cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chris Bracy /Memphis

Chris Bracy

DB · Memphis · So · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

71 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Memphis

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Memphis player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (51 in / 47 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Memphis · Last season: 8-5 (AP #22) · Talent rank #59 · 2026 recruiting class #60

DB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Chris Bracy

  • 2
  • #5
  • 6-1 | 195 lb
  • Mobile, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13653

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2008 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class2
Jersey5
Measurements6-1 | 195 lb
HometownMobile, AL
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2008 recruit
Composite rating 0.8237 HighSchool
Signed with UAB 2023
Origin St. Paul's Episcopal Mobile, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8237 No. 2008 recruit | HighSchool | UAB

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13653Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13960Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UAB

Composite

0.8237

#2008 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chris Bracy

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chris Bracy

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
71Tackles
7Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
77Tackles
7.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 71): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 71): needs 29/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Chris Bracy is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Memphis's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13653 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 71 40 solo | #253/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
71 95th
SOLO
40 95th
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
9 98th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga1060.50.01Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 2W 38-16@ Georgia State110.00.01
Wk 3W 28-7@ Troy221.00.00
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas541.00.01
Wk 5W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic741.00.00
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa532.50.0102.5 TFL
Wk 8L 24-31@ UAB760.00.00
Wk 9W 34-31vs South Florida761.00.04
Wk 11L 32-38vs Tulane510.00.01
Wk 12L 27-31@ East Carolina720.00.00
Wk 14L 17-28vs Navy830.00.00
BowlL 7-31@ NC State720.00.01
Total71407.00.019
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023UAB4-8HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
2024UAB3-9HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis71407.00.091--
2024UAB18110.00.02----
2023UAB1780.50.0--1--
Career3 loaded seasons106597.50.0112--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 9 Coverage disruption | #36/2184 (98th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 71 #253/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 9 #36/2184 98th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 40 #212/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g6.70.80.01.2
Road6g5.20.30.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g5.31.00.01.0
Losses5g6.80.00.00.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.30.90.00.6
Weeks 8+5g6.80.20.01.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

63Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (98th). Strength: solo tackles (92nd). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Passes defended#36 / 2975 · 99th pct
9defe
Solo tackles#212 / 2975 · 92nd pct
40defe
Tackles#253 / 2975 · 91st pct
71defe
Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Chris BracyMemphisRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 94% simBaron HopsonKennesaw State· 87% simKeaton ThomasBaylor· 84% sim
Passes defended
99
Bracy
86
Fitzgerald
94
Hopson
78
Thomas
Solo tackles
92
Bracy
100
Fitzgerald
100
Hopson
99
Thomas
Tackles
91
Bracy
99
Fitzgerald
100
Hopson
98
Thomas
Tackles for loss
90
Bracy
85
Fitzgerald
96
Hopson
90
Thomas
QB hurries
55
Bracy
55
Fitzgerald
72
Hopson
55
Thomas
Forced fumbles
47
Bracy
47
Fitzgerald
47
Thomas
Interceptions
31
Bracy
31
Fitzgerald
31
Hopson
31
Thomas
Sacks
24
Bracy
24
Fitzgerald
51
Hopson
63
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Lewis Cine’s 2021 season.

Lewis Cine

88%match

Georgia · 2021

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 32
#2

Dalesean Staley

San Diego State · 2025

84%
#3

Zach Williams

Tulsa · 2025

80%
#4

Lummie Young IV

Duke · 2021

76%
#5

Marques Sigle

Kansas State · 2023

NFL Rd 5
73%

Matches Lewis on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Interceptions

Differs from Lewis on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Davaughn Patterson's junior season at Wake Forest (2025).

Davaughn Patterson

75%match

Wake Forest · 2025

#2

Adrian Wilson

Arizona State · 2025

72%
#3

Zechariah Poyser

Miami · 2025

All-Conference USA
68%
#4

Genesis Smith

Arizona · 2025

NFL Rd 4
69%
#5

Ameer Speed

Michigan State · 2022

NFL Rd 6
60%

Matches Davaughn on

Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMobile, AL
Height6'1"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionDB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UAB DB2 #13653 #13960 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UAB DB2 #14825 #14951 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic DB 2 No. 5 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL
2024 UAB American Athletic DB 2 No. 5 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL
2023 UAB American Athletic DB 2 No. 5 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL