Southern Miss

1-1

Sun Belt · Blake Anderson, year 2 (1-2) · M. M. Roberts Stadium · 36,000 · 26,246 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#59 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #118 (-14.9) · FPI #97
The marketUConn by 3vs UConn · our model 75% Southern Miss · a number, not a pick

LastL 8–43 at Auburn · Sat Sep 12 · Jyaire Brown 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 4 tackles

Nextvs UConn · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · M. M. Roberts Stadium · UConn by 3 · first meeting on record · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
28.5
Pts allowed/game
23.0
Total yards/gm#89 / 138 · 36th pct
382.0
Rush yards/gm#61 / 138 · 56th pct
183.5
Pass yards/gm#96 / 138 · 31st pct
198.5
Yards allowed/gm#112 / 138 · 19th pct
416.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#128 / 138 · 8th pct
223.5
SacksT-#106 / 138 · 16th pct
2
InterceptionsT-#5 / 115 · 91st pct
4
3rd-down convT-#73 / 138 · 46th pct
40.0%
All 89 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
764382.0/gm5.38/play#89 / 138 · 36th pct#52 / 70 · 26th pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
833416.5/gm5.87/play#112 / 138 · 19th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
367183.5/gm2.58/play#61 / 138 · 56th pct#33 / 70 · 54th pct#7 / 14 · 54th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
447223.5/gm3.15/play#128 / 138 · 8th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
8241.0/gmT-#41 / 138 · 70th pctT-#21 / 70 · 69th pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
8643.0/gm#120 / 138 · 13th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
63.0/gmT-#27 / 138 · 78th pctT-#19 / 70 · 71st pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 70 · 64th pctT-#3 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
397198.5/gm2.80/play#96 / 138 · 31st pct#58 / 70 · 18th pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
386193.0/gm2.72/play#62 / 138 · 55th pct#39 / 70 · 45th pct#6 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
6030.0/gmT-#65 / 138 · 53rd pctT-#38 / 70 · 46th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5628.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 62nd pct#34 / 70 · 52nd pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
3718.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 47th pctT-#44 / 70 · 36th pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3517.5/gmT-#64 / 138 · 53rd pctT-#39 / 70 · 44th pctT-#8 / 14 · 43rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#94 / 138 · 25th pctT-#54 / 70 · 19th pctT-#9 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
31.5/gmT-#75 / 138 · 36th pctT-#47 / 70 · 23rd pctT-#8 / 14 · 39th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
114.9114.9#96 / 115 · 17th pct#54 / 60 · 11th pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Opp
127.4127.4#49 / 91 · 47th pct#30 / 42 · 30th pct#6 / 13 · 62nd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
31.5/gmT-#8 / 138 · 89th pctT-#5 / 70 · 91st pctT-#2 / 14 · 86th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#123 / 138 · 7th pctT-#65 / 70 · 5th pctT-#11 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 9th pctT-#10 / 14 · 18th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#74 / 138 · 37th pctT-#42 / 70 · 31st pctT-#7 / 14 · 43rd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
105.0/gmT-#79 / 138 · 38th pctT-#45 / 70 · 31st pct#9 / 14 · 39th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#15 / 70 · 77th pctT-#2 / 14 · 86th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
4422.0/gmT-#65 / 138 · 53rd pctT-#40 / 70 · 42nd pct#5 / 14 · 68th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4221.0/gm#100 / 138 · 28th pct#61 / 70 · 14th pct#12 / 14 · 18th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
105.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 44th pctT-#42 / 70 · 35th pctT-#3 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
126.0/gmT-#91 / 138 · 30th pctT-#52 / 70 · 24th pctT-#8 / 14 · 39th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2512.5/gmT-#72 / 138 · 45th pctT-#34 / 70 · 49th pctT-#5 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2914.5/gmT-#79 / 138 · 40th pctT-#41 / 70 · 39th pctT-#9 / 14 · 36th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
21.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 51st pctT-#28 / 70 · 49th pctT-#4 / 14 · 64th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#121 / 138 · 9th pctT-#63 / 70 · 7th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
42.0/gmT-#47 / 138 · 60th pctT-#24 / 70 · 59th pctT-#4 / 14 · 71st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#98 / 138 · 25th pctT-#54 / 70 · 20th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
58:3229:16/gm#93 / 138 · 33rd pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#9 / 14 · 39th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
61:2830:44/gm#84 / 138 · 39th pct#47 / 70 · 34th pct#9 / 14 · 39th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.10 EPA/play5231 / 50623266.523118.0434.42.0
+0.09 EPA/play158 / 165096611108.5
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.23 EPA/play14238174
#39 FBS
4.63
#11 FBS
12
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.91 EPA/play129152
#66 FBS
16.9141
+0.56 EPA/play827659.3035

2026 stat leaders · Southern Miss

through 2 games

Laquan Robinson leads Southern Miss with 17 tackles through 2 games.

1. Laquan Robinson DB 17 tackles
2. Mathis Haygood LB 15 tackles
3. Mario Sanders II WR 152 receiving yards
4. Steven Robinson RB 174 rushing yards
5. Melvin Spriggs LB 9 tackles
How They Play · 2025

Southern Miss fields a capable explosive, big-play offense behind a solid defense.

Offense
48th pct EPA/play
Tempo
82nd pct explosiveness
Defense
59th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Southern Miss · 2025

Southern Miss reads strongest in explosive plays (top 19%) and passing epa allowed (top 30%); the crux lives in rushing epa allowed, where Southern Miss sits at the 23rd percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.17
48th
Success Rate +0.40
24th
Explosive Plays +1.35
82nd
Rushing EPA +0.10
47th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.12
59th
Success Rate Allowed +0.41
50th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.24
63rd
Passing EPA Allowed +0.17
71st

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.29
59th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.15
23rd
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Southern Miss · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Southern Miss is worth +3.8 points more at home than on the road.

Middle of FBS, 41st percentile of 133 programs

37% at home, 29% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15–26 home, 13–32 away). Interval ±4.1.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Southern Miss has beaten the number by +4.2 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±6.1 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

M. M. Roberts Stadium seats 36,000 and has averaged 69% full (24,877, 26 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 224 miles trip since 2018, the 12th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. 21% of the 2026 roster (33 of 155 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 50 home games since 2018.

Home15–26Away13–32Edge+3.8 ±4.1Visitor trip224 mi

More in this tab

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Southern Miss

CFB Zeitgeist

#59

+1.6

SP+

#118

-14.9

FPI

#97

-7.1

Elo

#116

1285

The national models put Southern Miss between 97th and 118th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 59th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Southern Miss

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

76°F average kickoff temp; 9% of games had measurable precipitation; 5 mph average wind.

Based on 75 home games with weather data.

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