No. 24 Oklahoma beats New Mexico 14-6

New Mexico2-16
No. 24 Oklahoma2-114Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK), Norman, Okla. · Crowd 83,423ESPN2

No. 24 Oklahoma beat New Mexico 14-6.

We had Oklahoma favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

That is the worst spot of a football I've seen in my entire life. NM got screwed

Q4 2:57 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Oklahoma a 77% chance, and the closing betting line (Oklahoma was a 21.5-point favorite) put it at 96%.

Favored the whole way: Oklahoma never fell below 87%.

New Mexico never had better than a 13% chance.

FinalOklahoma 14-6 New MexicoOklahoma wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q490% at halfOklahomaWon14-6ScoresOklahomaNew MexicoOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 18 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 24 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 3 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 19 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 20 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q490% at halfOklahomaWon14-6ScoresOklahomaNew Mex…Oklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 18 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 24 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 3 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 19 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 20 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q410% at halfOklahomaLost6-14ScoresNew MexicoOklahomaNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 18 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 24 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 3 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 19 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 20 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q410% at halfOklahomaLost6-14ScoresNew Mex…OklahomaNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 1 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 2 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteNew Mexico fans: 0 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 18 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 24 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 12 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 2 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 3 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 5 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 19 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 20 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 7 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 16 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 9 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 8 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 6 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 10 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 15 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 11 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 22 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 13 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 17 comments a minuteOklahoma fans: 14 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 0:03Oklahoma fans demand firing Arbuckle after Mateer's incomplete pass ends the halfFire Arbuckle. Bench Mateer.r/CFB game threadFire arbuckle. This is embarrassing.r/CFB game thread
  2. Q4 2:57Fans criticize the spot of the ball after New Mexico's turnover on downsQuoted at the top of the page.
Oklahoma’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Oklahoma -21.5), at 94% for Oklahoma (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Oklahoma or New Mexico flair (1,994 and 48); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Every drive

Oklahoma scored on 2 of its 10 drives; New Mexico on 2 of its 10.

Oklahoma’s drives are teal, New Mexico’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Oklahoma: Interception, from 75 yards out to 73InterceptionNew Mexico: Punt, from 37 yards out to 41PuntOklahoma: Punt, from 95 yards out to 78PuntNew Mexico: Punt, from 67 yards out to 74PuntNew Mexico: Punt, from 39 yards out to 40PuntOklahoma: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2New Mexico: Punt, from 75 yards out to 45PuntOklahoma: Punt, from 95 yards out to 87PuntNew Mexico: Field goal, from 58 yards out to 5Field goalOklahoma: Interception, from 73 yards out to 70InterceptionNew Mexico: Field goal, from 22 yards out to 24Field goalOklahoma: Missed field goal, from 74 yards out to 23Missed FGQ3New Mexico: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntOklahoma: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownNew Mexico: Punt, from 75 yards out to 49PuntOklahoma: Punt, from 83 yards out to 50PuntQ4New Mexico: Punt, from 85 yards out to 80PuntOklahoma: Punt, from 53 yards out to 65PuntNew Mexico: Turned over on downs, from 65 yards out to 18DownsOklahoma: End of game, from 82 yards out to 60End of game
“Hatewatching my own team at this point lmao”
An Oklahoma fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.

FirstSecondThirdFourthOklahoma fansNew Mexico fansusual

What it cost

Oklahoma’s chance to make the playoff rose from 27% to 32%.

Make the playoff

New Mexico · lost4% → ▼0%
Oklahoma · won27% → ▲32%27%▲ 32%

Win the conference

New Mexico · lost29% → ▼25%29%▼ 25%
Oklahoma · won2% → ▲9%2%▲ 9%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Oklahoma 14, New Mexico 6

New Mexico covered +21.5 by 13.5. The total, 20, stayed under 45.5.

New MexicoOklahomaTotal yardsNew Mexico 185Oklahoma 299185299Passing yardsNew Mexico 116Oklahoma 238116238Rushing yardsNew Mexico 69Oklahoma 616961First downsNew Mexico 12Oklahoma 141214TurnoversNew Mexico 0Oklahoma 303Time of possessionNew Mexico 34:08Oklahoma 25:5234:0825:52
Team totalsNew MexicoOklahoma
Total yards185299
Passing8 of 19, 116 yds19 of 26, 238 yds
Rushing38 for 69 yds32 for 61 yds
First downs1214
Third down3 of 147 of 15
Fourth down1 of 20 of 0
Turnovers03
Penalties8 for 55 yds7 for 50 yds
Time of possession34:0825:52

New Mexico leaders

  • Passing Toa Faavae 4 of 10, 79 yds
  • Rushing Kiefer Sibley 9 for 41 yds; Toa Faavae 13 for 17 yds
  • Receiving Cade Keith 5 for 78 yds; Kiefer Sibley 1 for 20 yds

Oklahoma leaders

  • Passing John Mateer 19 of 25, 238 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Lloyd Avant 8 for 27 yds; John Mateer 10 for 17 yds
  • Receiving Isaiah Sategna 6 for 101 yds, 1 TD; Hayden Hansen 3 for 49 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

93° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 64 other games played at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 77°, with about 7 in 10 games between 66° and 88°.

September game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Oklahoma favoredNew Mexico favored100%Win chanceOklahomaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inRain amounts not reported hereWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Oklahoma favoredNew Mexico favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inRain amounts not reported hereWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:52 left6:35 p.m.
New Mexico 0, Oklahoma 0 · Oklahoma 94% to win
94°
Avant 1-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Norman/westheimer airport, 3.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

New Mexico · 2-0

Rated 73rd in our preseason ratings, 72nd now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

Last two games

Oklahoma · 1-1

Rated 17th in our preseason ratings, 15th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 51-0 vs UTEP #196 of 668

won by 51 as a 40.5-point favorite

Week by week

Oklahoma

Wk 1: W 51-0 vs UTEP▲51UTEPWk 2: L 10-17 at Michigan▼7Michigan
  • Wk 1Wvs UTEP51-0
  • Wk 2Lat Michigan10-17

New Mexico

Wk 1: W 38-7 vs Central Michigan▲31Central MichiganWk 2: W 70-7 vs Mercyhurst▲63Mercyhurst
  • Wk 1Wvs Central Michigan38-7
  • Wk 2Wvs Mercyhurst70-7

Power rating by week

Oklahoma is rated 8.0 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

104-2Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2OklahomaNew Mexico

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Oklahoma’s EPA/play against New Mexico, 92 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Oklahoma’s EPA/play against New Mexico’s defense

    92 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Oklahoma offense, 8th percentile · New Mexico defense, 100th

  2. Oklahoma’s rushing EPA against New Mexico’s defense

    82 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Oklahoma offense, 2nd percentile · New Mexico defense, 84th

  3. New Mexico’s explosive plays against Oklahoma’s defense

    34 pointsweakerstronger50th

    New Mexico offense, 73rd percentile · Oklahoma defense, 39th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

New MexicoOklahoma
EPA/play, offense
New Mexico · 50Oklahoma · 8
EPA/play, defense
New Mexico · 100Oklahoma · 93
Success rate, offense
New Mexico · 37Oklahoma · 17
Success rate, defense
New Mexico · 100Oklahoma · 96
Explosive-play rate, offense
New Mexico · 73Oklahoma · 2
Explosive-play rate, defense
New Mexico · 8Oklahoma · 39
Rush EPA, offense
New Mexico · 80Oklahoma · 2
Rush EPA, defense
New Mexico · 84Oklahoma · 77
Pass EPA, offense
New Mexico · 33Oklahoma · 51
Pass EPA, defense
New Mexico · 97Oklahoma · 84

The series

Oklahoma leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 1930 · Oklahoma has won the last 2

  • 1935Oklahoma 25-0
  • 1930Oklahoma 47-0

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

New Mexico fans are in a better mood than Oklahoma fans (49th vs 4th among FBS fanbases), even with Oklahoma favored.

  • Model · 77%
  • Line · 96%
  • Oklahoma fans · 4th
  • New Mexico fans · 49th

Oklahoma favored by 21.5 · Total 45.5

How games like this usually go

Oklahoma by 21.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward New Mexico.

opened −23.5now −21.5

The total fell 3 points.

opened 48.5now 45.5

Spread: −23.5 → −21.5 · Total: 48.5 → 45.5

The books’ cut: 3.8%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot. Feels like 90° at kickoff.

New Mexico at Oklahoma · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Norman

  • 90°feels like at kickoff
  • 76weather score, Mixed
  • 2ndbest of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 80, against 76 at 6:30 pm.

  • 11 am: 57, Rough
  • 11:45 am: 54, Rough
  • 1 pm: 49, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 45, Harsh
  • 3:30 pm: 46, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 64, Rough
  • 6:30 pm: 76, Mixed (this game)
  • 7 pm: 80, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Oklahoma is worth +5.6 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 76th percentile.

84% at home, 61% on the road against FBS opponents (43-8 home, 22-14 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.0 at home vs. away over 91 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 519 miles to get here.

Where next