No. 15 Tennessee routs Kennesaw State 42-9

Kennesaw State1-29
No. 15 Tennessee3-042Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tenn. · Crowd 101,915SEC Network

No. 15 Tennessee routed Kennesaw State 42-9.

We had Tennessee favored. It won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Tennessee a 95% chance, and the closing betting line (Tennessee was a 35.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Tennessee led by 12 after the first quarter and by 18 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+36+33
FinalTennessee 42-9 Kennesaw StateTennessee wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4TennesseeWon42-9Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4TennesseeWon42-9Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4TennesseeLowest 0%Lost9-42Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4TennesseeLowest 0%Lost9-42Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Tennessee’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Tennessee -35.5), at 99% for Tennessee (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Tennessee scored on 7 of its 10 drives; Kennesaw State on 3 of its 11.

Tennessee’s drives are teal, Kennesaw State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Tennessee: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownKennesaw State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 16Field goalTennessee: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownKennesaw State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntQ2Tennessee: Field goal, from 72 yards out to 21Field goalKennesaw State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntTennessee: Punt, from 80 yards out to 57PuntKennesaw State: Punt, from 90 yards out to 70PuntTennessee: Fumble, from 50 yards out to 30FumbleKennesaw State: Fumble, from 70 yards out to 55FumbleTennessee: Field goal, from 45 yards out to 25Field goalKennesaw State: End of half, from 75 yards out to 75End of halfQ3Kennesaw State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 84PuntTennessee: Touchdown, from 53 yards out to 0TouchdownKennesaw State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntTennessee: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownKennesaw State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 7Field goalQ4Tennessee: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownKennesaw State: Field goal, from 87 yards out to 2Field goalTennessee: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntKennesaw State: End of game, from 78 yards out to 76End of game
“Always fall on it Dont be a hero and try to pick it up on the run”
A Tennessee fan

When fans got loud

Roaring

Fans peaked in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was roaring; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthTennessee fansKennesaw State fansusual

What it cost

Tennessee’s chance to make the playoff rose from 43% to 46%.

Make the playoff

Kennesaw State · lost0% → 0%
Tennessee · won43% → ▲46%43%▲ 46%

Win the conference

Kennesaw State · lost4% → ▼1%
Tennessee · won6% → ▲7%6%▲ 7%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Tennessee 42, Kennesaw State 9

Kennesaw State covered +35.5 by 2.5. The total, 51, stayed under 60.5.

Kennesaw StateTennesseeTotal yardsKennesaw State 291Tennessee 446291446Passing yardsKennesaw State 189Tennessee 178189178Rushing yardsKennesaw State 102Tennessee 268102268First downsKennesaw State 18Tennessee 261826TurnoversKennesaw State 1Tennessee 111Time of possessionKennesaw State 30:57Tennessee 29:0330:5729:03
Team totalsKennesaw StateTennessee
Total yards291446
Passing22 of 34, 189 yds18 of 26, 178 yds
Rushing30 for 102 yds41 for 268 yds
First downs1826
Third down5 of 134 of 10
Fourth down0 of 00 of 0
Turnovers11
Penalties9 for 90 yds3 for 20 yds
Time of possession30:5729:03

Kennesaw State leaders

  • Passing Rickie Collins 22 of 34, 189 yds
  • Rushing Rickie Collins 14 for 36 yds; Latrelle Murrell 6 for 31 yds
  • Receiving Zion Booker 10 for 78 yds; Brayden Munroe 2 for 34 yds

Tennessee leaders

  • Passing Faizon Brandon 18 of 26, 178 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Daune Morris 14 for 116 yds, 1 TD; Hunter Barnes 7 for 63 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Braylon Staley 4 for 59 yds, 1 TD; Mike Matthews 4 for 41 yds

No rain through the game

77° at kickoff · no rain recorded

September game-day temperatures at Neyland Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Tennessee favoredKennesaw State favored100%Win chanceTennesseeRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Tennessee favoredKennesaw State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:44 left7:56 p.m.
Kennesaw State 0, Tennessee 0 · Tennessee 99% to win
no rain · 77°
Brandon 35-yd pass to Staley
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Knoxville Downtown airport, 2.9 miles away, and Knoxville Municipal airport, 10 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Kennesaw State · 1-1

Rated 158th in our preseason ratings, 149th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last two games

Tennessee · 2-0

Rated 30th in our preseason ratings, 30th now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 56-9 vs Furman #166 of 668

won by 47 as a 49.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 56-9 vs Furman. Never in doubt.

Week by week

Tennessee

Wk 1: W 56-9 vs Furman▲47FurmanWk 2: W 45-24 at Georgia Tech▲21Georgia Tech
  • Wk 1Wvs Furman56-9
  • Wk 2Wat Georgia Tech45-24

Kennesaw State

Wk 1: W 47-0 vs West Georgia▲47West GeorgiaWk 2: L 17-31 vs Georgia State▼14Georgia State
  • Wk 1Wvs West Georgia47-0
  • Wk 2Lvs Georgia State17-31

Power rating by week

Tennessee is rated 11.7 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

8-1-9Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2TennesseeKennesaw State

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Kennesaw State’s explosive plays against Tennessee, 89 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Kennesaw State’s explosive plays against Tennessee’s defense

    89 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Kennesaw State offense, 6th percentile · Tennessee defense, 95th

  2. Kennesaw State’s EPA/play against Tennessee’s defense

    59 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Kennesaw State offense, 37th percentile · Tennessee defense, 96th

  3. Kennesaw State’s passing EPA against Tennessee’s defense

    64 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Kennesaw State offense, 31st percentile · Tennessee defense, 95th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Kennesaw StateTennessee
EPA/play, offense
Kennesaw State · 37Tennessee · 63
EPA/play, defense
Kennesaw State · 33Tennessee · 96
Success rate, offense
Kennesaw State · 54Tennessee · 66
Success rate, defense
Kennesaw State · 39Tennessee · 75
Explosive-play rate, offense
Kennesaw State · 6Tennessee · 24
Explosive-play rate, defense
Kennesaw State · 90Tennessee · 95
Rush EPA, offense
Kennesaw State · 46Tennessee · 95
Rush EPA, defense
Kennesaw State · 68Tennessee · 67
Pass EPA, offense
Kennesaw State · 31Tennessee · 36
Pass EPA, defense
Kennesaw State · 20Tennessee · 95

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Kennesaw State fans are in a better mood than Tennessee fans (93rd vs 21st among FBS fanbases), even with Tennessee favored.

50-50Model 95% · Line 100%Tennessee fans · 21stKennesaw State fans · 93rdKennesaw StateTennessee

Tennessee favored by 35.5 · Total 60.5

How games like this usually go

Tennessee by 35.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Tennessee.

opened −34.5now −35.5

The total rose 1 point.

opened 59.5now 60.5

Spread: −34.5 → −35.5 · Total: 59.5 → 60.5

The books’ cut: 3.1%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 80° at kickoff.

Kennesaw State at Tennessee · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville

  • 80°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 97weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 8 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's eight kickoff times. At Neyland Stadium that day, a 2 pm kickoff would have scored 43, against 97 at 7:45 pm.

  • noon: 48, Harsh
  • 1 pm: 45, Harsh
  • 2 pm: 43, Harsh
  • 3:30 pm: 47, Harsh
  • 4 pm: 49, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 78, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 97, Comfortable
  • 7:45 pm: 97, Comfortable (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Tennessee is worth +6.6 points (±4.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 90th percentile.

66% at home, 49% on the road against FBS opponents (35-18 home, 18-19 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 138 miles to get here.

Where next