Next game: vs Texas A&M
South Carolina’s best edge on Texas A&M is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
South Carolina offense against Texas A&M defense
Texas A&M offense against South Carolina defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.29 EPA/play | 16 | 8 | 152 / 243 | 62.6 | 1849 #36 FBS | 7.6 | 16 #23 FBS | 7 | 142.4 | 38 | 71.6 | 6.9 | 6.2 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — 243 pass attempts and 98 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than nearly every FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Sellers extends plays on the move until something opens up. Jackson is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage28.7% 77th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry6.2 97th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Lanorris Sellers's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -0.59 EPA/play | 12 | 4 | 11 / 17 | 64.7 | 100 | 5.9 | 1 | 1 | 121.8 | — | 72.9 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workhorse · +0.12 EPA/play | 28 | 8 | 94 | 530 #67 FBS | 5.6 | 5 | 56 | 16.3 | 15.2 | |
Yards by week → WorkhorseBuilt to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value. Starter — 94 carries and 18 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Fuller just keeps getting the ball, series after series. Settles is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Weight221 lb 87th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share16.1% 84th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like the ball security is the one real worry — 3.57 fumbles per 100 touches (top-decile concern) | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.25 EPA/play | 21 | 8 | 44 | 284 | 6.5 | 4 | 60 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 44 carries and 8 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Coleman wins in space out of the backfield. Settles is the one who wins in space out of the backfield. Season receipt Receiving share15.4% 81th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate9.1% 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jabree Coleman's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.37 EPA/play | 4 | 5 | 20 | 145 | 7.2 | 2 | 55 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.62 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 35 | 431 | 12.3 | 4 #70 FBS | 79 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 35 catches and 3 carries in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Bennett wins underneath on volume and route precision. Marshall is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume35 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Mazeo Bennett's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.42 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 20 | 334 | 16.7 | 3 | 41 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Harbor beats you over the top. Marshall is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception17.1 85th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate15.0% 82th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nyck Harbor's full player page | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.62 EPA/play | 83 | 6 | 15 | 330 | 22 | 2 | 84 | |
Yards by week → Deep threatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. This week's matchup — WR Black beats you over the top. Marshall is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception18.7 93th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume15 bottom 19th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View DJ Black's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.30 EPA/play | 6 | 7 | 11 | 205 | 18.6 | 3 | 44 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.06 EPA/play | 87 | 7 | 14 | 118 | 8.4 | 0 | 18 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 14 catches and 1 carry in 7 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. This week's matchup — TE Hunt shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Platt is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception8.3 bottom 24th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.1 bottom 11th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Brady Hunt's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.58 EPA/play | 44 | 6 | 10 | 100 | 10 | 2 | 28 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. This week's matchup — TE II shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Platt is the one who is the first read once you cross the 20. Season receipt Yards / reception4.9 bottom 5th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions TD rate20.0% 87th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Maurice Brown II's full player page | ||||||||
| +2.10 EPA/play | — | 3 | 6 | 86 | 14.3 | 1 | 41 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 13 | 8 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 24 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate29.2% 90th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Tomiwa Durojaiye's full player page | |||||||
| Pressure Merchant | 40 | 8 | 20 | 11 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 6 |
Pressure merchantCollapses the pocket even when the sack doesn't come. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 22 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Hurry rate0.3 89th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Anthony Addison's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 97 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Kelby Collins's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 65 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight345 lb 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Noah Clark's full player page | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 39 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Speed rusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 19 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate20.0% 87th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Caleb Herring's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 33 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate25.0% 81th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Troy Pikes's full player page | |||||||
| Pressure Merchant | 6 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 |
Pressure merchantCollapses the pocket even when the sack doesn't come. 22 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Hurry rate0.3 89th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dylan Stewart's full player page | |||||||
| 90 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | |
| 11 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 17 | 8 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. Starter — 62 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Tackle volume62 92th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Justin Okoronkwo's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 8 | 59 | 28 | 31 | 4 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 59 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2024 class View Fred Johnson's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 7 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Shawn Murphy's full player page | |||||||||
| 34 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 31 | 8 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 43 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.7% bottom 34th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Peyton Williams's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 14 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate0.0% bottom 15th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View JZavien Currence's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 8 | 8 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate17.4% 90th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Judge Collier's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 9 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.5% bottom 34th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View David Bucey's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.0% bottom 36th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kendall Daniels Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 1 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate16.7% 88th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Gerald Kilgore's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
Hybrid nickel· Return threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. a house-call threat every time he fields it The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2023 class View Vicari Swain's full player page | |||||||
| 19 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 32 | 8 | 10/12 | 83.3 | 28/28 | 58 | 52 |
| 14 | 2 | 1/2 | 50 | 6/6 | 9 | 33 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 3 | 5 | 104 | 20.8 | 0 | 28 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 8 | 17 | 225 | 13.2 | 2 | 58 |
Biggest plays from South Carolina’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in South Carolina’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 1:17 · South Carolina down 7, ties itLanorris Sellers runs 4 yards for a touchdownTennessee at South Carolina, week 8Q4, 1:17 · South Carolina 24, Tennessee 241:17Game-tying touchdown for South Carolina with 1:17 left1:17Game-tying touchdown for South Carolina with 1:17 leftGame-tying touchdown for South Carolina with 1:17 leftL.Sellers rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTK00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was not down by contact". CALL UPHELD, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 14:05 · Oklahoma down 7, ties itKip Lewis takes an interception 30 yards for a pick-sixSouth Carolina at Oklahoma, week 9Q2, 14:05 · Oklahoma 7, South Carolina 730Pick-six30Pick-sixPick-sixL.Sellers pass intercepted by K.Lewis at USC30 QB hurried by J.Kreul K.Lewis return 30 yards to the USC00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 0:33 · Tennessee tiedTennessee turns it overTennessee at South Carolina, week 8Q4, 0:33 · Tennessee 24, South Carolina 24▼27%Tennessee’s chance to win, 48% to 21%▼27%Tennessee’s chance to win, 48% to 21%G.MacIntyre sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UTK34 (D.Stewart), fumble by G.MacIntyre recovered by USC T.Durojaiye at UTK34, End Of Play. UTK is challenging the ruling on the field - "Fumble". CALL UPHELD▶Watch from this play
Q3, 8:36 · South Carolina up 4Lanorris Sellers finds Donovan Murph for a 26-yard touchdownSouth Carolina at Florida, week 6Q3, 8:36 · South Carolina 24, Florida 13▲17%South Carolina’s chance to win, 46% to 63%▲17%South Carolina’s chance to win, 46% to 63%L.Sellers pass complete deep middle to D.Murph caught at FLA00, for 26 yards to the FLA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q3, 10:13 · Mississippi State down 9Kamario Taylor finds Marquis Johnson for a 23-yard touchdownMississippi State at South Carolina, week 3Q3, 10:13 · Mississippi State 21, South Carolina 23Mississippi State cut the deficit to 2 in the third quarterMississippi State cut the deficit to 2 in the third quarterK.Taylor pass complete deep left to M.Johnson caught at USC00, for 23 yards to the USC00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 5:53 · Alabama tiedKeelon Russell finds Lotzeir Brooks for a 75-yard touchdownSouth Carolina at Alabama, week 4Q1, 5:53 · Alabama 7, South Carolina 07575-yard touchdown pass7575-yard touchdown pass75-yard touchdown passK.Russell pass complete deep left to L.Brooks caught at USC30, for 75 yards to the USC00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
South Carolina lost to Kentucky after being 99% to win; the closest win was against Tennessee, down to 8%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave South Carolina during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · South Carolina
through 8 gamesJustin Okoronkwo leads South Carolina with 62 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+19 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
South Carolina fields a strong offense behind a leaky defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
South Carolina reads strongest in rushing EPA (top 7%) and red-zone finish (top 16%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where South Carolina sits at the 16th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
South Carolina is worth +4.2 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 51st percentile of 133 programs
53% at home, 35% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (27-24 home, 14-26 away). Interval ±4.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, South Carolina has beaten the number by −1.3 more at home than away over 99 games. That is inside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Williams-Brice Stadium seats 80,250 and has averaged 97% full (78,099, 33 games reported). Visitors cover a median 333 miles to get here since 2018 — 48th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 34% of the 2026 roster (36 of 105 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 59 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeMatthew Fuller sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline: the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.
- Deep threatNyck Harbor is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatVandrevious Jacobs is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Matthew Fuller and Jabree Coleman split the carries (88/131 vs 43/131) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Jabree Coleman produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Mazeo Bennett (WR) and Brady Hunt (TE) split the targets (43/63 vs 20/63) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How South Carolina actually scores
55th percentile quality, 54th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
South Carolina’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 87th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 81st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does South Carolina hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
70th percentile success on standard downs, 56th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
South Carolina by half
1st-half offense ranks 77th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 32nd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of South Carolina’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.21; 81st percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.68 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How South Carolina’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), South Carolina’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.8% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 224-play sample) — mid-pack, 81 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), South Carolina’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 198-play sample) — mid-pack, 112 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 57% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~52% league rate.
4 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 17% of pass disruptions into takeaways — right in line with the ~18% league rate.
4 interceptions of 23 disrupted passes (19 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Losing the penalty battle: 56 penalties committed vs. 63 drawn on opponents, a 28-yard deficit.
512 penalty yards committed vs. 484 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · South Carolina
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 59°, between 50° and 68° in about 7 in 10 games (39 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 70°, and 8 in 10 ran between 48° and 78° (46 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.