Alred Luke

#1 · WR · Sr. · Missouri State5′8″ · 175 lb · New Orleans, LA

Alred Luke is a wide receiver who has not played this season; the last season with a stat line was 2025, at Missouri State.

Luke moves the chains on third down. The three seasons span two programs and two head coaches: Terry Bowden and Nick Petrino. A game that shows it: 169 receiving yards and 7 receptions against Arkansas State — Bowl, 2025.

Style of play

Play style

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

Similar players

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Caleb SmithArizona · 2026 · 87% season match
Junior VanderossToledo · 2023 · 85% season match
Tyrin SmithUTEP · 2023 · 82% season match
Jalen WalkerMiami (OH) · 2021 · 80% season match
Devin MaddoxToledo · 2022 · 78% season match

Where to follow

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2025	Missouri State	43	640	14.9	5	59
2023	UL Monroe	16	184	11.5	1	36
2022	UL Monroe	23	293	12.7	1	68
Career		82	1,117	13.6	7	68

Season	Team
2025	Missouri State	--	--	257	87
2023	UL Monroe	--	--	376	--
2022	UL Monroe	8	23	354	--
Career		8	23	987	87

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 13-73@ USC	3	25	8.3	0	18	2 TD catches
Wk 2	W 21-20@ Marshall	2	24	12.0	0	23
Wk 3	L 10-28vs SMU	5	80	16.0	1	27
Wk 4	W 42-10vs UT Martin	9	110	12.2	1	24
Wk 5	L 22-27vs Western Kentucky	3	71	23.7	0	44
Wk 7	W 22-20@ Middle Tennessee	2	25	12.5	0	19
Wk 9	W 24-17@ New Mexico State	1	4	4.0	0	4
Wk 10	W 28-21vs Florida International	—	—	—	—	—
Wk 11	W 21-17@ Liberty	2	21	10.5	0	12
Wk 12	W 38-24vs UTEP	2	14	7.0	1	11
Wk 13	L 34-41@ Kennesaw State	5	73	14.6	0	28
Wk 14	L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech	2	24	12.0	0	15
Bowl	L 28-34vs Arkansas State	7	169	24.1	2	59
Total		43	640	14.9	5	59

Signature game

Bowl · 2025

L 28-34

vs Arkansas State · neutral site

7 rec · 169 yds · 2 TD

With J. Clark — 349 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 42.6 · S. McDonald — 42.9 yards per punt · 7 punts · 1 inside the 20

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 1 · Arkansas State · 3rd and 5 · Q4 · EPA +5.08Clark to Luke: a 47-yard touchdown pass.
Week 1 · Arkansas State · 1st and 10 · Q4 · EPA +3.19Clark to Luke: a 59-yard pass.
Week 1 · Arkansas State · 2nd and 4 · Q1 · EPA +3.17Clark to Luke: a 39-yard touchdown pass.
Week 3 · SMU · 2nd and 9 · Q1 · EPA +2.74Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 9 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
Week 4 · UT Martin · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +2.58Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 17 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
Week 13 · Kennesaw State · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +2.38Clark to Luke: a 28-yard pass.

4 more plays

Week 3 · SMU · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA +2.29Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 27 yds to the MOST 47 for a
Week 4 · UT Martin · 1st and 10 · Q2 · EPA +2.29Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 24 yds to the UTM 38 for a UT Martin Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Stevenson) to the UTM 23 for a
Week 3 · SMU · 2nd and 9 · Q3 · EPA +2.26Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 22 yds to the SMU 31 for a
Week 12 · UTEP · 2nd and 3 · Q4 · EPA +2.21Clark to Luke: a 3-yard touchdown pass.

Situational

Situational · Share of own targets (PBP, 2025)

Third-down role

19%12 of his 63 targets came on third down · Receiver median is 24%

Teams and coaches

2022UL Monroe4-8HC: Terry Bowden · Run-leaning, slow tempo

2023UL Monroe2-10HC: Terry Bowden · Run-leaning

2025Missouri State7-6HC: Ryan Beard · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 58 (#145 of 485). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles · 2025 season

58Quality starter #145 of 485 · 2025?

11 metrics · season cumulative

2025 score: the 2026 sample is not big enough yet. The rows below are 2026 so far. Elite: explosive rate (88th percentile). Concern: catch rate (29th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#100 / 798 · 88th pct

17.5%

Yards / catch#167 / 798 · 79th pct

14.3

TD rate#311 / 798 · 61st pct

3.2%

EPA / target#425 / 798 · 47th pct

0.40

Catch rate#565 / 798 · 29th pct

61.9%

Box-score rates (6)

Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct

Rec yards#126 / 558 · 77th pct

640

Yards / catch#138 / 558 · 75th pct

14.9

Long catch#164 / 558 · 70th pct

Receptions#166 / 558 · 70th pct

Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct

Season trend

EPA / target— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Catch rate— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Yards / catch— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps in 2025. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home6g	3.5	49.8	14.2	0.5
Road6g	2.5	28.7	10.3	0.0

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-77g	4.4	72.0	15.5	0.6
Weeks 8+6g	2.0	22.7	9.6	0.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Nick Petrino

Pass share

51.9%

433 pass / 401 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

Team sack rate

8.7%

458 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

43 catches in 13 games

About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

58 · #145 of 485 WRs · 2025

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Conference USA

Based on 2025: #11 of 52 Conference USA WRs

How the All-Conference USA base rate is computed

A base rate for the rank, not a forecast of this player: 22% of returning players who ranked #11–20 at their position in their conference made an all-conference team the next season (95% confidence interval 19–25%).