UNM New Mexico 2-1 6 OU No. 24 Oklahoma2-1 14 Final No. 24 Oklahoma beat New Mexico 14-6. Share this game
We had Oklahoma favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
That is the worst spot of a football I've seen in my entire life. NM got screwed
Q4 2:57 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 19 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave Oklahoma a 77% chance, and the closing betting line (Oklahoma was a 21.5-point favorite) put it at 96%.
Favored the whole way: Oklahoma never fell below 87%.
New Mexico never had better than a 13% chance.
Final Oklahoma 14-6 New Mexico Oklahoma won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final New Mexico 6-14 Oklahoma New Mexico lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 90% at half Oklahoma Won 14-6 Scores Oklahoma New Mexico Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 18 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 24 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 3 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 19 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 20 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 90% at half Oklahoma Won 14-6 Scores Oklahoma New Mex… Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 18 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 24 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 3 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 19 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 20 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 10% at half Oklahoma Lost 6-14 Scores New Mexico Oklahoma New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 18 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 24 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 3 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 19 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 20 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 10% at half Oklahoma Lost 6-14 Scores New Mex… Oklahoma New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 1 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 2 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute New Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 18 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 24 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 12 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 3 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 5 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 19 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 20 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 7 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 16 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 9 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 8 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 6 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 10 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 15 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 11 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 22 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 13 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 17 comments a minute Oklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute
See it from New Mexico’s side No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q2 0:03 Oklahoma fans demand firing Arbuckle after Mateer's incomplete pass ends the half Fire Arbuckle. Bench Mateer. r/CFB game thread Fire arbuckle. This is embarrassing. r/CFB game thread Q4 2:57 Fans criticize the spot of the ball after New Mexico's turnover on downs Quoted at the top of the page. Oklahoma’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Oklahoma -21.5), at 94% for Oklahoma (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Oklahoma or New Mexico flair (1,994 and 48); both sides share one scale, regulation only. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Oklahoma’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 13:43 Mateer intercepted by Combs at the OU37 Q1, 13:43 · Oklahoma 0, New Mexico 0 ▼3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 94% to 91% ▼3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 94% to 91% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 13:49 Mateer 29-yd TD pass to Hansen Oklahoma goes ahead 7-0 Q2, 13:49 · Oklahoma 7, New Mexico 0 ▲4% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 92% to 96% ▲4% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 92% to 96% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 3:09 Mateer intercepted by Edwards at the OU33 returned 11 yards Q2, 3:09 · Oklahoma 7, New Mexico 3 ▼3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 93% to 90% ▼3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 93% to 90% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 11:49 Moga sacked for a 13-yd loss Q3, 11:49 · Oklahoma 7, New Mexico 6 ▲3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 87% to 90% ▲3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 87% to 90% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 8:05 Mateer 53-yd TD pass to Sategna Oklahoma leads 14-6 Q3, 8:05 · Oklahoma 14, New Mexico 6 ▲3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 92% to 95% ▲3% Oklahoma’s chance to win, 92% to 95% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive Oklahoma scored on 2 of its 10 drives; New Mexico on 2 of its 10.
Oklahoma’s drives are teal, New Mexico’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Oklahoma: Interception, from 75 yards out to 73 Interception New Mexico: Punt, from 37 yards out to 41 Punt Oklahoma: Punt, from 95 yards out to 78 Punt New Mexico: Punt, from 67 yards out to 74 Punt New Mexico: Punt, from 39 yards out to 40 Punt Oklahoma: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q2 New Mexico: Punt, from 75 yards out to 45 Punt Oklahoma: Punt, from 95 yards out to 87 Punt New Mexico: Field goal, from 58 yards out to 5 Field goal Oklahoma: Interception, from 73 yards out to 70 Interception New Mexico: Field goal, from 22 yards out to 24 Field goal Oklahoma: Missed field goal, from 74 yards out to 23 Missed FG Q3 New Mexico: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67 Punt Oklahoma: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0 Touchdown New Mexico: Punt, from 75 yards out to 49 Punt Oklahoma: Punt, from 83 yards out to 50 Punt Q4 New Mexico: Punt, from 85 yards out to 80 Punt Oklahoma: Punt, from 53 yards out to 65 Punt New Mexico: Turned over on downs, from 65 yards out to 18 Downs Oklahoma: End of game, from 82 yards out to 60 End of game “Hatewatching my own team at this point lmao” An Oklahoma fan How fans reacted Steady
Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.
First Second Third Fourth Oklahoma fans New Mexico fans usual What it cost Oklahoma’s chance to make the playoff rose from 27% to 32%.
Make the playoff
New Mexico · lost 4% → ▼ 0%
Oklahoma · won 27% → ▲ 32% 27% ▲ 32%
Win the conference
New Mexico · lost 29% → ▼ 25% 29% ▼ 25%
Oklahoma · won 2% → ▲ 9% 2% ▲ 9%
Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Oklahoma 14, New Mexico 6
New Mexico covered +21.5 by 13.5. The total, 20, stayed under 45.5.
New Mexico Oklahoma Total yards New Mexico 185 Oklahoma 299 185 299 Passing yards New Mexico 116 Oklahoma 238 116 238 Rushing yards New Mexico 69 Oklahoma 61 69 61 First downs New Mexico 12 Oklahoma 14 12 14 Turnovers New Mexico 0 Oklahoma 3 0 3 Time of possession New Mexico 34:08 Oklahoma 25:52 34:08 25:52 Team totals New Mexico Oklahoma Total yards 185 299 Passing 8 of 19, 116 yds 19 of 26, 238 yds Rushing 38 for 69 yds 32 for 61 yds First downs 12 14 Third down 3 of 14 7 of 15 Fourth down 1 of 2 0 of 0 Turnovers 0 3 Penalties 8 for 55 yds 7 for 50 yds Time of possession 34:08 25:52
New Mexico leaders Passing Toa Faavae 4 of 10, 79 ydsRushing Kiefer Sibley 9 for 41 yds; Toa Faavae 13 for 17 ydsReceiving Cade Keith 5 for 78 yds; Kiefer Sibley 1 for 20 ydsOklahoma leaders Passing John Mateer 19 of 25, 238 yds, 2 TD, 2 INTRushing Lloyd Avant 8 for 27 yds; John Mateer 10 for 17 ydsReceiving Isaiah Sategna 6 for 101 yds, 1 TD; Hayden Hansen 3 for 49 yds, 1 TDNo rain through the game 93° at kickoff · no rain recorded
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 64 other games played at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 77°, with about 7 in 10 games between 66° and 88°.
September game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oklahoma favored New Mexico favored 100% Win chance Oklahoma Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in Rain amounts not reported here Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Hourly wind only at this airport Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Oklahoma favored New Mexico favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in Rain amounts not reported here Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Hourly wind only at this airport Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:52 left6:35 p.m.
New Mexico 0, Oklahoma 0 · Oklahoma 94% to win
94°
Avant 1-yd run
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at Norman/westheimer airport, 3.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Oklahoma’s EPA/play against New Mexico, 92 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Oklahoma’s EPA/play against New Mexico’s defense
92 points weaker stronger 50th Oklahoma offense, 8th percentile · New Mexico defense, 100th
Oklahoma’s rushing EPA against New Mexico’s defense
82 points weaker stronger 50th Oklahoma offense, 2nd percentile · New Mexico defense, 84th
New Mexico’s explosive plays against Oklahoma’s defense
34 points weaker stronger 50th New Mexico offense, 73rd percentile · Oklahoma defense, 39th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile New Mexico Oklahoma
EPA/play, offense
New Mexico · 50 Oklahoma · 8 EPA/play, defense
New Mexico · 100 Oklahoma · 93 Success rate, offense
New Mexico · 37 Oklahoma · 17 Success rate, defense
New Mexico · 100 Oklahoma · 96 Explosive-play rate, offense
New Mexico · 73 Oklahoma · 2 Explosive-play rate, defense
New Mexico · 8 Oklahoma · 39 Rush EPA, offense
New Mexico · 80 Oklahoma · 2 Rush EPA, defense
New Mexico · 84 Oklahoma · 77 Pass EPA, offense
New Mexico · 33 Oklahoma · 51 Pass EPA, defense
New Mexico · 97 Oklahoma · 84 The series Oklahoma leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 1930 · Oklahoma has won the last 2
1935 Oklahoma 25-0 1930 Oklahoma 47-0 Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans New Mexico fans are in a better mood than Oklahoma fans (49th vs 4th among FBS fanbases), even with Oklahoma favored.
50-50 Model · 77% Line · 96% Oklahoma fans · 4th New Mexico fans · 49th New Mexico Oklahoma Model · 77% Line · 96% Oklahoma fans · 4th New Mexico fans · 49th Oklahoma favored by 21.5 · Total 45.5
How games like this usually go Oklahoma by 21.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market The spread moved 2 points toward New Mexico.
opened −23.5 now −21.5 The total fell 3 points.
opened 48.5 now 45.5 Spread: −23.5 → −21.5 · Total: 48.5 → 45.5
The books’ cut: 3.8%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Hot. Feels like 90° at kickoff.
New Mexico at Oklahoma · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Norman
90°feels like at kickoff 76weather score, Mixed 2nd best of the day's 8 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 80, against 76 at 6:30 pm.
Harsh
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 57 Rough 54 Rough 49 Harsh 45 Harsh 46 Harsh 64 Rough 76 Mixed 80 Mixed
11 am 11:45 am 1 pm 2:30 pm 3:30 pm 6 pm 6:30 pm 7 pm
11 am: 57, Rough 11:45 am: 54, Rough 1 pm: 49, Harsh 2:30 pm: 45, Harsh 3:30 pm: 46, Harsh 6 pm: 64, Rough 6:30 pm: 76, Mixed (this game) 7 pm: 80, Mixed Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Oklahoma is worth +5.6 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 76th percentile.
84% at home, 61% on the road against FBS opponents (43-8 home, 22-14 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.0 at home vs. away over 91 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 519 miles to get here.