ULM

0-2

Sun Belt · Bryant Vincent, year 3 (8-18) · Malone Stadium · 27,617

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#131 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #138 (-33.2) · FPI #137
The marketno line yetvs SE Louisiana · our model 60% ULM · a number, not a pick

LastL 20–26 at UAB · Sat Sep 12 · Carl Fauntroy Jr. 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 1 INT

Nextvs SE Louisiana · Sat Sep 19 · 4:30 pm ET · Malone Stadium · series 3-6, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
16.5
Pts allowed/game
44.0
Total yards/gmT-#131 / 138 · 5th pct
267.5
Rush yards/gm#73 / 138 · 47th pct
169.5
Pass yards/gm#135 / 138 · 3rd pct
98.0
Yards allowed/gm#134 / 138 · 3rd pct
571.5
Rush yds allowed/gm#137 / 138 · 1st pct
305.5
SacksT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pct
3
InterceptionsT-#63 / 115 · 23rd pct
1
3rd-down conv#133 / 138 · 4th pct
21.4%
All 85 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
535267.5/gm4.08/playT-#131 / 138 · 5th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
1143571.5/gm7.78/play#134 / 138 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
339169.5/gm2.59/play#73 / 138 · 47th pct#39 / 70 · 45th pct#9 / 14 · 39th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
611305.5/gm4.16/play#137 / 138 · 1st pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
8341.5/gmT-#35 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#19 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#3 / 14 · 79th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
8944.5/gmT-#124 / 138 · 10th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 18th pctT-#56 / 70 · 15th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#120 / 138 · 12th pct#68 / 70 · 4th pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
19698.0/gm1.50/play#135 / 138 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
532266.0/gm3.62/play#115 / 138 · 17th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
4824.0/gmT-#105 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#60 / 70 · 14th pct#10 / 14 · 32nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5829.0/gmT-#61 / 138 · 55th pct#37 / 70 · 48th pctT-#7 / 14 · 50th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
2613.0/gmT-#119 / 138 · 13th pct#65 / 70 · 8th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3517.5/gmT-#64 / 138 · 53rd pctT-#39 / 70 · 44th pctT-#8 / 14 · 43rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
10.5/gmT-#114 / 138 · 11th pctT-#60 / 70 · 9th pctT-#12 / 14 · 11th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#122 / 138 · 10th pctT-#67 / 70 · 4th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
91.291.2#111 / 115 · 4th pct#60 / 60 · 1st pct#13 / 13 · 4th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
162.4162.4#84 / 91 · 8th pct#42 / 42 · 1st pct#11 / 13 · 23rd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 70 · 53rd pctT-#4 / 14 · 61st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#24 / 138 · 64th pctT-#11 / 70 · 64th pctT-#2 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
31.5/gmT-#80 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#49 / 70 · 22nd pctT-#8 / 14 · 43rd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#74 / 138 · 37th pctT-#42 / 70 · 31st pctT-#7 / 14 · 43rd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
84.0/gmT-#104 / 138 · 23rd pctT-#58 / 70 · 16th pctT-#10 / 14 · 25th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
115.5/gmT-#81 / 138 · 34th pctT-#47 / 70 · 27th pctT-#8 / 14 · 43rd pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3316.5/gmT-#115 / 138 · 16th pct#64 / 70 · 9th pct#11 / 14 · 25th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5829.0/gm#134 / 138 · 3rd pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#14 / 14 · 4th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
63.0/gmT-#125 / 138 · 8th pct#67 / 70 · 5th pctT-#12 / 14 · 14th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
157.5/gmT-#120 / 138 · 12th pctT-#64 / 70 · 7th pct#13 / 14 · 11th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
2814.0/gmT-#45 / 138 · 64th pctT-#19 / 70 · 70th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
2613.0/gmT-#43 / 138 · 66th pctT-#21 / 70 · 66th pct#4 / 14 · 75th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
31.5/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#12 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#1 / 14 · 89th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#26 / 138 · 66th pctT-#15 / 70 · 61st pctT-#4 / 14 · 54th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
63.0/gmT-#16 / 138 · 85th pctT-#8 / 70 · 86th pctT-#1 / 14 · 93rd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 74th pctT-#10 / 70 · 72nd pctT-#5 / 14 · 61st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
59:5429:57/gm#85 / 138 · 39th pct#44 / 70 · 38th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
60:0630:03/gm#76 / 138 · 45th pct#44 / 70 · 38th pct#8 / 14 · 46th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.14 EPA/play12216 / 2955.21294.41197.021.2
-0.01 EPA/play10110 / 1662.5674.20097.7
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
-0.19 EPA/play252311284.1018
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.40 EPA/play129586.4013

2026 stat leaders · ULM

through 2 games

Noah Flemmings leads ULM with 20 tackles through 2 games.

1. Noah Flemmings LB 20 tackles
2. Jabari Tiller DB 18 tackles
3. Carl Fauntroy Jr. S 12 tackles
4. Austin Carlisle QB 143 rushing yards
5. Marcus Ross LB 9 tackles
How They Play · 2025

ULM fields a struggling explosive, big-play offense behind a leaky, gives up the big play defense.

Offense
17th pct EPA/play
Tempo
94th pct explosiveness
Defense
35th pct EPA allowed
Defensive shape
23rd pct at limiting explosive plays

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · ULM · 2025

ULM reads strongest in explosive plays (top 6%) and rushing epa allowed (top 42%); the crux lives in success rate, where ULM sits at the 10th percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.07
17th
Success Rate +0.36
11th
Explosive Plays +1.40
94th
Rushing EPA +0.04
24th

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.18
35th
Success Rate Allowed +0.41
56th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.33
23rd
Passing EPA Allowed +0.32
27th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.22
39th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.06
58th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · ULM · 2018–present · FBS opponents

ULM is worth +7.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 94th percentile of 133 programs

41% at home, 13% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15–22 home, 7–45 away). Interval ±4.0.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, ULM has beaten the number by +5.5 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±7.3 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Malone Stadium seats 27,617 and has averaged 55% full (15,223, 22 games reported). Visitors cover a median 361 miles to get here since 2018 — 58th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 17% of the 2026 roster (17 of 99 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 44 home games since 2018.

Home15–22Away7–45Edge+7.3 ±4.0Visitor trip361 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

ULM's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 4th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 1st — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 4th pctileCompetitive snaps only · 1st pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank UL Monroe

CFB Zeitgeist

#131

-6.8

SP+

#138

-33.2

FPI

#137

-22.8

Elo

#134

1079

The national models put UL Monroe between 134th and 138th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 131st.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · ULM

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

75°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 65 home games with weather data.

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