Jackson State beats Alabama A&M 31-28

Team pages: Alabama A&M · Jackson State

Alabama A&M4-228
Jackson State5-031Final
Sat, Oct 3 · Ladd Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Ala. (neutral site) · Crowd 7,490

Jackson State beat Alabama A&M 31-28.

Next: Alabama A&M beat Bethune-Cookman 55-17, Sat Oct 10

Next: Jackson State lost to Grambling 45-38, Sat Oct 10

How it swung

The turning point: Brown 70-yd TD pass to Bean, Alabama A&M leads 28-17 (Q4, 8:22). Jackson State went from 49% to 12% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Jackson State a 63% chance, and the closing betting line (Jackson State was a 10-point favorite) put it at 79%.

Jackson State came back from 11 down, at one point just a 12% chance in the fourth quarter.

Alabama A&M led by 11, was as high as 88% in the fourth quarter, and still lost.

FinalJackson State 31-28 Alabama A&MJackson State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q458% at halfJackson StateAlabama A&MLowest 12%Won31-281−27Scores
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q458% at halfAlabama A&MLowest 12%Won31-281Scores
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q442% at halfAlabama A&MJackson StateHigh 88%Lost28-311+27Scores
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q442% at halfAlabama A&MHigh 88%Lost28-311Scores

The four plays that swung it

  1. 1Q3 4:00Brown 14-yd TD pass to Williams, Alabama A&M leads 21-10Jackson State 54% → 27% (−27)
  2. 2Q4 8:22Brown 70-yd TD pass to Bean, Alabama A&M leads 28-17Jackson State 49% → 12% (−37)
  3. 3Q4 7:00Pryor 29-yd TD run, cuts it to 28-24Jackson State 17% → 45% (+28)
  4. 4Q4 6:50FumbleBrown 3-yd run, fumblesJackson State 45% → 67% (+22)

The four plays that swung it

  1. 1Q3 4:00Brown 14-yd TD pass to Williams, Alabama A&M leads 21-10Alabama A&M 46% → 73% (+27)
  2. 2Q4 8:22Brown 70-yd TD pass to Bean, Alabama A&M leads 28-17Alabama A&M 51% → 88% (+37)
  3. 3Q4 7:00Pryor 29-yd TD run, cuts it to 28-24Alabama A&M 83% → 55% (−28)
  4. 4Q4 6:50FumbleBrown 3-yd run, fumblesAlabama A&M 55% → 33% (−22)
Jackson State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Jackson State -10), at 81% for Jackson State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Jackson State scored on 5 of its 14 drives; Alabama A&M on 4 of its 12.

Jackson State’s drives are teal, Alabama A&M’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Alabama A&M: Punt, from 66 yards out to 57PuntJackson State: Punt, from 93 yards out to 49PuntAlabama A&M: Punt, from 80 yards out to 42PuntJackson State: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownAlabama A&M: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownJackson State: Punt, from 76 yards out to 87PuntAlabama A&M: Touchdown, from 58 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Jackson State: Punt, from 65 yards out to 58PuntAlabama A&M: Punt, from 76 yards out to 56PuntJackson State: Punt, from 84 yards out to 54PuntAlabama A&M: Punt, from 87 yards out to 80PuntJackson State: Field goal, from 76 yards out to 2Field goalJackson State: End of half, from 65 yards out to 65End of halfQ3Jackson State: Punt, from 88 yards out to 78PuntAlabama A&M: Missed field goal, from 60 yards out to 27Missed FGJackson State: Punt, from 73 yards out to 86PuntAlabama A&M: Touchdown, from 48 yards out to 0TouchdownJackson State: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Alabama A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 60PuntJackson State: Punt, from 70 yards out to 66PuntAlabama A&M: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownJackson State: Touchdown, from 72 yards out to 0TouchdownAlabama A&M: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 72FumbleJackson State: Touchdown, from 28 yards out to 0TouchdownAlabama A&M: Punt, from 65 yards out to 66PuntJackson State: End of game, from 85 yards out to 55End of game

From Alabama A&M’s side

Alabama A&M’s best moment: Brown 70-yd TD pass to Bean, Alabama A&M leads 28-17 (Q4 8:22). It lifted Alabama A&M’s win chance by 37 points.

The winner fell to 9%.

Box score

Jackson State 31, Alabama A&M 28

Alabama A&M covered +10 by 7. The total, 59, went over 54.5.

Alabama A&M leaders

  • Passing Cornelious Brown 14 of 30, 263 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Maurice Edwards 9 for 36 yds; Byron Perrilliat 10 for 29 yds
  • Receiving Jordan Chambers-Smith 2 for 85 yds, 1 TD; Jaylan Bean 2 for 75 yds, 1 TD

Jackson State leaders

  • Passing Jared Lockhart 15 of 32, 169 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Nate Blount IV 18 for 88 yds; Li'Darius Pryor 12 for 72 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Nathan Rembert 7 for 108 yds; Jabari Jones 3 for 25 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Alabama A&M · 4-1

Rated 189th in our preseason ratings, 160th now, up 29 spots.

Three straight wins, including a 27-point win over Tennessee State as a 3.5-point underdog.

W 40-21 @ Florida A&M #235 of 668

won by 19 as a 3-point favorite

Alabama A&M won 40-21 at Florida A&M. Chance to win started at 49%, low 29%, high better than 99%.

W 45-3 vs Bowie State #334 of 668

Alabama A&M won 45-3 vs Bowie State. Chance to win started at 68%, low 68%, high better than 99%.

W 30-3 vs Tennessee State #213 of 668

won by 27 as a 3.5-point underdog

Alabama A&M won 30-3 vs Tennessee State. Chance to win started at 47%, low 37%, high better than 99%.

W 38-23 vs Miles #307 of 668

Alabama A&M won 38-23 vs Miles. Chance to win started at 57%, low 55%, high better than 99%.

L 24-31 @ Howard #235 of 668

lost by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite

Last 4 games

Jackson State · 4-0

Rated 110th in our preseason ratings, 122nd now.

4 straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 35-17 vs Southern #222 of 668

won by 18 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 41-7 vs Tuskegee #335 of 668

Jackson State won 41-7 vs Tuskegee. Chance to win started at 49%, low 47%, high better than 99%.

W 66-14 vs Edward Waters #313 of 668

Jackson State won 66-14 vs Edward Waters. Chance to win started at 63%, low 43%, high better than 99%.

W 26-24 @ Tennessee State #191 of 668

won by 2 as a 12.5-point favorite

Jackson State won 26-24 at Tennessee State. Chance to win started at 77%, low 38%, high 95%.

Week by week

Jackson State

Wk 1: W 26-24 at Tennessee State▲2Tennessee S…Wk 1: W 66-14 vs Edward Waters▲52Edward Wate…Wk 3: W 41-7 vs Tuskegee▲34TuskegeeWk 4: W 35-17 vs Southern▲18Southern
  • Wk 1Wat Tennessee State26-24
  • Wk 1Wvs Edward Waters66-14
  • Wk 3Wvs Tuskegee41-7
  • Wk 4Wvs Southern35-17

Alabama A&M

Wk 1: L 24-31 at Howard▼7HowardWk 1: W 38-23 vs Miles▲15MilesWk 2: W 30-3 vs Tennessee State▲27Tennesse…Wk 3: W 45-3 vs Bowie State▲42Bowie St.Wk 4: W 40-21 at Florida A&M▲19F. A&M
  • Wk 1Lat Howard24-31
  • Wk 1Wvs Miles38-23
  • Wk 2Wvs Tennessee State30-3
  • Wk 3Wvs Bowie State45-3
  • Wk 4Wat Florida A&M40-21

Power rating by week

Jackson State is rated 2.4 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-3-7-10Wk 0Wk 2Wk 4Jackson StateAlabama A&M

The series

Jackson State leads the series 12-6

18 meetings since 2007 · Jackson State has won the last 5

Jackson State wonAlabama A&M won2007: Jackson State by 32008: Jackson State by 162009: Alabama A&M by 82010: Jackson State by 162011: Jackson State by 282012: Jackson State by 142013: Jackson State by 62014: Alabama A&M by 112015: Alabama A&M by 62016: Alabama A&M by 72017: Jackson State by 32018: Alabama A&M by 52019: Alabama A&M by 52021: Jackson State by 462022: Jackson State by 142023: Jackson State by 152024: Jackson State by 72025: Jackson State by 3320072025
  • 2025 · neutral siteJackson State 57-24
  • 2024 · neutral siteJackson State 45-38
  • 2023 · neutral siteJackson State 45-30
  • 2022 · neutral siteJackson State 27-13
  • 2021Jackson State 61-15

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Jackson State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 63%Line · 79%Alabama A&MJackson State

Jackson State favored by 10 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Jackson State by 10, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 0.5 points toward Jackson State.

opened −9.5now −10

The total rose 5 points.

opened 49.5now 54.5

Spread: −9.5 → −10 · Total: 49.5 → 54.5

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.