cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mercury Swaim /New Mexico

Mercury Swaim

DT · New Mexico · Jr · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

52 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · New Mexico

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 New Mexico player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (15 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #131 · 2026 recruiting class #138

DT · NEW MEXICO · MOUNTAIN WEST

Mercury Swaim

  • 3
  • #16
  • 5-10 | 213 lb
  • Bedford, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
New Mexico
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class3
Jersey16
Measurements5-10 | 213 lb
HometownBedford, PA
Primary teamNew Mexico

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mercury Swaim

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mercury Swaim

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
52Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
61Tackles
7.7Tackles for loss
2.4Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 52): needs 14/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 52): needs 24/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mercury Swaim is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on New Mexico's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.0 sacks | 6.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 52 26 solo | #550/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 6.5 Backfield disruption | #340/4972 (93rd pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
52 89th
SOLO
26 85th
TFL
6.5 93rd
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3W 35-10@ UCLA220.00.00
Wk 5W 38-20vs New Mexico State000.00.01
Wk 6L 28-35@ San José State311.00.00
Wk 7L 25-41@ Boise State420.00.00
Wk 8W 24-22vs Nevada431.50.00
Wk 9W 33-14vs Utah State311.01.00
Wk 10W 40-35@ UNLV621.00.00
Wk 12W 20-17vs Colorado State651.00.00
Wk 13W 20-3@ Air Force1161.01.01Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 14W 23-17vs San Diego State710.00.00
BowlL 17-20@ Minnesota630.00.00
Total52266.52.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico9-4HC: Jason Eck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico52266.52.02----
Career1 loaded season52266.52.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 52 #550/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.5 #340/4972 93rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 26 #696/4584 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.00.70.20.2
Road6g5.30.50.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g4.90.70.20.2
Losses3g4.30.30.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.00.20.00.2
Weeks 8+6g6.20.90.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

75All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (87th). Strength: tackles (81st).

Tackles for loss#340 / 2975 · 87th pct
6.5defe
Tackles#550 / 2975 · 81st pct
52defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Solo tackles#696 / 2975 · 76th pct
26defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Mercury SwaimNew MexicoTJ DotteryOle Miss· 89% simJordan CrookArizona State· 86% simColton PharesApp State· 86% sim
Tackles for loss
87
Swaim
83
Dottery
93
Crook
96
Phares
Tackles
81
Swaim
98
Dottery
98
Crook
98
Phares
Sacks
80
Swaim
74
Dottery
80
Crook
80
Phares
Solo tackles
76
Swaim
97
Dottery
98
Crook
95
Phares
Passes defended
67
Swaim
67
Dottery
67
Crook
78
Phares
QB hurries
55
Swaim
55
Dottery
72
Crook
72
Phares

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Derrieon Craig’s 2023 season.

Derrieon Craig

75%match

Massachusetts · 2023

#2

Justin Jefferson

Eastern Michigan · 2023

73%
#3

Eli Adams

Virginia Tech · 2021

67%
#4

Derrieon Craig

Massachusetts · 2024

67%
#5

Caleb Spurlin

App State · 2021

All-Sun Belt
64%

Matches Derrieon on

Weight
Height
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kobe McCloud's junior season at Clemson (2025).

Kobe McCloud

80%match

Clemson · 2025

#2

Nickolas Martin

Oklahoma State · 2023

79%
#3

Taurean York

Texas A&M · 2025

All-SEC
78%
#4

Kamari Ramsey

USC · 2024

NFL Rd 5
75%
#5

Cal Wallerstedt

UTEP · 2022

75%

Matches Kobe on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Eck

Pass share

43.3%

350 pass / 459 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.3%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jason Eck
New Mexico

Played his entire career under Jason Eck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBedford, PA
Height5'10"
Weight213 lb
Class3
PositionDT
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico Mountain West DT 3 No. 16 | 5-10 | 213 lb | Bedford, PA