (18,608, 25 games reported). Visitors face the 21st-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 622 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads bottom third of fbs. 9% of the 2026 roster (10 of 110 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 47 home games since 2018.